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12Z EPS says the first half of May will be drier than normal...

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-qpf_anom_15day-1166400.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1.05" of rainfall/hail yesterday afternoon/evening with the strong storms that moved through here before changing to heavy snowfall around midnight. Measured 7" this morning! Pretty incredible for May

Watched the whole show!  ☀️🐶 ! 69/41 

Here are a couple of pictures of the rainbow last night, credit to Randy Small photography/Whatcom County Weather FB page   I am bummed I missed out on it and the sunset, got the second roun

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HRRR shows a decent c-zone firing up later this afternoon and into this evening.    My area will probably get hit pretty good.    Tomorrow looks drier though so that is nice.

 

hrrr-washington-refc_cloud-9917200.png

hrrr-washington-refc_cloud-9931600.png

hrrr-washington-total_precip_inch-9942400.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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DFCC9ECF-849E-4281-B23D-E661D3955ECE.thumb.jpeg.76ca23b44f931d6022402ce584883d71.jpegB0BBB15D-83B8-49B0-937F-45E63E84F803.thumb.jpeg.1bae5701197d5b6baae3a3914c74ddbd.jpegBEB53C0A-2DE1-482D-916D-4902E7AE337A.thumb.jpeg.cfa507b293e5bbad1708b74846f563ce.jpeg8CB3286E-DC88-4BC4-9B8D-8D5D8A76C709.thumb.jpeg.f7580bd6f5893b8df188b7f8b4aeff13.jpeg

Drove over to Corvallis and walked around the OSU campus. I’ll be back to stay in September!

The second pic is the greenhouses. I’m not fully decided on major and minor yet but my minor might be agriculture.

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59 and mostly cloudy here. Figured may would be wetter but only 0.4” on the euro the next 10 days....still a whole lotta month left to go though. I wouldn’t be surprised if May ended up wetter than April this year like it did last year. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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42 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS says the first half of May will be drier than normal...

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-qpf_anom_15day-1166400.png

Could end up being 1st or 2nd driest spring ive recorded. Record is 4.25” in 2019...at 3.84” currently so 2nd place is more likely. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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1 hour ago, Jesse said:

Of course it’s a way different story west of the mountains.

Sure, but April is still relatively dry in Western Oregon and Washington compared to November through February.  Seattle and Portland average about 2.5 inches in April, compared to 5-6 inches in the wettest Winter months.  A 1.5 inch deficit for April is better than a 4.5 inch deficit in December or January.  And actually heavy rain in April in the mountains would erode the snow pack faster than drier weather.

Would much rather have a drier April then in any winter month.  

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20 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Ocean still has water in it.  For now...

 

98593759-1D47-4F56-95BC-E320A0275ED7.jpeg

Unfortunately the sun is in the process of expanding and eventually it will get close enough to evaporate the oceans away.    That will be an incredible salt flat some day.   Get a dune buggy now!

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Omegaraptor said:

DFCC9ECF-849E-4281-B23D-E661D3955ECE.thumb.jpeg.76ca23b44f931d6022402ce584883d71.jpegB0BBB15D-83B8-49B0-937F-45E63E84F803.thumb.jpeg.1bae5701197d5b6baae3a3914c74ddbd.jpegBEB53C0A-2DE1-482D-916D-4902E7AE337A.thumb.jpeg.cfa507b293e5bbad1708b74846f563ce.jpeg8CB3286E-DC88-4BC4-9B8D-8D5D8A76C709.thumb.jpeg.f7580bd6f5893b8df188b7f8b4aeff13.jpeg

Drove over to Corvallis and walked around the OSU campus. I’ll be back to stay in September!

The second pic is the greenhouses. I’m not fully decided on major and minor yet but my minor might be agriculture.

Very nice!

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1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Sure, but April is still relatively dry in Western Oregon and Washington compared to November through February.  Seattle and Portland average about 2.5 inches in April, compared to 5-6 inches in the wettest Winter months.  A 1.5 inch deficit for April is better than a 4.5 inch deficit in December or January.  And actually heavy rain in April in the mountains would erode the snow pack faster than drier weather.

Would much rather have a drier April then in any winter month.  

Idk. It’s pretty rare to get warm rain in the mountains in April. Usually if the pattern is active the upper airmasses are still sufficiently cool for snow at pass level or above. Snowpack situation would be a lot better for Oregon right now if it hadn’t been such a warm and dry month.

Drier weather in the winter can mean cold and snow, at least on the west side. Wet weather in April is always nice since it makes things look lush and green. This was a record or near record dry April and March/April combo for many areas on the west side so it’s pretty notable, and has been largely responsible for putting much of Oregon and SW Washington into moderate drought conditions.

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21 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Idk. It’s pretty rare to get warm rain in the mountains in April. Usually if the pattern is active the upper airmasses are still sufficiently cool for snow at pass level or above. Snowpack situation would be a lot better for Oregon right now if it hadn’t been such a warm and dry month.

Drier weather in the winter can mean cold and snow, at least on the west side. Wet weather in April is always nice since it makes things look lush and green. This was a record or near record dry April and March/April combo for many areas on the west side so it’s pretty notable.

2nd driest March April combo on record here this year with 3.84” only bested by 3.73” in 2019. 

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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61 here. Just a few small breaks in the clouds through the day mostly overcast. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Unfortunately the sun is in the process of expanding and eventually it will get close enough to evaporate the oceans away.    That will be an incredible salt flat some day.   Get a dune buggy now!

Imagine the temps in the Marianas Trench. Death Valley will seem sub alpine by comparison.

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3 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

DFCC9ECF-849E-4281-B23D-E661D3955ECE.thumb.jpeg.76ca23b44f931d6022402ce584883d71.jpegB0BBB15D-83B8-49B0-937F-45E63E84F803.thumb.jpeg.1bae5701197d5b6baae3a3914c74ddbd.jpegBEB53C0A-2DE1-482D-916D-4902E7AE337A.thumb.jpeg.cfa507b293e5bbad1708b74846f563ce.jpeg8CB3286E-DC88-4BC4-9B8D-8D5D8A76C709.thumb.jpeg.f7580bd6f5893b8df188b7f8b4aeff13.jpeg

Drove over to Corvallis and walked around the OSU campus. I’ll be back to stay in September!

The second pic is the greenhouses. I’m not fully decided on major and minor yet but my minor might be agriculture.

Go Beavers! I graduated from there with a B.S. in Horticultural Science.  Of course that was 30 years ago, but it's still a great school.

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61/48 today. Lot more sunshine this afternoon and evening than the rest of the day. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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1 hour ago, T-Town said:

62 here and kinda breezy. Good day for gettin stuff done. 
 

Azalea is at its peak. Rhodies are a few days away. 
 

 

6A6153B6-A0F0-4C4B-89B1-3C4E7C17B64B.jpeg

A2B706D6-764E-4FC8-B8FC-6FD64D47C1DA.jpeg

Rhododendrons are just starting to go here at my place too. 

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Ended up going back to the lake house to mow since the weather turned out way nicer than I was expecting! 

270A8378-EDE9-47E1-AEE1-E1265254815A.jpeg

ABE70D9F-8F9E-48B7-A17F-AA6D258DE558.jpeg

Nice!

Jesse should be here soon to puke all over your pics.  😀

Wetter than normal water year... wetter than normal year to date... mountains have almost 150% of normal snowpack... and you take joy in the small things like a sunny day in western WA.   If there was a way to puke on your photos 20 times I would!  

jesse.png

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40 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

gfs_apcpn_nwus_38.thumb.png.427aad977d4294405b127a6fe5e5cbc0.png

Pretty ideal precip distribution on the 18z GFS. Hopefully it sticks. At the very least, substantial Oregon precip starts as soon as hour 120.

That would be nice. 

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50 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Nice!

Jesse should be here soon to puke all over your pics.  😀

Wetter than normal water year... wetter than normal year to date... mountains have almost 150% of normal snowpack... and you take joy in the small things like a sunny day in western WA.   If there was a way to puke on your photos 20 times I would!  

jesse.png

You really do have way more of an issue with what others post and think than any other person on this forum, and it's not even close.

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Some heavy rain here now... and a loud chorus of frogs out there.  

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38 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Some heavy rain here now... and a loud chorus of frogs out there.  

44 and breezy/dry here. Enjoy the CZ! 

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The 00Z ECMWF was much drier than the last few runs with that late week trough.    

10-day precip total and anomalies...

 

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-total_precip_inch-0777600.png

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-qpf_anom_10day-0777600.png

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11 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS says the first half of May will be drier than normal...

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-qpf_anom_15day-1166400.png

OMG! No way! 😲🛸

                             🙃

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9 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Unfortunately the sun is in the process of expanding and eventually it will get close enough to evaporate the oceans away.    That will be an incredible salt flat some day.   Get a dune buggy now!

Up to grab some Cowboy Chemtrails before it all evaporates away?

 

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Picked up .40 overnight with that c-zone... and .80 since Friday.   

Should be basically dry out here today with more rain tomorrow afternoon into Tuesday morning. 

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Got down to 45 this morning up to 49 and partly sunny. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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12 hours ago, T-Town said:

Pretty sunset. 

1E70ACB9-9F76-4FED-9EB4-FB309817D20B.jpeg

Didn’t have as good of a westerly view where I was last night but was pretty nice! 

E03139CA-BA8A-4DBB-AFEA-804D6BAA467A.jpeg

7FF9ED74-9249-4E83-B75A-88CFB24D446D.jpeg

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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11 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Didn’t have as good of a westerly view where I was last night but was pretty nice! 

E03139CA-BA8A-4DBB-AFEA-804D6BAA467A.jpeg

7FF9ED74-9249-4E83-B75A-88CFB24D446D.jpeg

Nice. Is that a park or private property?

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The highlight in the 10-day forecast is obviously the two days showing mid 50's Fri/Sat here ;)

That better come with some moist fronts and post frontal convectives.

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%)
Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%)
Mar '21 - 03.30" (132%)
Apr '21 - 00.50"
 
2021 Thunderstorms
--/--,
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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Partly cloudy with a low of 46 here. Now up to 52 with lots of sunbreaks.

0.00” on the day, 0.00” on the month.

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19 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Tim! How does the latest cloud cover map look for today? 

Partly cloudy... but probably cloudy at times.   Clouds are bubbling up with the sun.

I am out mowing a sopping wet lawn right now.   Feels like May! 

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The clouds earlier this morning were very much welcomed. Now back to assault torrential UV rays.

  • Sun 1

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%)
Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%)
Mar '21 - 03.30" (132%)
Apr '21 - 00.50"
 
2021 Thunderstorms
--/--,
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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One year ago vs. right now. Crabapple tree has major delayed blooming.

710824271_IMG_1785-2254-Copy.jpg

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%)
Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%)
Mar '21 - 03.30" (132%)
Apr '21 - 00.50"
 
2021 Thunderstorms
--/--,
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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2 hours ago, T-Town said:

Nice. Is that a park or private property?

It’s a private property...friends house right up above Ruston waterfront. Walk down to get photos there all the time. 

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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Up to 58 now Suns coming out more here. Not a terribly wet euro run but better than nothing. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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Wedding went off without a hitch! And it didn't rain on us, it came through overnight!

Looks like Springfield managed to pick up a half inch of rain but the airport only had 0.33 good lord what a disaster.  And it looks like more warmer and drier than normal weather on the way...shocker.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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15 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Wedding went off without a hitch! And it didn't rain on us, it came through overnight!

Looks like Springfield managed to pick up a half inch of rain but the airport only had 0.33 good lord what a disaster.  And it looks like more warmer and drier than normal weather on the way...shocker.

Glad everything went well for you! 

Yeah, May doesn't look incredibly wet anywhere. That could change late month going into June hopefully.

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%)
Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%)
Mar '21 - 03.30" (132%)
Apr '21 - 00.50"
 
2021 Thunderstorms
--/--,
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Partly cloudy... but probably cloudy at times.   Clouds are bubbling up with the sun.

I am out mowing a sopping wet lawn right now.   Feels like May! 

Did some weedeating and weed spraying. Not too bad of a day! 

7FCDB254-8BFC-45B9-87C3-F04487C85754.jpeg

167ED8F1-284B-4210-90E1-BCF7FA12DB79.jpeg

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