Kolk1604 Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 24 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: There’s nothing good about wind. Party Pooper! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 I love windstorms. And we are almost guaranteed to lose power once the wind tops about 45-50mph. Life without power isn’t that bad. 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 Snow for the south sound on this run.. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 32 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: There’s nothing good about wind. 1 2 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 00z GEM makes things interesting 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Snow for the south sound on this run.. First shade of grey! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 5 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Snow for the south sound on this run.. I was joking about snowboarding on Halloween but…… this could be a record start to the skiing season Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 WB pepto version for good measure. 3 1 1 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 00z GFS - 10 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly. 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I was joking about snowboarding on Halloween but…… this could be a record start to the skiing season Right mountains get lit 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 Bomb cyclone sounds nice 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 Just now, Kolk1604 said: Bomb cyclone sounds nice ANALogs Gone Wild 2021: Bombs Away! 2 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Bomb cyclone sounds nice We'll know by Thursday 12z if we're going to dodge that bullet or not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: We'll know by Thursday 12z if we're going to dodge that bullet or not. With the new and improved Euro on board and it's a week away, I like our chances. At least something will come out of this. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 So the GFS is coming around to the Euro solutions after all. Wet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 The 0z GFS shows 10 consecutive days with highs 53 or lower. That's pretty D**n impressive. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 The Seahawks were also sitting at 2-4 in mid October of…1990… Also 1995! Wind! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 2 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said: I get the feeling we will be getting a big windstorm out of this pattern coming up. It’s looking active to finish the month at the very least. Would really be something to get a historic snowstorm, heatwave and windstorm all in the same year. I think there's a fair chance any big windstorm would be south of us given the suppression. I think the trajectory is off a little bit for a classic here. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 1 minute ago, MossMan said: The Seahawks were also sitting at 2-4 in mid October of…1990… This October does have something of a 1990 feel. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 1 hour ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: There’s nothing good about wind. I like wind when it's of the Arctic variety. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 What’s the earliest start for Snoqualmie? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 1970, 1984, 2007. The analogs are like a broken record lately. It is interesting to note that 1962 is showing up and around the time of the Columbus Day Storm. We would need a typhoon in play to make that happen though. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 The GFS is only showing around 2.5" of rain for this area over the next 10 days so not that crazy for this time of year. That's probably due to a lot going south. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 9 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Lovely. I would love to see this pattern again with a suppressed jet in a couple months. I actually think the pattern could markedly reverse next month, with much drier/ridgier conditions prevailing (overall). Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: I actually think the pattern could markedly reverse next month, with much drier/ridgier conditions prevailing (overall). November is pretty much always a list cause. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: 1970, 1984, 2007. The analogs are like a broken record lately. It is interesting to note that 1962 is showing up and around the time of the Columbus Day Storm. We would need a typhoon in play to make that happen though. 2007/08 makes more sense to me than 1984/85 or 1970/71, though I’d love to be wrong about that. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 .13” on the day, 2.45” for the day, 37.53” for the year. Currently 46 degrees. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: November is pretty much always a list cause. Interesting that both Dr. Roundy’s low pass and low pass filtered w/ ER & MJO have the pattern turning drier next month, lasting until early December. Matches the evolution within the pool of QBO filtered analogs I’d been looking at. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/analogs/analogs.html http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/analogs/analogslp.html Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 The king is off and running. Let’s see what he spits out. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GEM makes things interesting I keep seeing it in consecutive runs and I do not like the double barrel component to the monster low being shown. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 52 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: 1970, 1984, 2007. The analogs are like a broken record lately. It is interesting to note that 1962 is showing up and around the time of the Columbus Day Storm. We would need a typhoon in play to make that happen though. The trio of 1970, 1984, and 2007 has been showing up a lot lately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 Strong storm on the EURO but the track is such that it gives most of Southern Oregon and N. California (as well as east of the Cascades in Oregon) a pretty powerful wind event. 1 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 21 minutes ago, snow drift said: The trio of 1970, 1984, and 2007 has been showing up a lot lately. Remarkably all -ENSO, -QBO, low solar winters. A blend of those three would bring very nice results for us. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 I simply can't get over how crazy low the heights get on all model runs. As we get into next weekend and beyond temps go well below normal in a quite active pattern. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 EC. Looks like the jet suppression gives us some low snow levels. 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 Pretty strong signal on the CFS seasonal maps for a cold December and cold January. It's actually gotten more emphatic in recent days. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post smerfylicious Posted October 18, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 Oh heck. I'll contribute a bit of fall splendor. Let's get in a good mood people! 15 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: EC. Looks like the jet suppression gives us some low snow levels. Could be a very interesting pattern if it happens in Dec or Jan. We would undoubtedly be talking lower heights, lower 850s, and even more suppression. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 1 minute ago, smerfylicious said: Oh heck. I'll contribute a bit of fall splendor. Let's get in a good mood people! Where is that? 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted October 18, 2021 Report Share Posted October 18, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Where is that? That's Index in the center, looking from Heybrook Lookout. This is down the street. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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