GDR Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Full run of the gfs 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 12z Euro is showing more snow than I can ever remember the model showing. Again, if we got half this amount, it would be epic. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Per the NWS Grand Rapids hourly reports it has now been snow for 46 hours straight. At the current time is is 18 here with light snow falling. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Dsm needs approximately 25" more snow to have the snowiest winter ever recorded. With runs of guidance today, it's got a reasonable chance. 1 4 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: Dsm needs approximately 25" more snow to have the snowiest winter ever recorded. With runs of guidance today, it's got a reasonable chance. Wow. There have been many epic winters to compete against. That says something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 I don’t even know what to say at this point. There’s just so much going on and so much to track it’s so confusing lol. I prefer it over the never ending 2 weeks out “winter is coming”. What a historic stretch for Nebraska! 4 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Who would have thought that after the slow start in Dec Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1911-1912 DSM 72.0" is #1 Had 69" in 09-10 which is 3rd. DSM is allready 1' over seasons avg of 35.3". 1 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 28 minutes ago, GDR said: Full run of the gfs If only!! I’m starting my prayers today 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 I'd say, this is epic! Iowa is jackpot. 1 4 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Good ole Wx Bell Kuchera lol. That would only put Lincoln at like 80" for the season 2 1 2 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 23 minutes ago, Niko said: I'd say, this is epic! Iowa is jackpot. Seriously, a third of that would make me happy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Where is that troll at now? 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 18z GFS not looking hot for Thursday. Probably just the GFS screwing around, let's see what euro does. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 hours ago, Money said: Who would have thought that after the slow start in Dec Literally every December the past 5-6 years has been like this. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 hours ago, snowstorm83 said: Good ole Wx Bell Kuchera lol. That would only put Lincoln at like 80" for the season Seems WxBell folks really missed the DEGEX weenie runs so they tweaked their Kuchie formula, lol 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 I have a forecast HIGH of -6 next Friday. Sounds like another shot of cold air after that late week system. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Another wild weather day in the Ottumwa Iowa area. Dropped to -4f this am.. 3.6" new snow Dropped to -9f this pm. Nearing 20" of snow depth now. The first 6 to 8 inches on the ground is solid ice. Since the massive ice/snow on Dec 28th . Over 35 inches of snow since Dec 28th and 2 big rains of 1.6 inches last week. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 7, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 The GFS continues to bring the PV lobe south into the upper midwest, which suppresses everything. The GDPS and UK do not. The last couple Euro runs also did not. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 On my way home from aurora hunting. Pics to come. 3 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Minny_Weather Posted February 7, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Pics taken in & near Argusville and Gardner, ND. Temps were in the -17*F area the entire time. Actually burned my hand touching my metal tripod a couple times. 11 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Awesome!! 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 hour ago, FAR_Weather said: Pics taken in & near Argusville and Gardner, ND. Temps were in the -17*F area the entire time. Actually burned my hand touching my metal tripod a couple times. Fantastic pics! I've always wanted to witness the northern lights up north. Looks pretty awesome. It doesn't look like there is much snow OTG. Is the open grass I see in the 1st pic at the bottom? Prob due to blowing snow in the open fields. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 00z EURO brings the Mon/Tue system a bit farther N than the GFS as it lays down another healthy refresher for a lot of peeps along the I-80 corridor. I'm pondering on what to do with all these waves coming down the pipeline this week as the models get a better handle on timing. Shall we create a separate thread for each? Ex: Mon-Tue, Wed-Fri??? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 I seriously am speechless and at the same time, quite amazed, what this pattern has in store for many members on here. Just...In...Credible...I'll say it now, as I've said before, we are literally seeing every piece to the puzzle line up for the "heartland of the nation." When you look at the key locations of the blocking, the sustained cold air mass, the storm track, the ever-building snow pack and the end result of the SSW event that took place in January...what else could you ask Nature to do??? It's like a Royal Flush. My goodness. Are we entering a period that could be a once in a lifetime event??? A 100 year event?? Who knows and time will tell...but I will say, when looking at geographic regions that support a pattern ripe for consistent storms you look no farther than the East Coast. They typically are the ones who get pounded by storms over and over again bc of the vicinity of the ocean/land connection, but to create a pattern favorable for systems to keep tracking across the heartland of the nation every 2 or 3 days without having to break up a locked pattern is really hard to do. You typically have one or maybe two storms ride up a thermal gradient boundary and then call it a day bc the pattern post storm would flush out any chance of "repeating" storms. This week, however, the immense power of the west-based Greenland Block and a slightly - PNA will keep the storm track rolling through our Sub and delivering the GOODS. Overnight runs of all the global models are trending quite snowy for the majority of the Heartland, but esp across the MW/Lower Lakes region over the next 2 weeks. I'm quite thrilled to see the overall pattern suppress farther S/SE this month bc it is lining up to with my original ideas way back when. With that being said, once we get passed this incredible week filled with multiple waves/systems and cold, we will focus on the next opportunities I foresee the following week. Yes, the pattern that keeps on giving, will keep on delivering....white gold...when do you ask??? The period between Valentine's Day and the 16th, is IMO, going to be a widespread "share the wealth" slow-moving winter storm followed by yet another "weekend storm" on the 20th-21st. 00z EPS...suggesting a massive amount of real estate covered by snow over the next 2 weeks... 00z GEFS...pretty similar... Who else has lost track of all the interesting wx related events taking place??? It's hard to focus on just one or two things bc there are so many fascinating pieces/events taking place all at the same time. Who woulda thought this monumental flip in the pattern would happen? I'm just glad and tickled with excitement it did and it appears that this is only just the beginning of a LONG stretch of Winter for our Sub. Not to get to far ahead of myself, but I do see March "roaring in like a Lion" this year as one of the LRC's signature storms is due once we flip the calendar into met Spring. The Greenland Block will continue to pay dividends next month and I don't see it leaving anytime soon. Once a block locks in like it is going to, it's hard to break it down. Just like in recent years when we were delt with a sustained +NAO, every time there was a hint of it going negative, boom, it went back (+), not this year, not in 2021. Well, I think that's about enough for now, enjoy Super Bowl Sunday everyone and enjoy the snow for those who are seeing it fly today! 4 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 hours ago, Tom said: 00z EURO brings the Mon/Tue system a bit farther N than the GFS as it lays down another healthy refresher for a lot of peeps along the I-80 corridor. I'm pondering on what to do with all these waves coming down the pipeline this week as the models get a better handle on timing. Shall we create a separate thread for each? Ex: Mon-Tue, Wed-Fri??? Not a bad idea and that would help in splitting up the 2 bigger waves. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Overnight I recorded 2.5" of new snow fall. Of course with it being cold and mostly lake effect snow it is very fluffy snow. There is now a total of 14.0" of snow on the ground here in my yard. At the current time it is +6° with light snow falling. Per the GRR hourly reports it now has been snowing for 63 hours in a row at Grand Rapids. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Hastings morning disco: “The coldest period looks to be Thu to Sat. Highs may struggle to get above zero for some on Fri. Current indications are for near-advisory level wind chills for N half of CWA Wed night into Thu AM, then solid advisory or even warning level wind chills Thu night-Fri AM and again Fri night-Sat AM. Could threaten both record cold lows and highs towards Fri and Sat. Ensembles indicate potential for quick moving system in zonal flow and more snow Thu- Fri, with potentially stronger system in about 7-8 days.” 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 hours ago, westMJim said: Overnight I recorded 2.5" of new snow fall. Of course with it being cold and mostly lake effect snow it is very fluffy snow. There is now a total of 14.0" of snow on the ground here in my yard. At the current time it is +6° with light snow falling. Per the GRR hourly reports it now has been snowing for 63 hours in a row at Grand Rapids. This must be a fun experience to have it snow non-stop for daysss....the lake is your friend! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 This is the perfect day to make a big pot of chicken soup. Looking out my kitchen window, the deep snow pack and snow covered pine trees and roof tops is what #realwinter should look like. What a perfect Super Bowl weekend! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 12z GFS through next Sunday morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 8 hours ago, Tom said: Fantastic pics! I've always wanted to witness the northern lights up north. Looks pretty awesome. It doesn't look like there is much snow OTG. Is the open grass I see in the 1st pic at the bottom? Prob due to blowing snow in the open fields. It's definitely a sight to behold. They were actually dull to the naked eye, but nothing that a slow shutter setting can't fix. Definitely not much snow depth to my north and west. Combine that with all the blowing that's happened the past couple of days, and there are quite a few bare spots. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said: It's definitely a sight to behold. They were actually dull to the naked eye, but nothing that a slow shutter setting can't fix. Definitely not much snow depth to my north and west. Combine that with all the blowing that's happened the past couple of days, and there are quite a few bare spots. was the same around here....took a couple longer exposures with my phone to make sure they were the lights. Didn't want to go through the trouble of getting the tripod and camera out in the cold 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Gfs through tues the 16th 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 well I got snow in the grids from. Thurs through sat morning with a high of 2....is this possible? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 7, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 What we all get later this week into the weekend will depend a lot on what happens with the PV lobe. The GFS continues to dive it south into the upper midwest, which suppresses everything south. The GDPS, UK, and Euro keep the PV farther northwest, which allows pacific waves to slide eastward through our region. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 I sure hope the 12z Canadian has this wrong. It shows a warm surge on the Feb 14/15 storm that has me and others in rain or mixed prep. Check out this huge temp contrast at noon on the 15th especially across KS. 3 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 12z Canadian with a massive storm in the Central US next weekend. If it verified, we might have to live in snow tunnels. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 12z Canadian at 10:1 ratios. I would think much of this snow would fall at higher ratios than this imo. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, CentralNebWeather said: 12z Canadian with a massive storm in the Central US next weekend. If it verified, we might have to live in snow tunnels. That would be quite the embarrassment of riches...lol 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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