December 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Cold Snap]

24 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I’m optimistic regardless of the sentiment on here. Could be the best chance for flakes all year. 

Even though it only shows about a dusting for me I’ll take what I can get during a strong Nino.

[MV_snow]

3 hours ago, MossMan said:

We weren’t quite to this current level just yet, but things were very bleak here in January 2019…And Phil was keeping us updated regularly on the hopelessness…Just like right now.

I wonder who “liked” this post originally? Must have been Tim!

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, MV_snow said:

I wonder who “liked” this post originally? Must have been Tim!

I was surprisingly on board for a good part of January.    Then started to doubt in the lead up.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Seems like Hood Canal is almost a lock.

And really it looks like it won't even be that borderline for a short time. Some offshore flow, fairly cold airmass and ample moisture should do the trick. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

8 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Yep, if the airmass right now was just a bit colder it would be fairly decent more region wide overrunning event, I wouldn't be shocked to at least see a mix out this way for a bit at some point tomorrow.

I think you will get some light accumulation 

[RayRay]

Going back from Redmond to my parents place in Kitsap peninsula just so I can see some snow.

[SnowWillarrive]

57 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

NAM looks good!

 

Looking better!! Better runs coming. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah February 2019 was insane. My wife had an emergency appendectomy the day after the Super Bowl though. She went to work (night shift) and got sent home sick at 2am. Had to drive back home in the snow. Then decided to go to the hospital at 4:30am and drive down by herself in the snow. Our daughter was home and sick, so I had to stay home. That whole week was a bit of a blur. 

[MossMan]

25 minutes ago, MV_snow said:

I wonder who “liked” this post originally? Must have been Tim!

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

 

Obvious mistake. He intended to downvote it.

[Cascadia_Wx]

9 minutes ago, MossMan said:

 

Note the date. Hindsight is 20/19

[ShawniganLake]

1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Same temperature here. And yes, it does.

35.6 here.  Surface temps are basically always meaningless the night before in these situations.  I’ve seen it go from low 40s to low 30s as the precip moves in many times. 

[TT-SEA]

15 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Obvious mistake. He intended to downvote it.

Our favorite online bully always downvotes.     More than anyone else by a factor of 50.  Definitely a mistake.   

[TT-SEA]

21 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yeah February 2019 was insane. My wife had an emergency appendectomy the day after the Super Bowl though. She went to work (night shift) and got sent home sick at 2am. Had to drive back home in the snow. Then decided to go to the hospital at 4:30am and drive down by herself in the snow. Our daughter was home and sick, so I had to stay home. That whole week was a bit of a blur. 

Wow... that is some chaos. 

i remember hauling the snowblower out of the shed and pushing it up the hill through the grass at half time of the Super Bowl.    Did not see that grass again for 6 weeiks.

[TT-SEA]

12 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

35.6 here.  Surface temps are basically always meaningless the night before in these situations.  I’ve seen it go from low 40s to low 30s as the precip moves in many times. 

Antecedent conditions definitely seem meaningless in this type of set up.   Its going to drop to whatever the air mass supports automatically when precip arrives.   The opposite seems to be true with overrunning events.

[Cascadia_Wx]

28 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yeah February 2019 was insane. My wife had an emergency appendectomy the day after the Super Bowl though. She went to work (night shift) and got sent home sick at 2am. Had to drive back home in the snow. Then decided to go to the hospital at 4:30am and drive down by herself in the snow. Our daughter was home and sick, so I had to stay home. That whole week was a bit of a blur. 

I had my emergency appendectomy that August. Must have been something in the air that year, Andrew.

[MossMan]

26 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Obvious mistake. He intended to downvote it.

I believe those were the days where we had one option…wieners and downvotes were not yet invented! 

[GHweatherChris]

11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Our favorite online bully always downvotes.     More than anyone else by a factor of 50.  Definitely a mistake.   

This is uncalled for.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, MossMan said:

I believe those were the days where we had one option…wieners and downvotes were not yet invented! 

I liked it the following October when I was reliving the Jan/Feb 2019 progression, because it underscored how woefully wrong Phil (and many of us) were in the lead up. 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

This is uncalled for.

I didn't pick the fight,   

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

This is uncalled for.

I appreciate that, but it’s best to just avoid adding fuel to the fire period.

[TT-SEA]

On 1/13/2019 at 10:41 AM, TT-SEA said:

 

I feel it coming... early February will be the time to score here.

 

On 1/13/2019 at 12:05 PM, TT-SEA said:

 

This upcoming pattern is ripe for retrogression. And early February is a classic time to score here... and ENSO is close to neutral now. Its coming and I will remind you of this in 3 weeks.

 

On 1/14/2019 at 12:12 PM, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS not there in the 10-15 day period.   I think my early February call is on target still... and the models will wait another week and then start looking really good.

 

 

I was on board... but then really started doubting a week later so can't really say I called it if I pulled back during the lead up.   

[TT-SEA]

12 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I appreciate that, but it’s best to just avoid adding fuel to the fire period.

You lit the fire.  Arsonist taking credit for putting out the fire.  

[TT-SEA]

00Z GFS is running.   Hood Canal and Vancouver Island are going to get snow.  Not so sure about the east side of the Puget Sound.

[Phishy Wx]

32 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wow... that is some chaos. 

i remember hauling the snowblower out of the shed and pushing it up the hill through the grass at half time of the Super Bowl.    Did not see that grass again for 6 weeiks.

yeah we got pretty deep over here.  had a ground blizzard on 3/1

[Phishy Wx]

FTR, I had an emergency appendectomy in 1989 during Hurricane Hugo 

 

was actually in the hospital in Columbia, SC when that storm ripped through SC.  age 14

[TT-SEA]

Sort of interesting that we have a decent chance of snow with this set up.   Doesn't always take a cold trough.

[SouthHillFrosty]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z GFS is running.   Hood Canal and Vancouver Island are going to get snow.  Not so sure about the east side of the Puget Sound.

LFGGGGGG! We up baby LFG. IM SO EXCITED. Drop a W in chat.

Edited December 9, 2023 by SouthHillFrosty

[FroYoBro]

10 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

LFGGGGGG! We up baby LFG. IM SO EXCITED. Drop a W in chat.

nah

[HuskyMaestro]

15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z GFS is running.   Hood Canal and Vancouver Island are going to get snow.  Not so sure about the east side of the Puget Sound.

4" for Fife, pls snow gods!

[SnowySeeker50]

Looking good for atleast a few snowflakes tomorrow hopefully. Currently 36f.

[SnowWillarrive]

31 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z GFS is running.   Hood Canal and Vancouver Island are going to get snow.  Not so sure about the east side of the Puget Sound.

Improved 

[ShawniganLake]

16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z GFS is running.   Hood Canal and Vancouver Island are going to get snow.  Not so sure about the east side of the Puget Sound.

Only December 8th and already looking at my second snow of the season.  Could be worse. 

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

2 hours ago, GHweatherChris said:

Seattle NWS is not biting at all at the chance of any lowish level snow.

That's a positive sign.

[snow_wizard]

This snow threat tomorrow looks 100% legit now.  The GFS has gotten progressively better even for my area.  Some of the usual snowy spots look really solid now.

Currently 36 here and some places are already down to freezing.

[SnowWillarrive]

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

This snow threat tomorrow looks 100% legit now.  The GFS has gotten progressively better even for my area.  Some of the usual snowy spot look really solid now.

Currently 36 here and some places are already down to freezing.

I’m optimistic that East King County will at least seem flakes flying. Would be nice to get a surprise snow. 

[snow_wizard]

 

16 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Only December 8th and already looking at my second snow of the season.  Could be worse. 

Ya think?

[snow_wizard]

5 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

That's a positive sign.

Surprising the NWS is totally ignoring it given the numbers forecast for the mid levels tomorrow.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

I’m optimistic that East king county will at least seem flakes flying. Would be nice to get a surprise snow. 

Offshore flow will be fairly weak and we are supposed to have good precip intensity.

[snow_wizard]

The GFS starts shoving everything south of WA during week two.  Could leave us in a fairly chilly situation.