September 2023 Weather in the PNW

[TigerWoodsLibido]

And we have another one. Took a while but we pulled off another 90F burger.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Since I have been talking about it. Garden update. And one orchard shot.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Last night’s haul

[GHweatherChris]

6 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Last night’s haul

The Sequim and PA area has always been a great place for good productive gardens, at least in my lifetime.  My grandparents lived in Gardner for years and every year their garden produced massive amounts of goodies, they would can hundreds of jars of veggies every year and gave alot of it away!!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

29 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

And we have another one. Took a while but we pulled off another 90F burger.

Good chance for another one tomorrow and a fair chance for one Saturday, then you will have to wait for the next heat wave to perhaps score a final one. Don’t think you’ll make it to 35 this year.

[GHweatherChris]

3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

It was a great garden year for sure.  Sounds awesome.    

You might have a warm-skewed view of gardening here based solely on the last 6 years.  But this probably the new normal so you moved here at the right time.   

Nah, that region has been great for gardens for at least 40 years, see my comment on PA's picture post.

[TT-SEA]

13 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Last night’s haul

Nice.  

We picked at least a hundred tomatoes this evening and more still coming.   

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Nah, that region has been great for gardens for at least 40 years, see my comment on PA's picture post.

Never said it was bad... but definitely different.   Ripe tomatoes and hot peppers are not a given in western WA but becoming easier over the last 15-20 years.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

5 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

The Sequim and PA area has always been a great place for good productive gardens, at least in my lifetime.  My grandparents lived in Gardner for years and every year their garden produced massive amounts of goodies, they would can hundreds of jars of veggies every year and gave alot of it away!!

Sequim and PA are an entirely different world than me at 1000’ they have at least 30 more growing days than I do

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Never said it was bad... but definitely different.   Ripe tomatoes and hot peppers are not a given in western WA but becoming easier over the last 15-20 years.

I didn't say you said it was bad.  I have so many memories of picking the goods everyday when up there on summer vacations!!

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Nice.  

We picked at least hundred tomatoes this evening and more still coming.   

Way to rub it in

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Total precip through day 10 on the Euro. Ensemble mean is definitely more generous than the operational, especially for Oregon, but under half an inch spread over 10 days is still pretty dry.

No good signs of an early start to the rainy season this year.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

@Front Ranger

August came in #3 all time at Silver Falls. Just a notch behind last year. 

Maximum 1-Month Mean Avg Temperature 
for SILVER CREEK FALLS, OR

Rank, Value, EndingDate, MissingDays
1, 68.6, 1967-08-31, 0
2, 67.0, 2022-08-31, 0
3, 66.9, 2023-08-31, 0
4, 66.4, 1977-08-31, 0
5, 66.4, 2017-08-31, 0
6, 65.8, 1961-08-31, 0
7, 65.3, 2014-08-31, 0
8, 65.1, 1958-08-31, 0
9, 65.0, 2018-08-31, 0
10, 64.9, 2003-08-31, 2

Period of record: 1938-12-01 to 2023-09-04

[SilverFallsAndrew]

21 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Total precip through day 10 on the Euro. Ensemble mean is definitely more generous than the operational, especially for Oregon, but under half an inch spread over 10 days is still pretty dry.

No good signs of an early start to the rainy season this year.

 

This dovetails with the recent CFS. Showing a very warm and dry October. This gives way to a very wet November and December. 

[Snownerd3000]

https://x.com/Climatologist49/status/1702475030909829138?s=20

[TT-SEA]

12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This dovetails with the recent CFS. Showing a very warm and dry October. This gives way to a very wet November and December. 

What if the next CFS run is totally different?  Nothing dovetails with the CFS.  It's completely meaningless.   

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

What if the next CFS run is totally different?  Nothing dovetails with the CFS.  It's completely meaningless.   

Me thinks you haven’t been paying attention. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

26 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This dovetails with the recent CFS. Showing a very warm and dry October. This gives way to a very wet November and December. 

Deep clown range on a far less reliable model. I am not super-concerned about October yet.

All those Euro maps show is that, as I said, there are no good signs of an early start to the rainy season this year. I said nothing about signs of a late start.

An early start might still might happen; if the tap turns on in the first week of October, that is still earlier than normal. Heck, it might even turn on in late September; hour 240 is pretty clown rangy. But, no good signs of it yet.

[Omegaraptor]

Flooding in Portugal! Not from rain though!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

20 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Flooding in Portugal! Not from rain though!

Would love to go to Portugal someday.

[Omegaraptor]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Would love to go to Portugal someday.

My brother is actually about to catch a flight to Portugal right now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

18 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

My brother is actually about to catch a flight to Portugal right now.

Hmmm, that's weird. 

[LowerGarfield]

9 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Great to see the Brrr is back. 

Fall is definitely here. Been noticing the movement of the animals this past week. The deer and elk are absolutely everywhere right now, my wife came home late the other night from the Goo Goo Dolls concert in Eugene, and said she saw deer, elk, coons, and a fox along the road in the state park on her way home. My cats and dogs have been slaying a large number of critters the past few days, highlighted by an enormous wood rat which I measured 15" from tail to nose. Below is a pic of the elk out last night. 

Beautiful photo and I had a loud laugh at your comment about the brrr being back.

[HuskyMaestro]

The lower sun angle just hit me earlier when I was watering the lawn at 6:30 and the sun didn't even shine on the grass like it normally would in July. Got colder fast too. So excited for the fall equinox! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Good chance for another one tomorrow and a fair chance for one Saturday, then you will have to wait for the next heat wave to perhaps score a final one. Don’t think you’ll make it to 35 this year.

Once Trump is re-elected you'll never be allowed back.

[LowerGarfield]

2 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Total precip through day 10 on the Euro. Ensemble mean is definitely more generous than the operational, especially for Oregon, but under half an inch spread over 10 days is still pretty dry.

No good signs of an early start to the rainy season this year.

 

Looks wet for me!

[Phishy Wx]

The Final Hurrah

 

 

[Phishy Wx]

3 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Total precip through day 10 on the Euro. Ensemble mean is definitely more generous than the operational, especially for Oregon, but under half an inch spread over 10 days is still pretty dry.

No good signs of an early start to the rainy season this year.

 

WOOD

[TT-SEA]

00Z GFS looks almost identical to the 12Z ECMWF through next week... deep ULL sliding down the west coast.

[iFred]

59 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said:

The lower sun angle just hit me earlier when I was watering the lawn at 6:30 and the sun didn't even shine on the grass like it normally would in July. Got colder fast too. So excited for the fall equinox! 

First sub 45° day here in Everett. The color temp of whites start to move into the yellow when the sun is under 40°.

I still need to seed my lawn.

[Deweydog]

@Front Ranger

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Once Trump is re-elected you'll never be allowed back.

If that happened, why would I want to go back?

[Anti Marine Layer]

The southerly surge is on the way!

[Deweydog]

1 hour ago, HuskyMaestro said:

The lower sun angle just hit me earlier when I was watering the lawn at 6:30 and the sun didn't even shine on the grass like it normally would in July. Got colder fast too. So excited for the fall equinox! 

Seem to be getting lower here too. Regional event.

[Front Ranger]

4 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

@Front Ranger

August came in #3 all time at Silver Falls. Just a notch behind last year. 

Maximum 1-Month Mean Avg Temperature 
for SILVER CREEK FALLS, OR

Rank, Value, EndingDate, MissingDays
1, 68.6, 1967-08-31, 0
2, 67.0, 2022-08-31, 0
3, 66.9, 2023-08-31, 0
4, 66.4, 1977-08-31, 0
5, 66.4, 2017-08-31, 0
6, 65.8, 1961-08-31, 0
7, 65.3, 2014-08-31, 0
8, 65.1, 1958-08-31, 0
9, 65.0, 2018-08-31, 0
10, 64.9, 2003-08-31, 2

Period of record: 1938-12-01 to 2023-09-04

Almost 2 degrees behind 1967...meanwhile, SLE has seen 4 Augusts warmer than 1967 in the past 10 years, including 2023. 

Very warm no matter how you slice it, but just a bit different from the historical context.

[The Blob]

72 outside

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Down to 53F. Cool night. Beautiful stars.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

50.2˚F after an overnight low of 49.6˚F.

[Phishy Wx]

42 out.  crisp

 

they're saying we hit 90 tomorrow.  gotta be close to a record high for this date

[MossMan]

Cliff must be working at NWS Seattle now!