January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part I)

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, OysterPrintout said:

Gets there Friday but man we've been burned by these N/S events getting held up at customs a LOT in the last 25-30 years 

Definitely.

[the_convergence_zone]

Oregon might get less cold but they will get a f*** ton of snow out of this stronger low next Friday. 

[DeepFriedEgg]

Just now, TacomaWx said:

I feel bad for the new people who are just trying to understand what’s going on but people are blurting out complete nonsense.

LOL what? All reactions have been accurate so far. Better for WA, worse for OR (on this run of course). 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, the_convergence_zone said:

Oregon might get less cold but they will get a f*** ton of snow out of this stronger low next Friday. 

I just had like ten deja vus.

[SnarkyGoblin]

If anything, the colder air is further west on this run - just out in the water in BC.

[Front Ranger]

1 minute ago, OysterPrintout said:

Gets there Friday but man we've been burned by these N/S events getting held up at customs a LOT in the last 6-7 years 

Exactly. Still looks good now at face value, but we know we can't take these depictions of Arctic front progress at face value. Gotta have the large scale dynamics to support full penetration.

[Kolk1604]

It's just sitting there yet? Also looks to be stronger this run 

[Mid Valley Duck]

The ridge really does want to amplify but that cutoff beats it up and makes it float pretty far to the north. Creates a strong ridge bridge to the Greenland block.

[Ziess]

2 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

Gets there Friday but man we've been burned by these N/S events getting held up at customs a LOT in the last 6-7 years 

This is all my fault, I was thinking exactly that last night. I jinxed it. 

[Timmy]

It is kinda wild that at hour 192 it is in a camp of its own. Not really like either other model

[DeepFriedEgg]

1 minute ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

The ridge really does want to amplify but that cutoff beats it up and makes it float pretty far to the north. Creates a strong ridge bridge to the Greenland block.

Yes if we can get rid of that cutoff low we're golden

[Slushy Inch]

Nice pscz snow. Definitely don’t want the trend north to continue 

[Front Ranger]

2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

It's just sitting there yet? Also looks to be stronger this run 

Too much bridging of the ridging.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, SnarkyGoblin said:

If anything, the colder air is further west on this run - just out in the water in BC.

100% what you don’t want if you want it things to progress southward. Cold air spilling over offshore waters tends to churn up storm/low pressure formation which will often serve to stall the arctic front or even push it back north. 

[DeepFriedEgg]

Man arctic air slows to a crawl after ridge gets beat up

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I’m reliving a nightmare 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

It's just sitting there yet? Also looks to be stronger this run 

King EURO not backing down.

[DeepFriedEgg]

ok seems like a decent chance PV relocates into western CONUS. Will come down to if block holds

[OysterPrintout]

It's fine it's great it's just a little kinda scary is all. Still a lot to be sorted. Different runs ahead!

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’m reliving a nightmare 

Ya gotta think one of these days it will play out like an old school one. Even if it’s with far less frequency than back in the day. Others places still see historic blasts.

[sherwoodor]

6 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I feel bad for the new people who are just trying to understand what’s going on but people are blurting out complete nonsense.

Someone go call Drew Carey - "wxforums > west of the rockies: where everything is made up and the points don't matter."

[Mid Valley Duck]

3 minutes ago, Timmy said:

It is kinda wild that at hour 192 it is in a camp of its own. Not really like either other model

EPS will be important. It is an odd solution that hasnt really been shown yet.

[SnarkyGoblin]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’m reliving a nightmare 

Your life must be pretty sweet.

[Doinko]

This run looks pretty snowy at least. Arctic front is just south of PDX with it snowing at 20 degrees here at hr 198.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Ya gotta think one of these days it will play out like an old school one. Even if it’s with far less frequency than back in the day. Others places still see historic blasts.

I know! You’d think. I’d give anything. 

[Front Ranger]

Phil reappears in 3, 2, 1...

[BLI snowman]

1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

Too much bridging of the ridging.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Just now, Doinko said:

This run looks pretty snowy at least. Arctic front is just south of PDX with it snowing at 20 degrees here at hr 198.

Day 9 looks fun!

[TT-SEA]

Sensing this event is going to be very snowy for western WA.    Likely will be positioned perfectly between cold air and moisture sources. 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Not really sure if I like or dislike this solution, I'll have to see the rest of it I guess. Remember guys, the 00z might go back to what it was.

 

I will say though, these snow totals are amazing! 

[DeepFriedEgg]

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

This run looks pretty snowy at least. Arctic front is just south of PDX with it snowing at 20 degrees here at hr 198.

If this situation played out, I'm assuming someone would get buried where the arctic front slows/stalls?

[Doinko]

Significant cold air in the Columbia basin, and it's still snowing with a very cold east wind

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I know! You’d think. I’d give anything. 

Were on the same page, Andrew.

[Phil]

Guys, it’s definitely coming. Nature is tripping balls rn.  

 

[Minion]

I'll take more snow and less cold over extreme cold.

[the_convergence_zone]

The scale of this is almost too incredible to put into words. There's nothing on the horizon to bump the cold air out at all. 

[Cloud]

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Phil reappears in 3, 2, 1...

 

Just now, Phil said:

Guys, it’s definitely coming. Nature is tripping balls rn.

 

 

Lmfaoooooooo

[Front Ranger]

2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

RIP Connery. 

Never seen that movie...Connery, Caan, and Caine. Just might have to.

[umadbro]

I wonder how the Internet forums behaved leading up to these events back in the 1930s?

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, the_convergence_zone said:

The scale of this is almost too incredible to put into words. There's nothing on the horizon to bump the cold air out at all. 

This pattern cannot be more locked in.