RentonHill Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 26 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z NAM much like the 18z GFS bombs the low well offshore down to at least 960mb. Then it sucks back in right down the straight of Juan de Fuca….wtf is going?? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Rainy and soggy game but the Ducks get it done!! Oregon still owns the PNW in football!!! The Oregon-UW game needs a trophy. A big mountain. 1 2 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 11 minutes ago, MossMan said: Their place is just a few doors down from the Oyster company! And we have hung out in our friends driveway the last few 4th of July’s for the parade! Small world! That brings back memories! Your earlier pic of the view looked like the view that I remember. Ir was the late 90s when I went. Glad to hear they are still doing it. Without giving names of course, my friend still lives there but has some serious mental health issues. Not dangerous to other people, but he does not have a grasp on reality. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: That brings back memories! Your earlier pic of the view looked like the view that I remember. Ir was the late 90s when I went. Glad to hear they are still doing it. Without giving names of course, my friend still lives there but has some serious mental health issues. Not dangerous to other people, but he does not have a grasp on reality. It seems like an easy going environment up there with lots of low key but fun parties in the summer up and down the beach, however our fiends have mentioned that their are a few “interesting characters” that live there. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 8 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Rainy and soggy game but the Ducks get it done!! Oregon still owns the PNW in football!!! The Oregon-UW game needs a trophy. A big mountain. WSU has won against them 4 out of the last 6 meetings. Soon be be 5/7. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 A cold wind blowing currently! 40 degrees. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 20 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: WSU has won against them 4 out of the last 6 meetings. Soon be be 5/7. MY COUGS! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Chilly 38 degree chunky rain here at home. 2 1 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 I went to the Oregon vs WSU instant classic in 2019 at Autzen, absolutely frigid evening during that cold fall. We went with our Aussie friends who were visiting, they couldn't really handle how cold it was. lol. Great game I think Oregon won 37-35. Ducks kicked the field goal as time expired to win it and we celebrated! 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 28 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Rainy and soggy game but the Ducks get it done!! Oregon still owns the PNW in football!!! The Oregon-UW game needs a trophy. A big mountain. 60-48-5 UW overall and now we need a trophy because the Ducks have been doing well these past decade and half. It would take the Ducks winning like they did from 2004-2015 to tie the series next decade. But hey, I won't be oppose of it if it brings more of a motivating factor to the series going forward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I went to the Oregon vs WSU instant classic in 2019 at Autzen, absolutely frigid evening during that cold fall. We went with our Aussie friends who were visiting, they couldn't really handle how cold it was. lol. Great game I think Oregon won 37-35. Ducks kicked the field goal as time expired to win it and we celebrated! Looks like it was 56/32 in EUG that day. Got chilly after sunset, I do remember that. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Just now, Cloud said: 60-48-5 UW overall and now we need a trophy because the Ducks have been doing well these past decade and half. It would take the Ducks winning like they did from 2004-2015 to tie the series next decade. But hey, I won't be oppose of it if it brings more of a motivating factor to the series going forward. Beating UW will always be the sweetest win for me as a Ducks fan. I would love to see the Huskies competitive, but it isn't going to happen with Lake. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 00z GFS N o p e Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, Cloud said: 60-48-5 UW overall and now we need a trophy because the Ducks have been doing well these past decade and half. It would take the Ducks winning like they did from 2004-2015 to tie the series next decade. But hey, I won't be oppose of it if it brings more of a motivating factor to the series going forward. Oregon has been a major program since 1994. UW doesn’t seem to even care about football anymore. Also this whole stretch feels like payback for all those years where UW refused to play in Eugene, a big reason for UW’s series lead. And yeah, a trophy is appropriate since in the last quarter century things have flipped significantly once the scholly limit got fairly reduced. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 00z GEFS (top) vs 18z (bottom) GEFS - Low Locations 48 hours out - It appears we are moving in the wrong direction...in terms of guidance and model confidence? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Same as above but zoomed in to NW region 00z (top) vs 18z (bottom) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Same as above but zoomed in to NW region 00z (top) vs 18z (bottom) It's over. Wrap it up. Next. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, Cloud said: It's over. Wrap it up. Next. I'm just way too invested in this thing. Its like hate reading the last 2/3 of a book that had a good opener because you just need to know what the heck happens at the end. What sort of final solution do we end up with that gave the models so much trouble? And there's literally nothing else to track right now and i'm sure as shite not going to do actual work so might as well spampost in here all day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Tim gets a lot of rain on the 00z. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 GEM doesnt want any part of this thing either 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 25 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: GEM doesnt want any part of this thing either The ECMWF has been a dud with it too. Amazingly we may get past another prime windstorm pattern with only moderately strong winds. SEA gusted to 41 today so it's not like we've gotten nothing. I think the problem with this pattern is there won't be enough warm air available to really allow a bombing low to happen. These things require a sharp contrast and this setup is too cold overall. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 2 1 5 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Totally missed today’s tornado, BTW. It wasn’t close to where I am. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Doesn't look like a tornado. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 puking rn 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 10 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Totally missed today’s tornado, BTW. It wasn’t close to where I am. Made quite a mess Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: puking rn Time to go skiing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Huh? https://www.nws.noaa.gov/data/SEW/AFDSEW 000 FXUS66 KSEW 150934 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 234 AM PDT TUE May 15 2018 .SYNOPSIS...Cooler marine air pushed into Western Washington overnight. Marine layer cloudiness will be persistent on the coast for the next several days. For the interior of Western Washington along the I-5 corridor, areas of morning clouds today will be more extensive Wednesday and Thursday as the marine layer deepens. There will be a chance of showers or thunderstorms at times in the Cascades through the end of the week. && .SHORT TERM...At 2am stratus was pushing into Puget Sound and had also spread down the Strait of Juan de Fuca and reached Whidbey Island. Areas of morning low clouds and patchy fog will give way to a mostly sunny day for much of Western Washington, but with cooler temps. Wed and Thursday will see deeper marine layer clouds burning off later, and temps will be closer to average for the rest of the weak. Some instability over the Cascades could lead to isolated showers or thunderstorms, mainly afternoon and evenings. .LONG TERM...Little change is expected in the extended portion of the forecast--marine layer clouds should be confined to the late night and morning hours. A chance of showers should be limited to the Cascades--but there is a chance Friday and Saturday that showers could drift off the mountains and move over the lowlands. && .AVIATION...Upper level ridge axis shifting eastward over the northern Rockies this morning with light south-southeast flow aloft over Western Washington. Air mass is dry and stable except for some low level marine moisture moving inland from the coast with increasing low level onshore flow. IFR ceilings in stratus can expected from parts of the Puget Sound area westward to the coast this morning. The stratus will retreat back to the coast 18Z-20Z for VFR conditions over the interior of western Washington with IFR or low MVFR continuing near the immediate coast. A more substantial marine push will bring low clouds further inland tonight for IFR or low MVFR throughout the region west of the Cascades. KSEA...Satellite imagery shows stratus getting into the south sound as of 09Z so confidence is rather high that some IFR in low clouds can expected from 12Z through 16Z or 17Z this morning. The low clouds should scatter out for VFR from late morning through the evening. A stronger marine push tonight will bring the stratus in earlier tonight...by 08Z or so. Surface winds S-SW 5 to 10 knots. 27 && .MARINE...Strong onshore flow is expected through tonight as surface high pressure builds offshore and lower pressure shifts from the inland waters to east of the Cascades. The onshore flow will peak this evening then will remain strong, but be slightly lower Wednesday through Saturday. Strongest winds will be over the eastern two thirds of the Strait of Juan de Fuca during the afternoon and overnight hours. Small craft advisory level winds in that area early this morning will ease later this morning then will strengthen to gale force early this evening. The gales will continue into the early morning hours on Wednesday before slowly easing. Small craft advisory level winds are possible near the strait in Admiralty Inlet and in the southern portion of the Northern Inland Waters this evening. Albrecht && .SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM PDT this afternoon for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca. Gale Warning from 2 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Wednesday for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca. && $$ www.weather.gov/seattle 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 8 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Huh? https://www.nws.noaa.gov/data/SEW/AFDSEW 000 FXUS66 KSEW 150934 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 234 AM PDT TUE May 15 2018 .SYNOPSIS...Cooler marine air pushed into Western Washington overnight. Marine layer cloudiness will be persistent on the coast for the next several days. For the interior of Western Washington along the I-5 corridor, areas of morning clouds today will be more extensive Wednesday and Thursday as the marine layer deepens. There will be a chance of showers or thunderstorms at times in the Cascades through the end of the week. && .SHORT TERM...At 2am stratus was pushing into Puget Sound and had also spread down the Strait of Juan de Fuca and reached Whidbey Island. Areas of morning low clouds and patchy fog will give way to a mostly sunny day for much of Western Washington, but with cooler temps. Wed and Thursday will see deeper marine layer clouds burning off later, and temps will be closer to average for the rest of the weak. Some instability over the Cascades could lead to isolated showers or thunderstorms, mainly afternoon and evenings. .LONG TERM...Little change is expected in the extended portion of the forecast--marine layer clouds should be confined to the late night and morning hours. A chance of showers should be limited to the Cascades--but there is a chance Friday and Saturday that showers could drift off the mountains and move over the lowlands. && .AVIATION...Upper level ridge axis shifting eastward over the northern Rockies this morning with light south-southeast flow aloft over Western Washington. Air mass is dry and stable except for some low level marine moisture moving inland from the coast with increasing low level onshore flow. IFR ceilings in stratus can expected from parts of the Puget Sound area westward to the coast this morning. The stratus will retreat back to the coast 18Z-20Z for VFR conditions over the interior of western Washington with IFR or low MVFR continuing near the immediate coast. A more substantial marine push will bring low clouds further inland tonight for IFR or low MVFR throughout the region west of the Cascades. KSEA...Satellite imagery shows stratus getting into the south sound as of 09Z so confidence is rather high that some IFR in low clouds can expected from 12Z through 16Z or 17Z this morning. The low clouds should scatter out for VFR from late morning through the evening. A stronger marine push tonight will bring the stratus in earlier tonight...by 08Z or so. Surface winds S-SW 5 to 10 knots. 27 && .MARINE...Strong onshore flow is expected through tonight as surface high pressure builds offshore and lower pressure shifts from the inland waters to east of the Cascades. The onshore flow will peak this evening then will remain strong, but be slightly lower Wednesday through Saturday. Strongest winds will be over the eastern two thirds of the Strait of Juan de Fuca during the afternoon and overnight hours. Small craft advisory level winds in that area early this morning will ease later this morning then will strengthen to gale force early this evening. The gales will continue into the early morning hours on Wednesday before slowly easing. Small craft advisory level winds are possible near the strait in Admiralty Inlet and in the southern portion of the Northern Inland Waters this evening. Albrecht && .SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM PDT this afternoon for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca. Gale Warning from 2 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Wednesday for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca. && $$ www.weather.gov/seattle May 2018? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Hail and rain currently, 38°, new low for today. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Hail and rain currently, 38°, new low for today. Exciting day. How are the raccoons liking it? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Trying to take out KRTX. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Euro seems like it has it now. Shutting down. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 24 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Exciting day. How are the raccoons liking it? They are loving it, they dropped off a fruit basket today with a note that said, "we will leave 11/21 and the few weeks after alone, for now". 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 0z Euro is adamant I will see snow sometime tonight. No way in hell. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Gradient Keeper Posted November 7, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 00z runs were boring, so I created an entry. Wish me luck. 1 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z runs were boring, so I created an entry. Wish me luck. Lmfao 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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