November 2023 Weather in the PNW

[RentonHill]

27 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

But, but, teleconnections and a half-dozen acronyms.

So there!

As our wise Covington sage @snow_wizard likes to say…all we need is some Alaska blocking to set up in the right place!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

12z CFS looked SOLID.

[Phil]

@MossMan Hey brother don’t get salty at me, I have no control over the pattern. Ask Tim if you can borrow his weather machine.

[TT-SEA]

9 minutes ago, Phil said:

@MossMan Hey brother don’t get salty at me, I have no control over the pattern. Ask Tim if you can borrow his weather machine.

No.   Every time I lend it out it gets broken!   But I plan to dial up some Christmas snow for everyone so its all good.    Then get ready for spring in February.   

[FroYoBro]

Haven’t hit freezing since Sunday morning here. Pretty strange that I’ve actually been warmer than pdx the last couple of mornings. The wind has really died this evening though and it’s already 36. 

[SnowySeeker50]

PSE moved power restoration time up to midnight with 7000 still without it and currently 32 degrees. Running the generator for a bit to heat things back up.

[Skagit Weather]

It's been pretty cool to see the slow, but consistent drop in high temperatures every day for the last 5. I started at 47F on Friday and have dropped 0.5-1ºF every day to end up with a high of 43.7F today.

[MossMan]

56 minutes ago, Phil said:

@MossMan Hey brother don’t get salty at me, I have no control over the pattern. Ask Tim if you can borrow his weather machine.

Every El Niño is your fault. And every snowflake that you get that we don’t will cost you one flung your way. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

50 minutes ago, SnowySeeker50 said:

PSE moved power restoration time up to midnight with 7000 still without it and currently 32 degrees. Running the generator for a bit to heat things back up.

What happened? Truck slip on some black ice and take out a power pole?

[SnowWillarrive]

1 hour ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Our beautiful cold and crisp weather is about to come to an end. One more day before the rains arrive on Thursday. It will be a nice change of pace though and it will get windy on some days. Lows into the 50s by early next week.

 

Horrible 

[TacomaWx]

41/34 today but already down to 34. The fog in federal way and fife this evening was so thick. It was incredibly dark and the streetlights could barely penetrate the fog. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Had a high of only 39 today after a low of 21!! Very cold winter day for sure.

[Gradient Keeper]

I pulled off a 41.8, 35.8 day with very gusty east winds. Solid low level cold. If we had another 48-72 hours of east winds with the Columbia Basin cold pool persisting I probably would not make it to 35 by the 2nd day. Fun stuff.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2 (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

2 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Here's the peena

Here we go!

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3 (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4 (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5 (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6 (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7 (4-run trend)

[FroYoBro]

32!

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[MWG]

50/24 for today and already 33.

[RentonHill]

stop stop we're already dead!!

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Speaking of low level cold pool. It appears to be peaking tonight. 925mb temps.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10 that trough looks like it wants to spin up a big low... Strong Aleutian ridging to follow. Hmmm.....

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS re-cap. WET, and potentially volatile pattern for the first 7-10 days of December. I like it! C'MON!!!!

10 Day GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, 850mb Temps, 1000-500mb Thickness/MSLP/Precip

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEM(Canadian) 10 Day Rainfall totals.

[snow_wizard]

WeatherBell has WA running +3 for it's December forecast.  December is the most likely winter month to be cold with a Nino so I have my doubts.  CPC has us with equal chances.

[Phil]

@SilverFallsAndrew

See below. The only “cold air loading” is in Putin territory.

[Timmy]

Interesting that the gem wants to start precip as snow and zr here. 

[Phil]

11 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

WeatherBell has WA running +3 for its December forecast.  December is the most likely winter month to be cold with a Nino so I have my doubts.  CPC has us with equal chances.

Could be a lot of SW flow in December given current trends. Wouldn’t think that screams cold, but I don’t have the local/regional knowledge you guys do.

[Doinko]

RGEM shows some freezing rain around the valley

 

[MossMan]

46/28 on the day. 
Currently 32.

[TT-SEA]

28 minutes ago, Phil said:

@SilverFallsAndrew

See below. The only “cold air loading” is in Putin territory.

Everyone should move to Moscow... I have heard great things!  Very happy people there.   

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEFS 10 Day Rainfall totals. (4-run trend) The wettest run by far. So far that is....

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z GEFS 10 Day Rainfall totals. (4-run trend) The wettest run by far. So far that is....

All about the placement of the AR band of moisture on Tuesday and Wednesday.    This run has it squarely over western WA and OR.