September 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Omegaraptor]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Would love to go to Portugal someday.

My brother is actually about to catch a flight to Portugal right now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

18 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

My brother is actually about to catch a flight to Portugal right now.

Hmmm, that's weird. 

[LowerGarfield]

9 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Great to see the Brrr is back. 

Fall is definitely here. Been noticing the movement of the animals this past week. The deer and elk are absolutely everywhere right now, my wife came home late the other night from the Goo Goo Dolls concert in Eugene, and said she saw deer, elk, coons, and a fox along the road in the state park on her way home. My cats and dogs have been slaying a large number of critters the past few days, highlighted by an enormous wood rat which I measured 15" from tail to nose. Below is a pic of the elk out last night. 

Beautiful photo and I had a loud laugh at your comment about the brrr being back.

[HuskyMaestro]

The lower sun angle just hit me earlier when I was watering the lawn at 6:30 and the sun didn't even shine on the grass like it normally would in July. Got colder fast too. So excited for the fall equinox! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Good chance for another one tomorrow and a fair chance for one Saturday, then you will have to wait for the next heat wave to perhaps score a final one. Don’t think you’ll make it to 35 this year.

Once Trump is re-elected you'll never be allowed back.

[LowerGarfield]

2 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Total precip through day 10 on the Euro. Ensemble mean is definitely more generous than the operational, especially for Oregon, but under half an inch spread over 10 days is still pretty dry.

No good signs of an early start to the rainy season this year.

 

Looks wet for me!

[Phishy Wx]

The Final Hurrah

 

 

[Phishy Wx]

3 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Total precip through day 10 on the Euro. Ensemble mean is definitely more generous than the operational, especially for Oregon, but under half an inch spread over 10 days is still pretty dry.

No good signs of an early start to the rainy season this year.

 

WOOD

[TT-SEA]

00Z GFS looks almost identical to the 12Z ECMWF through next week... deep ULL sliding down the west coast.

[iFred]

59 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said:

The lower sun angle just hit me earlier when I was watering the lawn at 6:30 and the sun didn't even shine on the grass like it normally would in July. Got colder fast too. So excited for the fall equinox! 

First sub 45° day here in Everett. The color temp of whites start to move into the yellow when the sun is under 40°.

I still need to seed my lawn.

[Deweydog]

@Front Ranger

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Once Trump is re-elected you'll never be allowed back.

If that happened, why would I want to go back?

[Anti Marine Layer]

The southerly surge is on the way!

[Deweydog]

1 hour ago, HuskyMaestro said:

The lower sun angle just hit me earlier when I was watering the lawn at 6:30 and the sun didn't even shine on the grass like it normally would in July. Got colder fast too. So excited for the fall equinox! 

Seem to be getting lower here too. Regional event.

[Front Ranger]

4 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

@Front Ranger

August came in #3 all time at Silver Falls. Just a notch behind last year. 

Maximum 1-Month Mean Avg Temperature 
for SILVER CREEK FALLS, OR

Rank, Value, EndingDate, MissingDays
1, 68.6, 1967-08-31, 0
2, 67.0, 2022-08-31, 0
3, 66.9, 2023-08-31, 0
4, 66.4, 1977-08-31, 0
5, 66.4, 2017-08-31, 0
6, 65.8, 1961-08-31, 0
7, 65.3, 2014-08-31, 0
8, 65.1, 1958-08-31, 0
9, 65.0, 2018-08-31, 0
10, 64.9, 2003-08-31, 2

Period of record: 1938-12-01 to 2023-09-04

Almost 2 degrees behind 1967...meanwhile, SLE has seen 4 Augusts warmer than 1967 in the past 10 years, including 2023. 

Very warm no matter how you slice it, but just a bit different from the historical context.

[The Blob]

72 outside

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Down to 53F. Cool night. Beautiful stars.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

50.2˚F after an overnight low of 49.6˚F.

[Phishy Wx]

42 out.  crisp

 

they're saying we hit 90 tomorrow.  gotta be close to a record high for this date

[MossMan]

Cliff must be working at NWS Seattle now! 

[Deweydog]

46!

[ChrisEl Elyon]

Has anyone seen one of these yet on here? My friend is pretty sure he did but didn't remember to take pic and didn't focus much on it but somewhat remembers black front, rusty rest of body so maybe a Cool/Active at first, then mild and calmer rest of winter

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Some late September 90-burgers starting to show up in the 00Z Euro.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

58F and smoky.

[Omegaraptor]

36 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Some late September 90-burgers starting to show up in the 00Z Euro.

YES!!! Boating season extended!!!

[Cascadia_Wx]

Ended up with a 79/59 day on Wednesday. Morning clouds and afternoon sun. Wall to wall sun and 89/53 day yesterday. Fell to a cool 54 this morning, 62 currently. At least this has been a more traditional September warm spell with the nice overnight recoveries. Even PDX fell from 90 yesterday into the 50s this morning.

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Some late September 90-burgers starting to show up in the 00Z Euro.

Barbeque at Mossman's place

[Cascadia_Wx]

6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Barbeque at Mossman's place

EPS looks a lot better for that period than the operational.

[ShawniganLake]

Save it for December 

 

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Southerly surge is ruining Beach days.

[TT-SEA]

22 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Save it for December 

 

 

Don't worry... the next run will be completely different.    The 12Z run was already much different than its 00Z run even at 120 hours.  

[Deweydog]

2 hours ago, ChristheElohim said:

Has anyone seen one of these yet on here? My friend is pretty sure he did but didn't remember to take pic and didn't focus much on it but somewhat remembers black front, rusty rest of body so maybe a Cool/Active at first, then mild and calmer rest of winter

This might be the POTY! Or it might not! I have no idea! 

[Deweydog]

29 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Save it for December 

 

 

Teleconnection season is RAPIDLY approaching!

[MossMan]

50 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Teleconnection season is RAPIDLY approaching!

Looks like the GFS PNA has things all figured out! 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

59 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

This might be the POTY! Or it might not! I have no idea! 

[Cascadia_Wx]

12z and ensembles looking pretty good.

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

Save it for December 

 

 

 

1972!!

[TT-SEA]

Given the range of solutions we have seen in the operational runs with ULLs all over the place... the ensembles will probably look quite flat.   The reality could be much more divergent than usual depending actual placement of the ULLs.    Could end up cold and wet or even hot at times.

[Cascadia_Wx]

12z Euro would be such a blessing 

[Phishy Wx]

48 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Given the range of solutions we have seen in the operational runs with ULLs all over the place... the ensembles will probably look quite flat.   The reality could be much more divergent than usual depending actual placement of the ULLs.    Could end up cold and wet or even hot at times.

i'm going with warm with a side of dry

[Cold Snap]

Up to 81 after a low of 49.

[Tyler Mode]

90 after a low of 47.  3rd latest 90 for me since 2011.

September heat is way different than mid summer.  It was comfortable until early this afternoon.

Edited September 15 by Tyler Mode

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Currently 79.2°F after a max of 80.7°F.

[Phishy Wx]

Red Flag warning!

 

oof

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Where’s Tiger? No football pic posted yet today.

[Deweydog]

@Front Ranger

[TigerWoodsLibido]

And tack on another one. 92F out there.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

33 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

And tack on another one. 92F out there.

Ah, there it is! Was wondering where you were.

[MossMan]

A little toasty out. 

[MossMan]

I have to say I do remember the day when mid September felt like mid September…It has not felt that way today!