Jesse Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 La Nina watch has been officially issued for this coming winter. https://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/skiers-rejoice-la-nina-watch-issued-for-upcoming-winterIt ain’t official until it’s Komofficial. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 This was last year on 7/18... POLAR VORTEX. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Screenshot from hour 144 of the 12z Euro (next Wednesday morning) Just love the look of this pattern in the summer, with heat being kept at bay across the entire northern tier of the lower 48 by a sprawling area of low heights over Canada. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 POLAR VORTEX.It rained for about 3 days straight with that mess... while it was sunny in Portland. Looking much better this July... at least for now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Screenshot from hour 144 of the 12z Euro (next Wednesday morning)4C05D4BD-F7C0-4530-8363-91689B1621F2.pngJust love the look of this pattern in the summer, with heat being kept at bay across the entire northern tier of the lower 48 by a sprawling area of low heights over Canada.Midwest getting a much needed break from the heat. Here’s Minneapolis so far this month... +7.4 departure. Tropical. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Which means it’s bottled up down here. This run shows you getting a decent break early next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 This run shows you getting a decent break early next week.Unfortunately the mountains block it, verbatim. Which is climo, but still..ugh. I knew we’d pay dearly for that beautifully chilly April/May. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Will be sort of interesting to see how warm PDX gets the next two days. After that it is starting to look like another lengthy stretch without a lot of opportunity for 80s. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Will be sort of interesting to see how warm PDX gets the next two days. After that it is starting to look like another lengthy stretch without a lot of opportunity for 80s.I’d hedge towards the cool side of guidance so long as subsidence holds firm over the WPAC. That’s been the theme so far this year. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 I’d hedge towards the cool side of guidance so long as subsidence holds firm over the WPAC. That’s been the theme so far this year. Yeah, it feels weird saying not a lot of opportunity for 80s heading solidly into mid-July. Usually at this point I am just hoping to avoid 90. Seems like something's gotta give eventually, but this pattern has been persistent and looks to persist that way for now. Even I wouldn't mind seeing some 90+ days or even an actual heatwave this month, just to give it some dynamism and variety. Although given the last several years I should probably be careful what I wish for. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 lol, that’s another one that gets me fired up! 20 miles away they get hammered and we get warm rain It is fascinating the diverse ways we all get snow around the Sound though. Is what it is.One of the reasons why we need a good ol' fashion Arctic Blast this winter, not of the marginal stuff where the lower elevations get cold rain. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 I just like that it's old school. Our summers used to be cooler and very dry. My only complaint about this pattern is the nights haven't been quite as cool as they could be if some small details were just a bit different. Basically if it's dry in the summer I'm happy, but being enjoyably cool is a nice plus.I remember you mentioning this before. I wouldn't mind cool and dry summers as long as there's plenty of sun. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 LOTS of partly to mostly sunny days in the 70s on tap. Hope we are all strong enough to get through it.Just like the environment inside my house!!!Acclimation chamber no longer needed 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 One of the reasons why we need a good ol' fashion Arctic Blast this winter, not of the marginal stuff where the lower elevations get cold rain.Bring it on !!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 I've got a great gut feeling right now about DJF. Ditto. Just feels like a big one is brewing this year. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 I've got a great gut feeling right now about DJF.Yep, lots of potential out West again. Last winter could’ve been amazing too had the super-PV been avoided. Singlehandedly destroyed and pulverized what might have been the mother of all Januaries. Meanwhile, I already expect another dud winter here. The really bad ones usually come in bunches of two or three. This year feels similar to 2010/11/12, which were abysmal. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Yep, lots of potential out West again. Last winter could’ve been amazing too had the super-PV been avoided. Singlehandedly destroyed what might have been the mother of all Januaries. Meanwhile, I already expect another dud winter here. The really bad ones usually come in bunches of two or three. This year feels similar to 2010 or 2011. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Holy ! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 I’m deadass. The in-situ boundary conditions were excellent heading into the holiday season. Literally was a fluky TPV entrappment over the Beaufort that allowed for the vertical stacking/baratropic transition, which subsequently stabilized the tropics, reinforcing the +ENSO/weak WC low frequency regime that would’ve otherwise broken. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Figures the one summer I don’t visit up there is the awesome one. Still haven’t gotten the chance to experience a trough in the PNW. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Figures the one summer I don’t visit up there is the awesome one. Still haven’t gotten the chance to experience a trough in the PNW. Didn’t you visit last summer? 2019 was a pretty nice summer as well. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Figures the one summer I don’t visit up there is the awesome one. Still haven’t gotten the chance to experience a trough in the PNW.Clouds. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 68 with some sunbreaks. Looks like we will hit 70 today. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Didn’t you visit last summer? 2019 was a pretty nice summer as well.Late July/early August. I recall transient upper level ridging being present when I was there. Was beautiful still. But I was hoping for a nice ULL or marine layer. Just to see what it’s like. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Late July/early August. I recall transient upper level ridging being present when I was there.Was beautiful still. But I was hoping for a nice ULL or marine layer. Just to see what it’s like.Pleasant. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 72F and clouding up now. Can see much thicker clouds to the NW. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Just started raining. My daughter noticed, squealed with delight and ran outside. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Looked up 1955-56 at Silver Falls. Incredibly wet October-January. A little above average in February and March. Single digit lows in November, December, January, and February. Last time that location had a single digit low was December 2013. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Yeah Nov 55 looks like it was a lot of fun down this way. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Yeah Nov 55 looks like it was a lot of fun down this way.All time November records for most places in the Willamette Valley. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Still at -1F departure for the month. Last 2 days were a bit above normal but I doubt we get to 79F today and we were also at 51F this morning so likely a below normal day today. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Looked up 1955-56 at Silver Falls. Incredibly wet October-January. A little above average in February and March. Single digit lows in November, December, January, and February. Last time that location had a single digit low was December 2013.Would love to relive a good old fashioned PNW winter like that in my lifetime. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Nice day! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 9, 2020 Report Share Posted July 9, 2020 Would love to relive a good old fashioned PNW winter like that in my lifetime.You might get to do exactly that this winter. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 10, 2020 Report Share Posted July 10, 2020 Would love to relive a good old fashioned PNW winter like that in my lifetime.2016-17 was better in some ways for western OR. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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