September 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Gradient Keeper]

20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z ECMWF looking very much like GFS tonight.    Score one for America?

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

If we're going to take the GFS seriously, it shows some pretty decent late September torching for the Willamette Valley.

 

30 degree gradient from BLI to EUG. Typical.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

1 hour ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z GEFS turns wet long range.

There's a Pineapple Signature in there:

[Cloud]

A very wet 6z. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

8 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Burns dropped to 32F on the 14th.

Freeze burns

[SilverFallsAndrew]

19 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Freeze burns

The current all-time September low at BNO is 17, so they can get cold. The old Harney Branch station was in a fairly similar spot from 1922 to 1954 and they recorded some insane temps during that stretch. The 48/2 on 9/24/26 is pretty out there... So is the -11/-45 from December 1924.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hey Tim, post this in some random blog comments on a news site from a city you don't even live in...

[TT-SEA]

17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Hey Tim, post this in some random blog comments on a news site from a city you don't even live in...

?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Euro precip in the next 10 days. Ensemble mean is a little damper than operational for most. Perhaps some signs of the rainy season onset showing up?

[Cascadia_Wx]

Friday was disgustingly hot but it ended up being a pretty nice evening at the Oktoberfest in Mt. Angel. We usually camp out on the lawn at my friend’s uncle’s farm after the festivities. Cooled off quick overnight, was all the way down to 49 by morning. Caught a gorgeous sunrise looking toward Mt. Hood.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

?

Last night a concerned citizen made me aware of some trolling you are participating in on another site. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

In the meanwhile, looks like I get two smaller rainfalls very soon.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Put up an 83/55 spread here yesterday. First half of the day was very smoky and hazy. Nice marine push last night with some quick cooling in the evening.

Partly cloudy and 51 this morning. Feels more fall like at very least, and model trends have been favorable the last 12 hours or so (although the upcoming pattern is clearly one they struggle with)

[ShawniganLake]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The current all-time September low at BNO is 17, so they can get cold. The old Harney Branch station was in a fairly similar spot from 1922 to 1954 and they recorded some insane temps during that stretch. The 48/2 on 9/24/26 is pretty out there... So is the -11/-45 from December 1924.

That must have been a pretty impressive airmass dropping south in 1926.  We had a low of 25F on that same day.  Would have been rough on veggie gardens for sure. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

That must have been a pretty impressive airmass dropping south in 1926.  We had a low of 25F on that same day.  Would have been rough on veggie gardens for sure. 

Can’t even imagine how cold It was at 1000’ a few miles south of Port Angeles. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Regional precip at hour 90, Euro vs. GFS.

[TacomaWx]

10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Last night a concerned citizen made me aware of some trolling you are participating in on another site. 

Spill the tea plz it’s getting boring on this site 

[Cloud]

A tad fall-like this morning with the cloud cover. Feels calm.

[ShawniganLake]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Can’t even imagine how cold It was at 1000’ a few miles south of Port Angeles. 

Probably low 20s maybe upper teens  

[TacomaWx]

I also don’t understand why the guy from port Angeles is getting hated on  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TacomaWx said:

I also don’t understand why the guy from port Angeles is getting hated on  

He’s really not.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Spill the tea plz it’s getting boring on this site 

Apparently just causing trouble in Mark Nelsen s blog comments. 

[TacomaWx]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Apparently just causing trouble in Mark Nelsen s blog comments. 

Tim-othy must be getting bored! Have a hard time imagining him trolling anyone though

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Tim-othy must be getting bored! Have a hard time imagining him trolling anyone though

So far as I know, the new Fox 12 weather forum does not allow comments.

[ShawniganLake]

16 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I also don’t understand why the guy from port Angeles is getting hated on  

The guy is a serious problem around here.  He doesn’t like cold weather in summer.  We can’t have that 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

17 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

So far as I know, the new Fox 12 weather forum does not allow comments.

I don’t know. I haven’t gone on there in years, but someone was sending me screenshots last night so I think they do…

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I don’t know. I haven’t gone on there in years, but someone was sending me screenshots last night so I think they do…

I occasionally visit the new blog to see what Mark’s thoughts on the weather are, and I have never found a place for user comments there. I will say that I often find modern trends in graphical user interface design counterintuitive, so maybe it’s hidden somewhere obscure to me.

[Cloud]

Look like the 12z still likes the idea of about quarter of an inch for the Seattle area Tuesday night into Wednesday. 

[Front Ranger]

35 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I also don’t understand why the guy from port Angeles is getting hated on  

Garden variety controversy.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Since someone mentioned it, here’s the 12Z Goofus precip maps. Since the 06Z Euro and GFS maps were both very similar, something much like this is probably going to happen.

Tonight’s rainfall, Tuesday’s, total:

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Last night a concerned citizen made me aware of some trolling you are participating in on another site. 

I literally don't post anywhere else on the internet except for here.    So it's not definitely not me.

[TT-SEA]

42 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

The guy is a serious problem around here.  He doesn’t like cold weather in summer.  We can’t have that 

He also "hates" our "dreadful" winters.   Ouch.

[Cloud]

Seems like the potential for a soggy start to the fall equinox and subsequently to close out the month is there. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS keeps a moisture plume just offshore for days.   At least through day 10... don't care what it shows after that.   12Z GEM went back to a ridgy scenario after showing the same thing as the GFS on its 00Z run.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Seems like the potential for a soggy start to the fall equinox and subsequently to close out the month is there. 

I would say more damp than soggy around the equinox. As far as later in the month, we shall see, though encouragingly moist solutions do seem to be emerging in the models, so yes, the potential is certainly there. Definitely more encouraging than what the models looked like the middle of last week.

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, TacomaWx said:

Tim-othy must be getting bored! Have a hard time imagining him trolling anyone though

Its most certainly not me.   I haven't even looked at Mark Nelsen's blog for years.  

[ShawniganLake]

Beautiful start to the day here this morning.  Clear blue skies with a mild low of 53F.  My girls slept in this morning as we stayed late at the fall fair last night.  
 

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Jesse, move to Southern California. 

[Phishy Wx]

1 hour ago, TacomaWx said:

I also don’t understand why the guy from port Angeles is getting hated on  

pot stirrers get that around here.  I"M PRO POT STIRRER!!!.  need to work up the old guard on occasion, its healthy for discussion

[Phishy Wx]

22 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Jesse, move to Southern California. 

our backyard in Long Beach use to look similar to that, except we had some citrus and avocado trees