January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[Olive1010]

10 hours ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

[Kayla]

Beautiful morning though if you ignore the temps!

[Olive1010]

Snow is delayed here now  

[BLI snowman]

21 minutes ago, Timmy said:

Kelso switched to me wind direction and is dropping in temp

Should bleed in here for us from the north before the gorge stuff arrives. Looks like the northern line is down through Kalama with the easterly push now through Wyeth/Carson.

[Timmy]

I don’t envy the life of a meteorologist today. Mark told everyone to cancel school and stay home from work. But I don’t think there will be any precip today. 
 

I have gotten a taste of that pressure too, people in my circles have been asking me and I have been hesistant on the timing of it all and I am going to be wrong a lot. Thankfully people seem to forget everything when it starts snowing.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

6 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

What did everyone in the Seattle area end up with last night? I was looking at the radar and it looked like yall were getting more snow than forecast.

Just dustings from the reports I remember reading. There was a lot of virga on the radar.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

37 minutes ago, Doinko said:

RGEM looks improved, decent shift of heaviest totals south. Looks like about 10" here

 

Boom here we go! The 12z RGEM big improvements in moisture for PDX. I remember in January 2017 it showed way more moisture/snow for PDX than most of the other models. I think it even showed like close to a foot like a day before. It might be on to something here.

[Timmy]

Gfs looks a little better for pdx possibly 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Timmy said:

I don’t envy the life of a meteorologist today. Mark told everyone to cancel school and stay home from work. But I don’t think there will be any precip today. 
 

I have gotten a taste of that pressure too, people in my circles have been asking me and I have been hesistant on the timing of it all and I am going to be wrong a lot. Thankfully people seem to forget everything when it starts snowing.

As my dad always would say... damned if you do and damned if you don't.  

[Timmy]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

As my dad always would say... damned if you do and damned if you don't.  

My daughters school closed, sons preschool didn’t.  Most schools are going with 3 hour early release. Not sure there will be anything impactful even if things freeze up, I don’t know that roads will get bad in the middle of the day

[TacomaWx]

Most of the models show us about 30-50 miles too far north here. Will still be watching the radar all day hoping for a miracle

[MossMan]

Currently 10.8

DP 7

Coyotes are busy this morning. 

[Timmy]

4 minutes ago, Timmy said:

Gfs looks a little better for pdx possibly 

Not really… low was looking further north and with less warm tongue.  Ended with slightly less snow here

[Canadian guy]

Temperature of 14F with a windchill of -4F here in Victoria. That is crazy cold for here. Definitely the coldest outflow I have seen since 1990. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

33 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Pretty rock solid agreement on a general 4-6" now across all models. Some heavier totals in favored places west of I-5. Looking like a good event.

This is a we find out in real time type of deal. Whatever happens this is not going to be a wintry mix it’s going to be a wintry mess!

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Timmy said:

Not really… low was looking further north and with less warm tongue.  Ended with slightly less snow here

Looks like about 6-10" for PDX metro, kind of similar to RGEM

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Waiting for arctic air is the worst feeling ever… Everything still on schedule, but the panic rises with each passing minute. Stinks PDX was 40 at midnight. Hopefully we can get them below 20 by midnight tonight. Those are the goals for today. PDX below 20 at midnight, SLE below 30. Worry about snow tomorrow. 

[Blizzard777]

15 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

What did everyone in the Seattle area end up with last night? I was looking at the radar and it looked like yall were getting more snow than forecast.

Dusting just south of Seattle ….radar echos all night of snow over me but nothing really fell from that. 
Temp still dropping here

22* now 

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Most of the models show us about 30-50 miles too far north here. Will still be watching the radar all day hoping for a miracle

So many times over the years when the models would show the very northern edge of the precip with these types of systems would kiss Seattle or even Tacoma I knew we had a shot, we usually always got something up here as well as the northern shield went way further than forecasted. I believe the biggest example would have been February 2010 (or 11 can’t remember now) the northern shield was supposed to only touch Seattle barely…We ended up with about 6” at least up here lol. 
You just never know, but I have a feeling you might see something. 

[BLI snowman]

4 minutes ago, Timmy said:

Not really… low was looking further north and with less warm tongue.  Ended with slightly less snow here

I see a little 9-10" bullseye on Columbia County, snowier than the 6z. And the snowiest GFS run yet for Clark County. Don't have a Weatherbell subscription but hoping someone can post.

[ShawniganLake]

34 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

This is no joke. Bellingham might go sub zero with this in outflow

Hope is down to -1F so it is possible as that is the source for the air the eventually gets to Bellingham.  I think Hope is likely to be near the bottom now so I’d bet Bellingham doesn’t go sub zero. 

[Olive1010]

Just now, BLI snowman said:

I see a little 9-10" bullseye on Columbia County, snowier than the 6z. And the snowiest GFS run yet for Clark County. Don't have a Weatherbell subscription but hoping someone can post.

That is expensive

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS shows no freezing rain for Salem. Just snow and sleet. Eugene not so lucky. We get a decent glaze too, but not enough to cause widespread damage… 

[Fircrest]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

6 degrees in Bellingham with N23G46 is North Dakota weather!   23 here and cloudy but skies should be clearing this morning.  

Hopefully this kills off some of the bugs.    A nice reset by nature.  

Cold temps might kill some plants also.  Interesting that the new USDA hardiness zones map just came out which shifted zones either 1/4 or 1/2 a zone to the north, and now we get hit with a very cold air mass!

https://planthardiness.ars.usda.gov/

 

[RaleighHillsRunner]

12 minutes ago, Timmy said:

I don’t envy the life of a meteorologist today. Mark told everyone to cancel school and stay home from work. But I don’t think there will be any precip today. 
 

I have gotten a taste of that pressure too, people in my circles have been asking me and I have been hesistant on the timing of it all and I am going to be wrong a lot. Thankfully people seem to forget everything when it starts snowing.

Most districts went with a half day down here, seems prudent but may end up being overly cautious. Rather they err on that side of things though. And yes after tomorrow all will be forgotten  

[Kayla]

2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I see a little 9-10" bullseye on Columbia County, snowier than the 6z. And the snowiest GFS run yet for Clark County. Don't have a Weatherbell subscription but hoping someone can post.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

Hope is down to -1F so it is possible as that is the source for the air the eventually gets to Bellingham.  I think Hope is likely to be near the bottom now so I’d bet Bellingham doesn’t go sub zero. 

Maybe Friday night though, especially if the winds die down.  

[ShawniganLake]

Puntzi mountain BC is -53F with a windchill of -67F.  That’s the coldest in BC currently

[Timmy]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

GFS shows no freezing rain for Salem. Just snow and sleet. Eugene not so lucky. We get a decent glaze too, but not enough to cause widespread damage… 

Rip tiger

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS shows it 9 at PDX at 4pm tomorrow afternoon. Then highs barely hitting the low 20s Sunday and Monday…. 

[TT-SEA]

Can also tell the GFS is going to cave and show the snowstorm on Wednesday.   The entire thing hinges on that little trough in SE Alaska not getting absorbed into the trough to the west.   This run is going to have it crash right down on us.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Timmy said:

Rip tiger

The worst spot for ZR looks to be west of Eugene, some 1-2” ZR totals there. No matter how you slice it a bitterly cold impactful event seems to still be in play!

[Everleigh]

20.7° currently and no wind since about 12:30am. I might have to go knock the snow off the weather station.....

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS with astonishingly cold lows in the willamette valley on Tuesday morning. Single digits for many areas, even 10 at Eugene with no sleet/snow cover. 

[Timmy]

Zr for pdx tuesday

[LowerGarfield]

We had 2.25 inches of snow on my snowboard so I'm rounding up to 2.30 and that's since 9pm. The second photo is my snow depth. On our grill's flat surface.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

GFS shows no freezing rain for Salem. Just snow and sleet. Eugene not so lucky. We get a decent glaze too, but not enough to cause widespread damage… 

At this point I refuse to believe all of the freezing rain being shown in salem. I'm guessing it'll be 3 inches of snow, 1 inch of sleet.

 

 

Albany and Eugene though, they could get an inch of zr... hoping everyone there stays warm, because that would cause a massive power outage.

[ShawniganLake]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Can also tell the GFS is going to cave and show the snowstorm on Wednesday.   The entire thing hinges on that little trough in SE Alaska not getting absorbed into the trough to the west.   This run is going to have it crash right down on us.

You jinxed it.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Down to 7 at Pendleton, 18 in the Dalles and in the 10-12 range a few miles east of the Dalles. Once the east wind ramps up at PDX their temp is going to drop like a rock. 

[Timmy]

wind just switched in scappoose. It’s happening