MossMan 10567 Posted January 9 Author Report Share Posted January 9 16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Forgot to mention on Thursday, it was the 4th anniversary of a nice little snow event in the Willamette Valley. I remember it was supposed to be ZR from Salem south, but Eugene actually had a very nice snow event with it. January 7, 2017 PDX: 30/24 0.4" snow SLE: 29/23 3.0" EUG: 29/24 4.5" I was able to walk on the ice along the shores of Lake Goodwin. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14806 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 I hope Jesse had a very happy birthday. As he may have noticed, I did not break out the forks and issue a winter cancel. We have a LONG way to go. 1 1 1 3 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11676 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 No doubt the SSW happened and peaked. Now we wait and see what the benefits will be. Still looking good for a good pattern beginning later in the month. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1389 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: No doubt the SSW happened and peaked. Now we wait and see what the benefits will be. Still looking good for a good pattern beginning later in the month. There has been some talk of a second SSW happening. What do u think? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Brian_in_Leavenworth 2951 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 Looks to me like the EPS is better. Stronger signal for a ridge, looks a bit more amplified, better troughing in the PNW 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Brian_in_Leavenworth 2951 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Looks to me like the EPS is better. Stronger signal for a ridge, looks a bit more amplified, better troughing in the PNW Last nights 850s 5 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11676 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 Looks like an MJO finally emerged fairly strongly in octant 3. Looks like the models are having trouble deciding whether the wave will advance or collapse which will have big implications on how fast a cold pattern is likely to develop. A stronger progressing wave would likely get into a solid cold pattern in less than two weeks. FWIW this wave has so far exceeded model expectation leading up to it. 5 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11676 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Looks to me like the EPS is better. Stronger signal for a ridge, looks a bit more amplified, better troughing in the PNW That has been the case for a couple of days now, although a couple of recent GFS ensemble runs have looked decent too. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5580 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Last nights 850s Wonder why weathermodels gets its EPS data sooner than WB? 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11676 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Last nights 850s Nice improvement! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14090 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I hope Jesse had a very happy birthday. As he may have noticed, I did not break out the forks and issue a winter cancel. We have a LONG way to go. 1 1 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
Brian_in_Leavenworth 2951 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Wonder why weathermodels gets its EPS data sooner than WB? Does WB wait until all the hours are in, or does it slowly show it as data comes in? WB should be better, as it is more expensive. I do like their graphics better. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11676 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: Wonder why weathermodels gets its EPS data sooner than WB? I think the weatherbell maps are better quality (graphics wise) and probably take longer to produce. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11676 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Does WB wait until all the hours are in, or does it slowly show it as data comes in? WB should be better, as it is more expensive. I do like their graphics better. They produce it as it comes in. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5580 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: I think the weatherbell maps are better quality (graphics wise) and probably take longer to produce. Makes sense. Esp with their detailed snowfall data and such. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11676 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 9 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: There has been some talk of a second SSW happening. What do u think? Maybe, but it would be quick. The GFS at least shows it really collapsing well before the end of the month. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
Popular Post TT-SEA 3697 Posted January 9 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 9 12Z EPS shows a strong signal at the end of the run... its coming. Really feels like 2019. 8 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Timmy_Supercell 2223 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Was looking like things would really dry out, now precip looks to be near normal over the next couple weeks. Should be some nice dry days in there too. I like it when there's a balance of both snow and rain here. Snow 4 months straight I'm not sure I'd like. lol Bring on that AR! Quote Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR ------------------------------------------------------------------- Snowfall (with % of seasonal average) 2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%) 2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%) 2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%) 2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%) 2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%) 2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%) 2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%) 2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%) 2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%) 2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%) 2020-2021 - 15.20" Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%) Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%) Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%) Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%) 2021 Thunderstorms --/--, Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours) Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019) Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012) Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012) T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011) 1980-2015 Avg = 12 Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) "Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016) Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports) (06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011) Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14090 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 9 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: There has been some talk of a second SSW happening. What do u think? Another warming event is gaining model support starting about a week from now, which I’m gathering is pretty weird... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11676 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 No doubt that EPS is very promising. Strong -PNA and west based -NAO later in he run. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5580 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 EC ensemble Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
Brian_in_Leavenworth 2951 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 And closer image of the 850s at the end Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11676 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS shows a strong signal at the end of the run... its coming. Really feels like 2019. This time it looks to begin in January though. We haven't been hit in the final third of January since 1996. Historically speaking the late January events can be quite awesome. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3697 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 Just now, snow_wizard said: This time it looks to begin in January though. We haven't been hit in the final third of January since 1996. Historically speaking the late January events can be quite awesome. I think the last week of January is going to produce something memorable. 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Timmy_Supercell 2223 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 30 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I hope Jesse had a very happy birthday. As he may have noticed, I did not break out the forks and issue a winter cancel. We have a LONG way to go. Hope he had a great one; I balanced out the reactions there with some lightning Quote Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR ------------------------------------------------------------------- Snowfall (with % of seasonal average) 2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%) 2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%) 2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%) 2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%) 2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%) 2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%) 2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%) 2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%) 2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%) 2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%) 2020-2021 - 15.20" Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%) Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%) Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%) Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%) 2021 Thunderstorms --/--, Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours) Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019) Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012) Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012) T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011) 1980-2015 Avg = 12 Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) "Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016) Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports) (06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011) Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5580 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 Just now, TT-SEA said: I think the last week of January is going to produce something memorable. We can sure hope so. Whatever we get will be better than the first half of the month. Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8876 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 7 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Another warming event is gaining model support starting about a week from now, which I’m gathering is pretty weird... I heard you can't trust the models beyond day 5 with one of those on the horizon... Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 8 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Another warming event is gaining model support starting about a week from now, which I’m gathering is pretty weird... Yeah this has been going on for past few days now and it's now beginning to gain a lot of momentum. Be really interesting to see how this plays out. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14090 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, Jesse said: I heard you can't trust the models beyond day 5 with one of those on the horizon... Stick with the weeklies instead. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 4348 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 1 year ago today we got 0.5” of snow. Few days later we got 1.0”. Although it didn’t live up to the expectations we had...wasn’t a bad event and the first measurable January snow here in 8 years. Maybe we will finally get something memorable here later this month. We should know a lot more soon. Quote Cold season stats Coldest low-25 Coldest high-32 Freezes-15 Monthly rainfall-5.26” Cold season rainfall-32.08” Snowfall-15.5” Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8876 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Stick with the weeklies instead. I'm just going to predict a HUGE event to end January so everyone loves me. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14806 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 I think this will start out with some 1000-1500' snow levels the last week of January, and then we get just pulverized the first 10 days of February. The rest of February should be decent too. This is not going to be some 3 day cold snap. Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Timmy_Supercell 2223 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 Probably my snowiest week here was Jan 3-9 2017, 26.4" fell in only 7 days. Too bad only 3/4" fell on New Years, but it dumped at Silver Falls that day I think. Feb 2019 could have had a couple similar weeks but that month was filled with just a dozen 1-4" inch kinds of days. Still surprised that it was the 2nd snowiest February ever here and no individually big snowstorms happened. The biggest day was 4.8" on 02/26/2019. The biggest snow that winter was 6.2" on 03/10. Quote Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR ------------------------------------------------------------------- Snowfall (with % of seasonal average) 2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%) 2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%) 2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%) 2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%) 2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%) 2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%) 2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%) 2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%) 2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%) 2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%) 2020-2021 - 15.20" Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%) Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%) Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%) Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%) 2021 Thunderstorms --/--, Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours) Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019) Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012) Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012) T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011) 1980-2015 Avg = 12 Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) "Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016) Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports) (06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011) Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14806 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Probably my snowiest week here was Jan 3-9 2017, 26.4" fell in only 7 days. Too bad only 3/4" fell on New Years, but it dumped at Silver Falls that day I think. Feb 2019 could have had a couple similar weeks but that month was filled with just a dozen 1-4" inch kinds of days. Still surprised that it was the 2nd snowiest February ever here and no individually big snowstorms happened. It did. We had about 2" on NYE and then 6" on New Year's Day 2017. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14090 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, Jesse said: I'm just going to predict a HUGE event to end January so everyone loves me. Jim is just trying to be positive. I don’t think he’s actually saying it’s absolutely going to happen. Lay off a bit. 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1389 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 5 minutes ago, Cloud said: Yeah this has been going on for past few days now and it's now beginning to gain a lot of momentum. Be really interesting to see how this plays out. Would this disrupt the blocking pattern or would it enhance it ? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3697 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 5 minutes ago, Jesse said: I'm going to predict a HUGE event to end January so everyone loves me. Nice! If I don't see it happening and I am realistic then you mock me. If I really think something is coming and say that then you mock me. Either way... its on you buddy. I genuinely think something is coming. My trusty EPS model is strongly telling me that its coming and I tend to believe the EPS. And I consistently trust the EPS... regardless of which way its going. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8876 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Jim is just trying to be positive. I don’t think he’s actually saying it’s going to happen. Lay off a bit. Jim likes snow way more than he cares if people like him. Apples and oranges. Nice defense though! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Would this disrupt the blocking pattern or would it enhance it ? It's hard to tell, just know that something like this is extremely rare, so there's no way of knowing how it'll behave. Even guys like Cohen don't know. What I think will happen is that it'll eventually throw the models into a fit as it is trying to grasp onto the current SSW event. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14090 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I think this will start out with some 1000-1500' snow levels the last week of January, and then we get just pulverized the first 10 days of February. The rest of February should be decent too. This is not going to be some 3 day cold snap. I agree. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14090 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, Jesse said: Jim likes snow more than he cares if people like him. Apples and oranges. Nice defense though! Well you almost went two whole days without picking a fight. Nice job? 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8876 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 Just now, Deweydog said: Well you almost went two whole days without picking a fight. Nice job? No one's fighting. I do think it's interesting to entertain the idea of how another SSW attempt could further throw things off though. Especially right as the ultra-long range models start to gel for in a favorable way for us. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
fubario 162 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Good weather should benefit the Rams. Aaron Donald is ready to go, Cooper Kupp is back. Could be a very good day. rams left tackle is back too. big help. problem is, goff is the qb and he's awful and will, once again, be the reason they lose. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14090 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, Jesse said: No one's fighting. I do think it's interesting to entertain the idea of how another SSW attempt could further throw things off though. Especially right as the ultra-long range models start to gel for in a favorable way for us. You could have just said that. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
OysterPrintout 1081 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 48 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I hope Jesse had a very happy birthday. As he may have noticed, I did not break out the forks and issue a winter cancel. We have a LONG way to go. As has been discussed you already canceled winter and once the snow starts my signature will reflect your lies and your PayPal will be smile-filled 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5580 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 Was this posted earlier? 2 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8876 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 7 minutes ago, Deweydog said: You could have just said that. You say a lot of things you could have just said outright using sarcasm and humor too. Of course with my history everyone here reads most of what I say in the worst possible light. I suppose that is partially my fault. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 19 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Would this disrupt the blocking pattern or would it enhance it ? I believe one of the experts on SSW events said that a developing SSW tends to strengthen the likelihood of our old friend AL popping up. Obviously we have had AL around for quite a while now. Hopefully he doesn't return due to the newly building SSW. It seems unlikely that he would return so quickly. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
jakerepp 1060 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 9 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Was this posted earlier? Good start! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14090 Posted January 9 Report Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, Acer said: I believe one of the experts on SSW events said that a developing SSW tends to strengthen the likelihood of our old friend AL popping up. Obviously we have had AL around for quite a while now. Hopefully he doesn't return due to the newly building SSW. It seems unlikely that he would return so quickly. The blow up factor, both good and bad, will always be higher with such upheaval in the stratosphere. At least from what I’ve gathered from those who actually know something useful about it. This double-barreled dynamic seems to be pretty unusual. Another decent Siberian warming does look fairly likely at this point though. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
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