February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion

[Deweydog 14096]

15 minutes ago, rsktkr said:

Who? Did a member of the group pass away?

It’s my pet name for inversion season.

[TT-SEA 3705]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

No idea who the **** that is. Was it COVID related?

Google it. 

[SilverFallsAndrew 14819]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Google it. 

I don't care, but you seem sad. 

[SalemDuck 309]

Not as much energy splitting the two pacific ridges, allows for the cold air to expand westward a bit more. Noticeably better at day 4.

[iFred 5174]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I don't care, but you seem sad. 

I snorted coffee while reading this.

[Phil 11753]

29 minutes ago, Snowdrift said:

So, in a sense, those years are noise. January 1985 had a strong inversion. We were cold despite the ridging. Oh well.

 

Not necessarily. There are cases where anomalous patterns are indicative of something on the larger scale. But those patterns can indeed be “noise” as well. It’s never straightforward.

[Deweydog 14096]

That Beaufort Sea block is about to rock our world!

[TT-SEA 3705]

19 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I don't care, but you seem sad. 

I don't have any opinion on Dustin Diamond... but it actually is sad when someone in their 40s finds out they have cancer and then they are dead a couple weeks later.

[SilverFallsAndrew 14819]

11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I don't have any opinion on Dustin Diamond... but it actually is sad when someone in their 40s finds out they have cancer and then they are dead a couple weeks later.

That is terrible. Probably a surprise given my naturally optimistic nature, but I think about things like that all the time.  

[TT-SEA 3705]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That is terrible. Probably a surprise given my naturally optimistic nature, but I think about things like that all the time.  

Yeah... sadly I do as well.  

[MossMan 10571]

I’m not dying until I get to experience a January 1950 redux. 

[Front Ranger 7604]

It's gonna get cold somewhere.

[SilverFallsAndrew 14819]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

It's gonna get cold somewhere.

Buying plane tickets to the Twin Cities, as we speak. 

[SilverFallsAndrew 14819]

18z does not disappoint!

[SouthHillFrosty 1389]

Trending colder!

[SilverFallsAndrew 14819]

Modified arctic air, POURS into the region.

[SouthHillFrosty 1389]

[MR.SNOWMIZER 6937]

12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... sadly I do as well.  

F..k cancer!!

[SilverFallsAndrew 14819]

Outstanding run. 

[Thurston Howell III 33]

12 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I’m not dying until I get to experience a January 1950 redux. 

You're living to 125yrs old?

[hawkstwelve 7241]

Gentle reminder of how quick things can change...

 

[RentonHillTC 582]

[Snowdrift 411]

13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

18z does not disappoint!

The 18z does not disappoint. The drunk uncle's rolling a joint.

[SilverFallsAndrew 14819]

Nice to see the drunk uncle can still deliver the GOODS. 

[Snowdrift 411]

16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Nice to see the drunk uncle can still deliver the GOODS. 

He brings the fireworks regardless of the holiday. All the days ending in -y qualify as holidays. Of course he always has a bottle of Wild Turkey nearby-to just wet his whistle. He's reliably unreliable. He needs a haircut. He needs to attend AA. And he needs a decent job like his brother the 12z.

[SouthHillFrosty 1389]

Improvement 

[TT-SEA 3705]

Seems like the 18Z run did the same thing yesterday... maybe its on to something?  

[TacomaWaWx 4349]

Up over 1/2” of rain on the day. Wettest day since 1/12. 

[MossMan 10571]

15 minutes ago, Thurston Howell III said:

You're living to 125yrs old?

Yes. 

[snow_wizard 11695]

Pretty passable 18z run to say the least.

[MR.SNOWMIZER 6937]

My fear has been when the pattern finally gets good for us it will be the end of February. 

[SilverFallsAndrew 14819]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Pretty passable 18z run to say the least.

Thought you might like it.

[Acer 994]

The 18Z is a thing of beauty.  Only 258 hours away from the commencing of the cooling.  

[Snowdrift 411]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

My fear has been when the pattern finally gets good for us it will be the end of February. 

That's my fear too. 1955 got good in late February. 

[TacomaWaWx 4349]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

My fear has been when the pattern finally gets good for us it will be the end of February. 

Or early march. We can get decent snow events in the first half of the month but it’d be pretty hard to get sub freezing highs by that point. 

[snow_wizard 11695]

One thing that seems to be consistently showing up on the models today is a reset of the Kona low early in week two.  Good to see that.

[Chewbacca Defense 1096]

39 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That is terrible. Probably a surprise given my naturally optimistic nature, but I think about things like that all the time.  

I do too....very long time friend/co-worker of mine got laid off in April (very close to retirement), I saw him in late July and he was in great spirits, and said "I just need a job that has health insurance, I don't care if it pays minimum wage, I just gotta get out from under the Cobra payments"

A few weeks later he was diagnosed with stage 4 pancreatic cancer that had metastasized to his liver.  He did treatment to get a few months extra and currently on hospice, I'm surprised he made it through the weekend, will be surprised if he makes it to the end of the week...

Cancer sucks, but the super silent cancers like ovarian cancer and pancreatic cancer are the worst.....

[MossMan 10571]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

My fear has been when the pattern finally gets good for us it will be the end of February. 

As long as it’s a top tier airmass like 2011 or 2018 late February would still be doable. Had several below freezing highs with deep snowcover with those events. 

[snow_wizard 11695]

7 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

My fear has been when the pattern finally gets good for us it will be the end of February. 

If you're talking about years like 1852, 1865, 1870, 1897, 1951, 1955, 1971, 2011, etc that can still work.

[Snowdrift 411]

We made it up to 54f. What a balmy day! Maybe I should start planting my tomatoes.

[Chewbacca Defense 1096]

Up to .86" for the day, 2.68" for this system.  The rain got lighter mid-late morning, but has picked back up in intensity over the past couple of hours.  Currently 47.

[Snowdrift 411]

35 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Gentle reminder of how quick things can change...

 

It's nice to see something overachieve these days.

[SilverFallsAndrew 14819]

Well if we get anything it is going to be a bit late, but never late then never. Even what we got in late February 2018 coming 7-10 days earlier would be pretty solid. 

[MossMan 10571]

Cold cold mornings and many sub freezing highs in 2018! 
Was 18 degrees when I took that sunrise pic on 2/21/18. Had a high of 29. 

[MossMan 10571]

10 minutes ago, Snowdrift said:

It's nice to see something overachieve these days.

Yeah that was a pleasant surprise! 

[Snowdrift 411]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Yeah that was a pleasant surprise! 

My sister lives in Everett. She was able to christen her then new Subaru Crosstrek.

[Phil 11753]

There are places in NJ that already have 2 feet of accumulation. Going to snow through tomorrow evening there. I think 40”+ is possible.

[MossMan 10571]

Forgot I had hit single digits in 2019. What a fun month and a half that was! 

[Jginmartini 3802]

Continuous stream of moisture since Friday evening and just keeps coming.

.46 for the day so far and storm total .98

48*

[SilverFallsAndrew 14819]

34 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Cold cold mornings and many sub freezing highs in 2018! 
Was 18 degrees when I took that sunrise pic on 2/21/18. Had a high of 29. 

Coldest day Silver Falls recorded was 31/16 on the 23rd. It was a nice stretch. We had an 11 day stretch, which went into early March where the warmest max was 38.