Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Some rain and 38 degrees. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 1 hour ago, Kayla said: Mid month! As in mid January? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 23 minutes ago, Deweydog said: That thing loved omega blocks. Funny thing is, it nailed the December 1998 blast from 10-11 days out with only one hiccup 3-4 days out. Are you talking about the weather model or the magazine model? Asking for a friend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Some rain and 38 degrees. Some rain and 39 here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Canadian ensembles are a train wreck we do not want to see happen. Whatever you are envisioning, it's worse. Trust me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Canadian ensembles are a train wreck we do not want to see happen. Whatever you are envisioning, it's worse. Trust me. We do score a MEGA cold pool/inversion though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 It's over 2 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Canadian ensembles are a train wreck we do not want to see happen. Whatever you are envisioning, it's worse. Trust me. November 26? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Canadian ensembles are a train wreck we do not want to see happen. Whatever you are envisioning, it's worse. Trust me. Why does this say it begins November 26th? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Why does this say it begins November 26th? Weird. It sure didn't on my screen. hmmm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 The gem ensemble has been broken on that site for awhile. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said: The gem ensemble has been broken on that site for awhile. Good to know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 00z CMCE 16 Day GIF 500mb Height Anomaly, Precip totals WET and MILD. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 00z GFS Ensembles 16 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly Images: (850s / Precip) Portland, Seattle, Yakima Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 We need that September-October upper level pattern to return. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Did everyone fall asleep? 6z GFS in 2 hour 12 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 5 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Did everyone fall asleep? 6z GFS in 2 hour 12 minutes Waiting for the EPS to finish. Will post. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 22 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z CMCE 16 Day GIF 500mb Height Anomaly, Precip totals WET and MILD. Something for EVERYONE not to like! Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Looks like the evening models have taken a shitt. They'll come back around. 2 1 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Just now, Meatyorologist said: Something for EVERYONE not to like! Right? yup. I enjoy posting things that absolutely everyone will unequivocally despise and hate. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Thinking the EPS will be an improvement over the 12Z EPS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 26 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Looks like the evening models have taken a shitt. They'll come back around. Just like poopie in a toilet bowl. Around and around and around and... Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: Looks like the evening models have taken a t. They'll come back around. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Steady rain started around 10 and have picked up 0.01" so far. Temp down to 38. I think the system is having trouble in this dry airmass. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 1 minute ago, El_Nina said: Steady rain started around 10 and have picked up 0.01" so far. Temp down to 38. I think the system is having trouble in this dry airmass. It isn't as wet as I thought it would be. Started wet and then weened off. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 9 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Waiting for the EPS to finish. Will post. Probably not a huge improvement, but still it looks a little better to me. Especially in the mid range. Not sure about the long range. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Not putting to much stock into things rn. Come start-mid January and there is nothing, then I’ll be nervous. 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 10 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Not putting to much stock into things rn. Come start-mid January and there is nothing, then I’ll be nervous. I can definitely get rain in December. So don't get very strong winter feelings until January. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 5 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Thanks for posting the EPS maps. Well, unfortunately it looks like the pattern transitions similarly as the wet/mild CMCE to me. What will it look like in 2-3 days though. I dunno. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Thanks for posting the EPS maps. Well, unfortunately this looks quite a bit like the wet/mild CMCE to me. What will it look like in 2-3 days though. I dunno. There is actually noticeably more mountain snow in this run than the 12Z run (including "In My Backyard"), so not sure how warm it is. Yeah, too warm for the western lowlands, which is what most people here care about. Looked a little cooler in about the day 9-12 range, then about the same after that (as the 12Z) 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 Just now, hawkstwelve said: EPS has a more zonal look to it tonight for the week leading up to Christmas. The GOA/Aleutian ridging that had been shown on the ECMWF weeklies starting a little after the 18th has not yet materialized on the ensemble suite. Still plenty of time to go though. Cant remember, but on the Weeklies, did the time before the 18th also look zonal? Wondering if the progression on the EPS today is similar to the Weeklies. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: There is actually noticeably more mountain snow in this run than the 12Z run (including "In My Backyard"), so not sure how warm it is. Yeah, too warm for the western lowlands, which is what most people here care about. Looked a little cooler in about the day 9-12 range, then about the same after that (as the 12Z) I'll take it. Thanks for your analysis. 12z GFS in 7 hours 33 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 3 hours ago, snow_wizard said: things are looking interesting at day 10 on the GFS. Lots of blocking trying to set up. There we go again! Day ten and the Garbage Forecasting System. I'd bet my bank on the Euro instead of wish casting. The amount of 10 day'ers we should've had a LOT more cold then we have had. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted December 6, 2020 Report Share Posted December 6, 2020 3 hours ago, Meatyorologist said: Oh man, GFS might be going places. *might*.... A one way trip to the rubbish bin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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