james1976 Posted December 27, 2020 Report Share Posted December 27, 2020 NWS is doing these new graphs. Looks real good right now for my area. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted December 27, 2020 Report Share Posted December 27, 2020 DVN has me up to 4-8” 2 Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 7 hours ago, Clinton said: 12z CMC likes Chicago and southern Mich. So, I got my one weenie map for this thread. Good luck westies! 1 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 20 minutes ago, dubuque473 said: DVN has me up to 4-8” Dmx AFd said no watch until perhaps morning. Then they saw 18z dats 3 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Just now, Grizzcoat said: Dmx AFd said no watch until perhaps morning. Then they saw 18z dats Don't know why I quoted DBQ 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 We can be a snow magnet some years.. Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 3-6” in my point forecast. 4-10” for Cedar Rapids. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 18z Euro. 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 17 minutes ago, bud2380 said: 18z Euro. Can you show the wider view if you would please? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 2 hours ago, Bryan1117 said: This is far from locked in though... I think there will be a few more twists and turns with this system. I don't think anything will be a given with this until the snow (or sleet) starts to fly. With the main energy coming onshore in the coming hours and getting better sampled, I expect any initial twists and turns to start showing up in the 00z and 12z model runs. It's close to party time. 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 I'd still like to see the heavy snow band shift one more county south just to get CR away from the southern edge and into the center, although that would mean less for James west of Waterloo. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 The 21z RAP has an area of 18-24” in NW Iowa. Maybe they shouldn’t have extended that model to 51 hours. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 18z GDPS blasts I80. Around an inch of qpf as snow. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 minute ago, bud2380 said: 18z GDPS blasts I80. Around an inch of qpf as snow. This model has barely moved an inch in three days. 4 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, bud2380 said: 18z GDPS blasts I80. Around an inch of qpf as snow. This is the model I’m cheering for. Will it pan out? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: This is the model I’m cheering for. Will it pan out? I sure hope so. It’s been extremely consistent, so hopefully. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 minute ago, bud2380 said: I sure hope so. It’s been extremely consistent, so hopefully. I misread and thought RDPS. This looks good also. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 8 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: This model has barely moved an inch in three days. If that ends up being the correct solution, you really have to commend the Canadian and UKmet 1 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Wpc is barely matching any of the models. I'm lost. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, Stormhunter87 said: Wpc is barely matching any of the models. I'm lost. That seems to be the norm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 If you want to get nitpicky about it, one could argue tonight's 00z runs will have a smidge of data from our main disturbance sampled. Nothing material until tomorrow of course but we're getting ever closer... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 21 minutes ago, The Snowman said: If you want to get nitpicky about it, one could argue tonight's 00z runs will have a smidge of data from our main disturbance sampled. Nothing material until tomorrow of course but we're getting ever closer... I've noticed this year so far that it's normally the run just prior to being onshore that contains the last minute "bump" in either direction if there's going to be one. Then, from that point forward it's just dialing-in the details. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 The HRRR is now into range. Its initial forecast has Waterloo in the best spot, with Cedar Rapids riding the sleet line. 2 1 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 26 minutes ago, bud2380 said: That seems to be the norm. So odd because they run a bled run and display that, but it clearly looks like the 12z gfs. Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 NAM is still further north. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 0z NAM through Hour 51 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 The nam could be onto something Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Here's the 3kNAM showing the sleet surging up to Cedar Rapids by evening. I'll be pretty bummed if sleet ruins it. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 This is still fairly far out for the NAM. I really don’t worry when the NAM tries to be a trendsetter, as it is so frequently wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 I would take the nam and run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 NAM has about 4 hours of sleet in CR, which could cut 4" from the snow total. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 5 minutes ago, bud2380 said: This is still fairly far out for the NAM. I really don’t worry when the NAM tries to be a trendsetter, as it is so frequently wrong. R.I.P. to the DGEX, speaking of NAM-related inaccuracies... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, Money said: I would take the nam and run Yeah. This storm has all the makings of big disappointments but some big winners. Take whatever you can get. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 3km Nam has warning snows all the way to S side of Twin Cities. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 The HRRR tends to bias ever so slightly north/amped at the end of its range. 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 3km nam 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 3km Nam Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Well... This is turning crappy for me. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 11 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: NAM has about 4 hours of sleet in CR, which could cut 4" from the snow total. Gimme 4" of IP any day of the year. Stuff plows into piles that survive torches extremely well. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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