Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[Bham_Guy]

Finally some steadier light snow on the northwest side of B'ham now. The temp is still 36° but the wind is coming from a more northerly direction.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

North wind now In ferndale.

[luvssnow_spokane]

SEAHAWKS LOSE!!!!!   NOW LETS MAKE UP FOR IT WITH SOME SNOW!

[joelgombiner]

Based on surface obs, the arctic front took about 6 hours to travel from Hope to Abbotsford, a distance of 90 km. 

 

90 km/6 hours = 13 km/hr. 

 

I think this is slower than originally projected. At this rate it would take another 17 hours to get to Seattle (224 km from Abbotsford), but I suppose it was held up by the low center during the day and will now accelerate southward? 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Based on surface obs, the arctic front took about 6 hours to travel from Hope to Abbotsford, a distance of 90 km. 

 

90 km/6 hours = 13 km/hr. 

 

I think this is slower than originally projected. At this rate it would take another 17 hours to get to Seattle (224 km from Abbotsford), but I suppose it was held up by the low center during the day and will now accelerate southward?

 

Yes. As the low departs the wind and speed of the front should gain momentum.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

You can see the radar blossom as the north wind begins to infiltrate the north sound.

[runninthruda206]

Based on surface obs, the arctic front took about 6 hours to travel from Hope to Abbotsford, a distance of 90 km. 

 

90 km/6 hours = 13 km/hr. 

 

I think this is slower than originally projected. At this rate it would take another 17 hours to get to Seattle (224 km from Abbotsford), but I suppose it was held up by the low center during the day and will now accelerate southward? 

 

I would assume it should start to come down the sound a lot faster yeah

[seattleweatherguy]

Will the zone sag south?

[Weiner Warrior]

Can we count on the GFS to make up for the Seahawks loss?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

00z nam gives western wa a good snowfall Wednesday night and Thursday morning.

[TacomaWaWx]

Can we count on the GFS to make up for the Seahawks loss?

If the Titans can beat the Ravens anything is possible.

[Weiner Warrior]

Do rabbits poop in the snow?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Was Tim banned? For what?

[VancouverIslandSouth]

A bit of snow up around Victoria airport, it's sure taking its sweet time to slide south.

 

[Esquimalt]

A bit of snow up around Victoria airport, it's sure taking its sweet time to slide south.

 

It’s stressing me out but I’m feeling it tonight

[snow_wizard]

The Arctic air has made it to Lynden now.  It has plummeted to 25 there.

[The Swamp]

The Arctic air has made it to Lynden now.  It has plummeted to 25 there.

that is some cold air

[seattleweatherguy]

The Arctic air has made it to Lynden now. It has plummeted to 25 there.

Hey snow your gut feeling will this zone sag south at all?

[Winterdog]

I’ve got about 1.5” so I’m happy to have snowcover to greet the lowering temps. I hope the rest of you pick up some snow as well

[snow_wizard]

00z nam gives western wa a good snowfall Wednesday night and Thursday morning.

 

There is still hope on that.  The most solid chance for my neck of the woods appears to be tomorrow evening through Tuesday night.

[runninthruda206]

This thing better slip south lol

[snow_wizard]

Hey snow your gut feeling will this zone sag south at all?

 

All models show it will snow south of Seattle by morning.  The million dollar question is how much.  With Arctic air in play you never know.

[North_County]

Lol. I got wrapped up in the Seahawks game and didn't notice the snow had started dumping.

 

Down to 23 now.

[Randyc321]

And only a year til our next dud.  The rest of the 2020s will be ok tho.

 

You need to burn one, now.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

You need to burn one, now.

Just dropped the kiddos off. Will be burnin’ plenty later.

[snow_wizard]

For some reason the rain / snow feature on the Nexrad it totally messed up tonight.  Showing rain where it's definitely snowing.

[HighlandExperience]

7PM upper level temps show 850s around -7c and 925s -2c/-3c.

 

Looks like there is a little bit more of a northerly wind starting in Whatcom and Skagit counties.

 

Really need to see that pick up for any places hoping to get snow in King County.

Jaya will end up with 6 inches. Need that cz to move south now.

[MikeInEverett]

Welp we lucked out in Snohomish County. Moderate snow and accumulating really well and the CZ has stalled out.

[bainbridgekid]

Nice band of snow looks like it's about to hit Victoria.

[snow_wizard]

7PM upper level temps show 850s around -7c and 925s -2c/-3c. 

 

Looks like there is a little bit more of a northerly wind starting in Whatcom and Skagit counties.

 

Really need to see that pick up for any places hoping to get snow in King County.

 

The zone will push south.  Everything shows it happening.  I'm sure bummed the models have wimped on this thing though.  A couple of days ago the low was progged to cross the Central Cascades which would have clobbered the EPSL.

[Esquimalt]

Nice band of snow looks like it's about to hit Victoria.

Looks to be falling apart a bit

[seattleweatherguy]

All models show it will snow south of Seattle by morning. The million dollar question is how much. With Arctic air in play you never know.

I just need it to sag a little south not too far south to hit me

[MikeInEverett]

#freetim

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The Arctic air has made it to Lynden now.  It has plummeted to 25 there.

I think you will do very good tonight. Not expecting much here tonight but mid week should be good for here.

[Shawn]

Look at that Fuucking Columbia River Convergence kicking in to my door step.  

Just like the ECMWF said, wind going backwards.  

[chinook]

I don’t post much but for very good reasons but have been around for many years.

 

having Tim on a “break” is a good thing for the health of the forum. his knowledge is top tier...he just doesn’t know how to show it the right way.

 

he cheers against the dreams and wishes of the forum.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

32 with a skiff of snow. 

[soicandownloadattachedfile]

Starting to cloud up now over Seattle. Maybe something is trying form.

[soicandownloadattachedfile]

I don’t post much but for very good reasons but have been around for many years.

 

having Tim on a “break” is a good thing for the health of the forum. his knowledge is top tier...he just doesn’t know how to show it the right way.

 

he cheers against the dreams and wishes of the forum.

Him cheering something on doesn't change the outcome of what will actually happen. People should ignore him and not be so sensitive.

[snow_wizard]

The NAM is looking bit more like the Euro on showing some snow south of Seattle Monday evening through early Wednesday.   The first feature is the low tracking across NW OR Monday evening and then a small disturbance that tracks inland over SW WA for Tuesday night.  This is looking like a solid prospect for snow in areas that don't do as well tonight.