jcwxguy Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 18z nam is north and slower 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 18z NAM is very strong in NE. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 BTW, i picked up 1.5" last night and my snow depth is 8-9". If we tack on another 6-9", we'll be approaching a foot and a half snow depth. That will be as deep as I can remember in many years. And I can't remember the last time we had this deep of a snow depth for this long of a period of time. We're about to hit 30 days straight with several inches on the ground. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 NAM down about 4" from the 00z run in Eastern Iowa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 24 minutes ago, bud2380 said: Latest graphic from DMX This seems reasonable Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Yea NAM is slightly drier than 12z too here. Looking like 6-9” for CR/IC. Far cry from the 12” it was looking like we could have yesterday, but respectable I guess. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 God dang, this thing is drying up fast for my area. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Waterloo slightly more than IC & CR.....yeah right lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 All I hear is “eastern Iowa, eastern Iowa” 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, Money said: All I hear is “eastern Iowa, eastern Iowa” Well that's where I live... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 3k NAM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 It should be fun for the seNE/swIA snow geeks. Much of their snow will fall during daylight, too. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, james1976 said: Waterloo slightly more than IC & CR.....yeah right lol Hey now!! Lol. I'm just happy to be in the game. Give me 6 or 7, IC can have their foot and I'd be happy! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Ended up with 4.5" last night!!!! 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 My grids increased from 3-7” tomorrow and 1-3” tomorrow night to 5-9” tomorrow and 2-4” tomorrow night. Just watched local meteorologist who still only gives Omaha 6-8”. I really think they’re underplaying this still. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 My grids say 7-11 tomorrow, 1-3 tomorrow night 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Blinded by the pink 6 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 3km NAM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 This may end up a bust for northern Illinois if these models keep showing it weakening more. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 I might squeak out an advisory yet. Cautiously optimistic 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 hours ago, Niko said: Rooting for ya buddy...hope you exceed a foot. Thanks Niko... I am liking our chances with these latest trends. Usually 24 hours out the models are not our friend, but not with this one. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 8 minutes ago, shakjen said: This may end up a bust for northern Illinois if these models keep showing it weakening more. Watch is on life-support sad to say Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 There's my 2" in the making: .DISCUSSION...(This evening through next Sunday) Issued at 314 PM EST Sun Jan 24 2021 - Accumulating snow Monday night into Tuesday- We have issued a Winter Weather Advisory for this system for Monday night into Tuesday. Expect a period of significant snowfall from Monday evening into midday Tuesday. The last 3 runs of the GFS and it`s ensembles (nearly all 30 members) and ECMWF and most if it`s ensembles have been showing this system since the beginning early last week (18th). The SREF, HRRR, HREF, all show this system too. The heaviest snowfall will between I-96 and I-80. As we have been writing about this all along, it is a shearing out upper wave moving into confluent flow at mid to upper level, as it moves into the Great Lakes. Typical of this type system, the snowfall and total precipitation diminishes as the system tracks eastward. So the western parts of our CWA will have the greatest snowfall from this storm. We are thinking a general 2 to 4 inches from this event with the most of the snowfall happening between midnight and mid morning Tuesday. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 DVN upgrades to winter storm warnings. 6-10”. I’ll take that. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pjjanthony Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 41 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: Lol. 3-12 inches. I can predict that! 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Rgem 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Watch is on life-support sad to say But yet they just upgraded northern Illinois to a winter storm warning. Must be looking at different models. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 No meaningful changes on the RGEM. 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, shakjen said: But yet they just upgraded northern Illinois to a winter storm warning. Must be looking at different models. 5-8 inches with gusty winds. I’ll take it 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Still going 7-10, but my grided output is now 8-14. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, hlcater said: No meaningful changes on the RGEM. Idk what last run was but thats a pretty big hit for Waterloo area and west Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Our school district just called off school for tomorrow and said to see about updates for Tuesday. My wife and I both teach so we’re pumped to watch this storm from home. 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 29 minutes ago, Pjjanthony said: Lol. 3-12 inches. I can predict that! Good way to protect your prediction I guess. I just saw that. Good grief. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 DVN thinks the trend to crap out the system is overdone on models, or at least their AFD reads that way. They’re going 8-11” along I-80 in Iowa. That seems optimistic given recent guidance but theyre the experts. 2 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 DMX keeping all headlines south of 20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, hlcater said: DVN thinks the trend to crap out the system is overdone on models, or at least their AFD reads that way. They’re going 8-11” along I-80 in Iowa. That seems optimistic given recent guidance but theyre the experts. Good to hear. Heck, we still have time. maybe models trend back tonight? Doesn't seem like this event gets any closer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 18z GFS looks like it nudged slightly N from 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, james1976 said: 18z GFS looks like it nudged slightly N from 12z And is still really quite wet relative to the absolute debby downers that the EC/NAM/HRRR are. 2 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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