February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Eugene-5SW]

15 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

Any bro heims out there wanna get together and talk some weather over a couple beers? 

Please don't call me "bro heim." "Bro" is acceptable, if gently discouraged.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Not sure why I got the puzzled emoji on that one post.  HRRR does not show the King County c-zone and the other models do.  Pretty simple.

You never know, could end up that way. Really could end up playing out differently than expected. I do think based on their being strong NW flow somewhere in king county will be the target however. 

[SnowWillarrive]

17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Snow map for the model I just posted.  Obvious this zone will be south of normal.

This is a dream scenario 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

8 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Big picture view of Western snowpack. Nice to see Utah, Nevada and SE Oregon/Southern Idaho doing so well.

Wish this map also included the Sierra basins. I haven’t seen a lot of posts from @AlTahoe complaining about too much/too little snow lately, so maybe that means they’re close to average

Poor Montana/Idaho and North cascades, yikes. About a week ago I read that Teton Pass ski resort in Montana had to close for the season due to lack of snow, it wasn't worthit for them to wait for more snow. Hopefully everyone can be caught up by may!

[Gummy]

Very windy and the sun just popped out, big league shadowing.

 

 

[SnowWillarrive]

15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Betting it's wrong.  The main models are insistent on the southern c-zone tomorrow.  Given that north winds push south to Tacoma this map makes no sense.  The northern areas may get hit, but what it shows for King County is suspect.

I never pay attention to the HRRR. Seems more often to be wrong. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Big, huge win for UT/NV/AZ/NM to get two very snowy winters consecutively. CO and southern WY not doing bad either... Lake Mead's life expectancy has probably been extended by a few years.

The mountains around Las Vegas, NV are doing amazing.

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, SnowWillarrive said:

I never pay attention to the HRRR. Seems more often to be wrong. 

Unironically my least favorite model

[Slushy Inch]

8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Not sure why I got the puzzled emoji on that one post.  HRRR does not show the King County c-zone and the other models do.  Pretty simple.

Not sure I followed your reasoning and models have been much more consistent on a northern pscz. All I can hope is I get one right over me,

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

Unironically my least favorite model

I prefer the one with the extra 37 Rs.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

BOOM

[MossMan]

14 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Traffic light outage in Bothell. Really windy.

Barely a whisper up here right now. Enjoy the wind!! 

[Meatyorologist]

18 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Betting it's wrong.  The main models are insistent on the southern c-zone tomorrow.  Given that north winds push south to Tacoma this map makes no sense.  The northern areas may get hit, but what it shows for King County is suspect.

Could be sfc winds separated from convergence at the level of the LLJ? I've gotten northerly outflow 5-10 miles south of the main precip shield during CZ's. Guess other models keep things mixed overnight, allowing for a more vertically stacked CZ.

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Not sure I followed your reasoning and models have been much more consistent on a northern pscz. All I can hope is I get one right over me,

It’s just folks showing and believing which model shows the most over their house at this point lol. Nothing personal just business. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

[FroYoBro]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

BOOM

God bless the Willamette Valley. 

[TacomaWx]

Just now, FroYoBro said:

God bless the Willamette Valley. 

wILL TReNd norTH

[Cascadia_Wx]

15 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

You never know, could end up that way. Really could end up playing out differently than expected. I do think based on their being strong NW flow somewhere in king county will be the target however. 

You should write AFDs for the NWS

[Slushy Inch]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Trees get annihilated if that verifies. All the trees with spring blossoms would be crushed.

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

You should write AFDs for the NWS

lol all I’m saying is these convergence zone set ups are never predictable. None of the models are going to pin everything down…but with NW flow somewhere in king county should do good. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

6 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

God bless the Willamette Valley. 

Keeps moving north click after click

 

[Weiner Warrior]

I'd say we've had a few 50mph gusts in the last 15 minutes in Bellevue. Trees are dancing

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

wILL TReNd norTH

It has been. Also more snow now for the Puget Sound during this possible Ana front deal. Be fun to watch but these almost never play out like models show especially 4 days out. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Trees get annihilated if that verifies. All the trees with spring blossoms would be crushed.

Luckily I haven’t seen any trees with spring blossoms down this way yet 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, Weiner Warrior said:

I'd say we we've had a fee 50mph gusts in the last 15 minutes in Bellevue. Trees are dancing

Most wind here today all winter.

[Weiner Warrior]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Keeps moving north click after click

 

It's definitely heading to western WA

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said:

I'd say we we've had a fee 50mph gusts in the last 15 minutes in Bellevue. Trees are dancing

I’d definitely pay a fee to see 50MPH right now! I’m at 5MPH! 

Edited February 25 by MossMan

[ShawniganLake]

Mild and windy this afternoon. 52 and mostly sunny.  Could be snowing around this time tomorrow here. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Luckily I haven’t seen any trees with spring blossoms down this way yet 

Same here, none. I find it funny yet annoying people think that is a sign winter is over. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said:

It's definitely heading to western WA

It has the possibility to effect the entire region. 

[SnowWillarrive]

2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Mild and windy this afternoon. 52 and mostly sunny.  Could be snowing around this time tomorrow here. 

Rainy and windy here. Feels raw out there 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

24 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

This is a dream scenario 

To this day I i have only seen the zone stretch that far west one time.

December 1990. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

lol all I’m saying is these convergence zone set ups are never predictable. None of the models are going to pin everything down…but with NW flow somewhere in king county should do good. 

I get it. Seems like you’re much more bearish about most setups than you used to be though. Just an observation.

It’s not just you, but I do feel like there is this sort of narrative in our little micro-culture here that being a forum “grown up” means taking the most pessimistic slant possible toward any and all snow/cold chances. As a result I believe there’s a lot of overcorrecting in that direction sometimes. Although I suppose it could be argued that balances out the stark raving Jim on the opposite side of the spectrum.

[Slushy Inch]

Long range eps now has most of spring with below average temperatures and goa ridging.

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Long range eps now has all of spring with below average temperatures and goa ridging.

Loving it.

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

Long range eps now has all of spring with below average temperatures and goa ridging.

Mannnnn that signal over the plains... 

[Phishy Wx]

3 hours ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I asked nicely not to be called bro. Sorry if my response offends other members. 

how about Brah?

broski?

Dude?

Man?

Pal?

Friend?

Buddy?

[snow_wizard]

Looks like some snow showing up on the models for Tuesday morning now.  Nice to see moisture arrive when the air mass is still cold.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

11 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Long range eps now has all of spring with below average temperatures and goa ridging.

This would be a miracle.