February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

The skiing is gonna be AWESOMMEEE next week! Quite a few days where the snow ratio is gonna be in the 20s at bachelor, not quite Utah or Alaska powder but it'll be pretty great. 

[Cold Snap]

16 minutes ago, Snowlova said:

latest HRRRRRRRRRR nails south snohomish

6” for me if this verifies!

[Deweydog]

LARGE RAIN DROPS

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Looks like some nice sunny crisp days here for the next 2 days. Only shot at snow will be with the fronts otherwise NW flow will keep it high and dry just like today.

[BLI snowman]

21 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

48 with a low overcast and light rain here.

Think he's down in Eugene now? 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Most impressive shadow of the winter here with a ripping west wind and that almost never happens here. Blowing 20-40

[Cascadia_Wx]

21 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Looks like some nice sunny crisp days here for the next 2 days. Only shot at snow will be with the fronts otherwise NW flow will keep it high and dry just like today.

Looking more active down this way now

[Snownerd3000]

2 hours ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Hey FUKK you punk, come say to me face, I will give you my address. 

All love, can't miss up a chance to poke a bear. Don't you have a place in Okanagan? Give me the addy let's hang. 

[Chewbacca Defense]

.67" since midnight and 45 degrees....quite ducky out!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Looking more active down this way now

Ya, like I said earlier my.best shot is with overrunning potential when the next front arrives.  But the models always have a hard time with shower type systems because they change faster and develop so fast models can't keep up. What sux is I will be cold enough for snow all week except for about a 24hr period this week.

[T-Town]

1 minute ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

.67" since midnight and 45 degrees....quite ducky out!

Only .11 here. Definitely getting shadowed. 

[bainbridgekid]

43 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

18z HRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR (better map than pivotal, this one is higher res)

A 7 inch bullseye right over my house. This is acceptable.

[MV_snow]

Some models are showing crazy amounts of rain here on Wed with highs in the mid 40s. Almost like a cold AR with the mountains getting nuked.

[SnarkyGoblin]

Annnnnnd another Seattle Skunk Special it looks like.

We're really paying for our previous solid winters.

[Cascadia_Wx]

9 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Ya, like I said earlier my.best shot is with overrunning potential when the next front arrives.  But the models always have a hard time with shower type systems because they change faster and develop so fast models can't keep up. What sux is I will be cold enough for snow all week except for about a 24hr period this week.

Still a lot up the the air for the coming week (hopefully most of it snow!) Like you said some of these mesoscale features can spin up out of nowhere. Big message is it will be chilly and cold enough for low elevation snow in spots at times through at least next weekend. Mountains are a slam dunk to do amazing.

[Slushy Inch]

7 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

Annnnnnd another Seattle Skunk Special it looks like.

We're really paying for our previous solid winters.

Depends and where and if a pscz sets up. If it does it will probably be on the strong side.

[Tanis Leach]

49 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

The skiing is gonna be AWESOMMEEE next week! Quite a few days where the snow ratio is gonna be in the 20s at bachelor, not quite Utah or Alaska powder but it'll be pretty great. 

Spring Passes may be a wise investment. 

 

Especially at Meadows since they're good for nights now, then all day in March 5th. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

I like how the 12z EPS now keeps upper levels on the cool side through 3/10 or so. This pattern is such a godsend for the Cascades and Olympics.

[Slushy Inch]

6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I like how the 12z EPS now keeps upper levels on the cool side through 3/10 or so. This pattern is such a godsend for the Cascades and Olympics.

Snowpack is going to end up pretty good! Amazing for a strong El nino

[Slushy Inch]

Pscz gets started in the classic location on hrrr early tomorrow.

[Meatyorologist]

Despite all my recent b!tching models have silently changed their tune over the last few days and turned the King/Snohomish border tonight into ground zero, and perhaps again tomorrow night. PSCZ snows can escalate pretty quickly if they stall, so I'm cautiously excited for the potential tonight. Though I also know it's fairly likely models aren't quite picking up on the northward extent of this evening's CZ and I could get completely shafted by a margin of a few miles. I've seen that movie before.

At any rate the atmosphere is clearly disturbed this afternoon. The rainshadow has kept me completely dry throughout the frontal passage, but it hasn't stopped the wind. It's been gusting above 40mph here all day, with low clouds whizzing on by, and the trees swaying like crazy. Haven't seen it like this in a good while, maybe a year or so. It adds to the ominous feeling in the air today, kind of serving as a reminder that despite today's sunbreaks and dry weather, we're still undergoing a powerful frontal passage.

[Meatyorologist]

Speaking of... For coming off the Pacific this front is a monster. Near instant 10F temp drop with colder air upstream. This is just north of Nanaimo.

[TacomaWx]

Well I’m going to be working up in snoqualmie all this week. Snow up at 900’ a couple different days seems like a good bet. Really doubt we see any accumulation in Tacoma this week. 

[snow_wizard]

NBM looks good for tomorrow evening.  Obviously given how intricate the situation is going to be it's going to be a watch the radar as it's happening situation.  C-zones are notorious for having surprises on placement, amount of precip, and duration.

[Cascadia_Wx]

13 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Snowpack is going to end up pretty good! Amazing for a strong El nino

We’ll see for the north Cascades into BC, but I’m feeling good about the Washington Cascades south of Snoqualmie and the mountains of Oregon.

[Slushy Inch]

7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Despite all my recent b!tching models have silently changed their tune over the last few days and turned the King/Snohomish border tonight into ground zero, and perhaps again tomorrow night. PSCZ snows can escalate pretty quickly if they stall, so I'm cautiously excited for the potential tonight. Though I also know it's fairly likely models aren't quite picking up on the northward extent of this evening's CZ and I could get completely shafted by a margin of a few miles. I've seen that movie before.

At any rate the atmosphere is clearly disturbed this afternoon. The rainshadow has kept me completely dry throughout the frontal passage, but it hasn't stopped the wind. It's been gusting above 40mph here all day, with low clouds whizzing on by, and the trees swaying like crazy. Haven't seen it like this in a good while, maybe a year or so. It adds to the ominous feeling in the air today, kind of serving as a reminder that despite today's sunbreaks and dry weather, we're still undergoing a powerful frontal passage.

Exciting weather! Chance for thundersnow is always nice, however slim.

[High Desert Mat?]

Any bro heims out there wanna get together and talk some weather over a couple beers? 

[Ken in Wood Village]

Here is a beautiful image of the storm coming into the PNW 

[snow_wizard]

Snow map for the model I just posted.  Obvious this zone will be south of normal.

[snow_wizard]

Just now, Ken in Wood Village said:

Here is a beautiful image of the storm coming into the PNW 

That cold air is pretty!

[Cascadia_Wx]

11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Despite all my recent b!tching models have silently changed their tune over the last few days and turned the King/Snohomish border tonight into ground zero, and perhaps again tomorrow night. PSCZ snows can escalate pretty quickly if they stall, so I'm cautiously excited for the potential tonight. Though I also know it's fairly likely models aren't quite picking up on the northward extent of this evening's CZ and I could get completely shafted by a margin of a few miles. I've seen that movie before.

At any rate the atmosphere is clearly disturbed this afternoon. The rainshadow has kept me completely dry throughout the frontal passage, but it hasn't stopped the wind. It's been gusting above 40mph here all day, with low clouds whizzing on by, and the trees swaying like crazy. Haven't seen it like this in a good while, maybe a year or so. It adds to the ominous feeling in the air today, kind of serving as a reminder that despite today's sunbreaks and dry weather, we're still undergoing a powerful frontal passage.

Has it really been a year since you’ve seen conditions like this? There was a decent period of cold onshore flow before the mid-January arctic front. Major westerly windstorm down the Strait.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Snowlova said:

latest HRRRRRRRRRR nails south snohomish

Betting it's wrong.  The main models are insistent on the southern c-zone tomorrow.  Given that north winds push south to Tacoma this map makes no sense.  The northern areas may get hit, but what it shows for King County is suspect.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

ICON looks spectacular. 

[Ken in Wood Village]

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

That cold air is pretty!

Here is a closer view 

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

ICON looks spectacular. 

Other than the fact it never shows snow.  Weird model.  It has a profile clearly cold enough for snow and shows nothing.

[Slushy Inch]

Traffic light outage in Bothell. Really windy.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Big picture view of Western snowpack. Nice to see Utah, Nevada and SE Oregon/Southern Idaho doing so well.

Wish this map also included the Sierra basins. I haven’t seen a lot of posts from @AlTahoe complaining about too much/too little snow lately, so maybe that means they’re close to average

[Meatyorologist]

4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Has it really been a year since you’ve seen conditions like this? There was a decent period of cold onshore flow before the mid-January arctic front. Major westerly windstorm down the Strait.

Actually on second thought I do remember a windy night back in January, that's probably what you're talking about. I guess I'm just antsy for the next "real" windstorm

[Meatyorologist]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Big picture view of Western snowpack. Nice to see Utah, Nevada and SE Oregon/Southern Idaho doing so well.

Wish this map also included the Sierra basins. I haven’t seen a lot of posts from @AlTahoe complaining about too much/too little snow lately, so maybe that means they’re close to average

Big, huge win for UT/NV/AZ/NM to get two very snowy winters consecutively. CO and southern WY not doing bad either... Lake Mead's life expectancy has probably been extended by a few years.

[snow_wizard]

Not sure why I got the puzzled emoji on that one post.  HRRR does not show the King County c-zone and the other models do.  Pretty simple.