ShawniganLake Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 Didn’t see even a trace of rain overnight here. Dropped to 48F this morning which I believe is the coolest of the season so far. 59F currently under a cloudless clear blue sky. September rainfall so far is at 0.19”. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 The 12Z GEM was very ridgy and warm... but its 12Z ensemble mean looks more like the GFS so I would say the 12Z GEM can be ignored today. 3 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 Almost totally sunny here now... quick transition from the drizzle and low clouds early this morning. We picked up .16 here. Nice to see parts of Seattle actually got more than we did out here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 18 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: Sorry I let my moose out for a walk and it went after a cat and got lost. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 26 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Almost totally sunny here now... quick transition from the drizzle and low clouds early this morning. We picked up .16 here. Nice to see parts of Seattle actually got more than we did out here. BFI picked up 0.22 from this morning. Pretty good to see. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 Pretty cloudy here in Salem still. Running a +1.6 departure on the month through yesterday. Yesterday actually ran a -1 departure, my guess is this month ends up relatively close to average. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Pretty cloudy here in Salem still. Running a +1.6 departure on the month through yesterday. Yesterday actually ran a -1 departure, my guess is this month ends up relatively close to average. PDX is about three degrees above average through yesterday. If the month ended today it would be their warmest September on record, edging out last year. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 2 hours ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z GFS goes crazy with the AR event Sunday/Monday... brought it back after the 06Z run took it away. The 12Z GEM shows a band of rain on Saturday and then builds in a ridge with the rain way offshore. Let’s go GFS! Looks even better for down here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: Let’s go GFS! Looks even better for down here. 12Z ECMWF is further west than the GFS. It actually shows a totally sunny and warm day on Monday with highs in the 80s even up here. 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 next monday looks warm over here in the low 80s Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 12Z ECMWF washes out the AR rain band before it moves inland by Tuesday afternoon. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 Picked up 0.13” from the convergence zone. 1 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 Looks like summer is continuing for the foreseeable future. 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 Up to 63 after a low of 54. Some sunbreaks here but overall a fall like day. 0.12” of rain MTD as of this morning…there’s some summer like days coming up at times but rains also showing up on the models. Just gotta be patient! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 With the most recent rain, that brings my fourth month total of rain (June, July, August, September) to 2.04in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: With the most recent rain, that brings my fourth month total of rain (June, July, August, September) to 2.04in. Tim is going to go discuss it on the fox 12 blog 2 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: With the most recent rain, that brings my fourth month total of rain (June, July, August, September) to 2.04in. 1.14” here since June 1st. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Tim is going to go discuss it on the fox 12 blog Some Tim might... but not this one. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 55 minutes ago, MossMan said: Looks like summer is continuing for the foreseeable future. I would not discount the GFS yet. 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF is further west than the GFS. It actually shows a totally sunny and warm day on Monday with highs in the 80s even up here. I wonder if there will be some sort of compromise between the GFS and EURO/GEM solutions or if the GFS is completely out to lunch. The 12z GFS doubled down on the AR event though. It’s just hard to not go with EURO. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 Progressive wave train like the GFS is showing is probably not the way to go, given recent history and the ongoing pattern blahness. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 I was doing some research and came across Palmer, Washington. Never heard of this place and it averages 90 inches of rain and 36 inches of snow per year. Located right past Ravensdale. Sounds like the place to be if you like snow and rain. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: I was doing some research and came across Palmer, Washington. Never heard of this place and it averages 90 inches of rain and 36 inches of snow per year. Located right past Ravensdale. Sounds like the place to be if you like snow and rain. Snow Wizard has mentioned it before. 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 16 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I was doing some research and came across Palmer, Washington. Never heard of this place and it averages 90 inches of rain and 36 inches of snow per year. Located right past Ravensdale. Sounds like the place to be if you like snow and rain. I live near there. The weather changes pretty quickly with a sharp cut off from about 169 in Maple Valley towards the foothills. We are literally a few minutes from the Cascade foothills. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 12z ICON brings in some rain on Monday. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 4.02" here since June 1. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 14 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: 12z ICON brings in some rain on Monday. These early fall systems kind of limp along, they can be hard to predict, but they can deliver nourishing quantities of rain for the locales they directly impact and bless. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 12Z Euro hour 240 precip maps. 4 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 12Z GFS hour 240 precip maps. Of interest is how closely the two ensemble means (Euro and GFS) agree with each other. The ridiculously wet GFS operational stands alone so probably isn’t going to happen. 4 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 The two torchiest Euro maps I could find. Really starting to look like there will be no more touchdowns for Tiger until next year. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 7 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: The two torchiest Euro maps I could find. Really starting to look like there will be no more touchdowns for Tiger until next year. SLE is going to only have 1 90+ in September. If not for last Friday their last 90+ would have been August 25th, of course it is possible to hit 90 through that first week of October. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 42 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: These early fall systems kind of limp along, they can be hard to predict, but they can deliver nourishing quantities of rain for the locales they directly impact and bless. Moving back to Corvallis next weekend I predict PDX gets 2” storm total and CVO gets 0.10” 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 56 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: The two torchiest Euro maps I could find. Really starting to look like there will be no more touchdowns for Tiger until next year. How else will the Duck get his pull ups in? Or maybe it's push ups? 1 1 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said: Moving back to Corvallis next weekend I predict PDX gets 2” storm total and CVO gets 0.10” I went camping at Marion Forks on the way to Santiam Pass in September 2010, I remember a front stalled out and gave SLE a ton of rain, we had nothing at Marion Forks. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I was doing some research and came across Palmer, Washington. Never heard of this place and it averages 90 inches of rain and 36 inches of snow per year. Located right past Ravensdale. Sounds like the place to be if you like snow and rain. @Phil used to pass through there on his trips in to Seattle from Stampede Pass 1 2 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: These early fall systems kind of limp along, they can be hard to predict, but they can deliver nourishing quantities of rain for the locales they directly impact and bless. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 47 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Moving back to Corvallis next weekend I predict PDX gets 2” storm total and CVO gets 0.10” Just in time for the fall equinox, welcome back!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 18z is nice. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted September 18, 2023 Report Share Posted September 18, 2023 18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 18z is nice. Really liking how the post-Equinox warm signal has been watered down to 2 or 3 seasonably mild days, followed by what will probably end up being the first jet extension of the season. Blessings to go 'round for all. Right now it's 64F and partly cloudy here with filtered sunshine, nearing 4pm. Lyphe is good. 5 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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