February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[snow_wizard]

Man this thing is driving the models crazy.  Big southward trend now in the home stretch.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

18Z ICON abandoned the Washington snow. Looks cold and dry for Washington with a potential snow event for Portland. That’s different!

Let's lock it in, just triple the Snowfall totals in the willamete valley, and I'll be happy! Glad to see there's still a model to give us Oregonians hope

[snow_wizard]

The ICON is quite a bit colder than earlier runs after Wednesday night.  Instead of cutting under the block it drives chilly air southward over WA.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Let's lock it in, just triple the Snowfall totals in the willamete valley, and I'll be happy! Glad to see there's still a model to give us Oregonians hope

I would sure rather have cold and dry than just cold rain.  Just amazing how unsure the models are with this.  Certainly explains the unusual amount of ensemble spread so close to the event.

[snow_wizard]

Totally unrecognizable from the 12z.

[ShawniganLake]

39 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Drizzle! 

Sun is out here now. Blue skies and a mild 48F this afternoon. 

[snow_wizard]

Another little chilly interlude on the GFS around day 9.  We could be doing much worse this month.

[Phishy Wx]

[MossMan]

I will have at least another 6” between now and March 15th. MBG! 

[Phishy Wx]

19 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Another little chilly interlude on the GFS around day 9.  We could be doing much worse this month.

seasonally chilly + unseasonably mild interludes +

(one arctic blast) = summary of winter

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

37 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Another little chilly interlude on the GFS around day 9.  We could be doing much worse this month.

Temps have been 3-4 degrees above normal so far. Doing any worse would mean close to an all time warm February.

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

21 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

I prefer Spoonman.

[TacomaWx]

8 hours ago, T-Town said:

Sounds pretty marginal and Tacoma doesn’t typically do well in marginal situations. So I’m expecting nothing and am willing to be pleasantly surprised. 

Yeah this one has just never looked to be more than a 500’+ event to me…wherever the precip actually ends up. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

ahh you can always count on a good forecast from the NWS, not even a mention of a mix out here in the forecast. Sure with the trends in might only be a few inches but still com on.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

21 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Yeah this one has just never looked to be more than a 500’+ event to me…wherever the precip actually ends up. 

If the precip is heavier you could score some. The airmass looks chilly with good offshore flow.

[DeepFriedEgg]

Euro cold bias in short-mid range has been crazy this year. Always take the warmest/driest model at face value lol

[SouthHillFrosty]

Anybody else tracking the east coast snowstorm? They are in full weenie mode on Twitter as it shifted from Boston to NYC the last day. 

Edited February 13 by SouthHillFrosty

[Doinko]

4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Anybody else tracking the east coast snowstorm? They are in full weenie mode on Twitter as it shifted from Boston to NYC the last day. 

This was the forecast 24 hrs ago!

And now


I have a friend in Worcester, MA and it looks like the forecast totals have dropped significantly in the past day there.

[Slushy Inch]

18z euro is better!

[snow_wizard]

You can really see the cold front sweeping in from the north on this sat pic.  The North Cascades look really nice.

wxloop vis1km_color 12 (washington.edu)

[snow_wizard]

9 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

18z euro is better!

There's a little bit more time for the cold air to push south before the precip sets in.  Pretty good chance we will see it move a bit more the same way on the 0z.

[TT-SEA]

14 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

18z euro is better!

 

[BLI snowman]

2 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Another little chilly interlude on the GFS around day 9.  We could be doing much worse this month.

At least we're not Minneapolis, where it is currently running 19 degrees above normal this month:

 

 

[TacomaWx]

17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

These snow maps are definitely reminding me of the chilly weather in late February and early March last year here that didn’t amount to much near sea level. 

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

At least we're not Minneapolis, where it is currently running 19 degrees above normal this month:

 

 

But even at +19 they have had lows in the 20s almost every night this month.   So maybe people would take that weather!

[MossMan]

11 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

These snow maps are definitely reminding me of the chilly weather in late February and early March last year here that didn’t amount to much near sea level. 

I will take anything close to that!! 

[Phishy Wx]

26 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

I'll believe it when I see it.  guess its good its the Euro

[ShawniganLake]

44 minutes ago, Doinko said:

This was the forecast 24 hrs ago!

And now


I have a friend in Worcester, MA and it looks like the forecast totals have dropped significantly in the past day there.

I was actually taking a pretty good look at it early. Noticed the jump to the south.  Was affraid to mention it on here.  

[ShawniganLake]

29 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

Not bad. I think if the precip makes it this far north we will probably see a few inches.  I doubt sea level areas score more than a slushy inch or less up here. 

[Deweydog]

29 years ago RIGHT NOW a GORGEOUS El Niño February was RUDELY interrupted by winter and HEAVY SNOWFALL in the metro area was winding down.

[bainbridgekid]

49 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

18z euro is better!

And yet these are the lows from the same model Wednesday night. Really annoying how much more 35-38 degree phantom snow the models show now than they ever used to.

 

 

[Slushy Inch]

37 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

I can always count on you to post the more realistic kucheera totals.

[SnowWillarrive]

52 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

18z euro is better!

Let’s do this

[Phishy Wx]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

I can also count you to post the more realistic kucheera totals.

those are

[Slushy Inch]

Beautiful evening in Seabrook on our anniversary trip.

 

 

[Phishy Wx]

and snow maps only show what's hit the ground as snow, not necessarily accumulation.  you want snow depth maps for that

[Phishy Wx]

6 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Beautiful evening in Seabrook on our anniversary trip.

 

n/m I turned my computer upside down and saw hills

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

Seabrook South Carolina?

No

[Phishy Wx]

2 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

No

yeah I saw the cliffs in the second pic

 

[TT-SEA]

17 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Beautiful evening in Seabrook on our anniversary trip.

 

 

You are soooooo much taller than I imagined!