BLI snowman Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Pretty serious flooding in Friday Harbor today. I'm going there this weekend! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Entertaining stuff today.To us, maybe, but to a certain television personality/global warming advocate it's some pretty hard truth with probably some serious soul searching to come. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Random winter weather post. I thought this was pretty funny, but the 'Godzilla el nino' will win as Cliff Mass pointed out. 3 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard mann Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 (.. cross-reference.) http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/889-summer-2015-colder-air-mass-movement-and-distribution-projections/?p=84257 Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Here is a clip from an email I just received from BChydro talking about the unprecedented storm damage seen during the windstorm. "On Saturday, August 29, the Lower Mainland and parts of Vancouver Island were hit with a significant windstorm. It was quick and intense, and surprised national weather agencies. 710,000 customers in the Lower Mainland and parts of Vancouver Island lost power at some point on the weekend due to this storm – this represents half of all BC Hydro customers in these regions. It was the largest outage in BC Hydro history. Drought-weakened trees fell across hundreds of our power lines, causing widespread outages. To give you a sense of the damage sustained in the storm over the course of three days, crews replaced approximately 200 power poles and 500 broken cross-arms on pole-tops, fixed 25 damaged transmission circuits and replaced 10,000 metres of wire and more than 1,200 pieces of electrical equipment. We dedicated the full resources of our company to this effort. This includes BC Hydro staff and contractors based in the Lower Mainland in the emergency centre and in the field. Additional crews were brought in to support restoration efforts from Prince George, Kamloops, Smithers, Terrace, Courtenay, Fort St. John, Nanaimo, Port Alberni, Victoria, Williams Lake, 100 Mile House, Campbell River, Duncan, Qualicum, Salmon Arm, West Kelowna and Vernon. Crews responded to 2,400 "trouble calls" or individual work orders (in a normal month there are 2,000 for the entire province). Over a span of 72 hours, power was restored to over 700,000 customers. Never before have we restored power to so many customers so quickly." 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Corvallis hit the upper 30s this morning. PDX MAY have hit the 40s. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Interesting retrogression pattern around day 10 on the 12Z GFS. It would be nice if we could avoid weeks of ridging after this ten day cool spell. We shall see.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Looks like PDX hit 49. We are a month ahead of last year. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Lets save any good retrogression for when it could count. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Lets save any good retrogression for when it could count.Patterns tend to repeat themselves throughout the year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Patterns tend to repeat themselves throughout the year.Not for anything that good the last few years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Patterns tend to repeat themselves throughout the year.I've found patterns (with the exception of the RRR), only tend to repeat themselves for a limited time such as weeks, or a limited number of months. Then there is a sudden pattern change, and that pattern repeats itself until the next pattern change. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Not for anything that good the last few years. That's why it would be nice to see some patterns that favor cool weather lasting for more than 7-10 days. Break out of this rut. If the ridge returns in earnest starting next week, I won't be convinced that we have moved on from the broken record of ridiculous torching yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Mildly interesting: Ignacio is forecast now to come in a little further south as an extratropical storm towards just north of Vancouver Island next week. GFS shows it totally falling apart once it hits that colder water though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Mildly interesting: Ignacio is forecast now to come in a little further south as an extratropical storm towards just north of Vancouver Island next week. GFS shows it totally falling apart once it hits that colder water though. EP122015W1.gif That is the why the models are all over the place for next week. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Some strong cells firing up around the region today. Mainly over mountainous areas at the moment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Had a nice little shower move over earlier. Heavy rain and some small hail. Dropped the temperature to 58. Love this weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Sure looking forward to the ridging ahead... we have earned it! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted September 4, 2015 Report Share Posted September 4, 2015 Currently having a nice wrap around thunderstorm. Heavy rain, temp 56F. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 Wow very heavy rain and thunder currently. Finished cleaning up from the windstorm 5min before it started! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 According to NOAA, the PDO in August was the 18th highest on record since 1854. Statistically speaking, that's fairly impressive. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted September 5, 2015 Author Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 3 consecutive days with highs in the 60s. That hasn't happened since June 1st, 2nd and 3rd. It's nice! Low of 42.4 this morning, my coolest since June 17th. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted September 5, 2015 Author Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 A nice dumping of snow down to 6,200' at Sunrise today! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 38 in Shelton this morning. Missed the record from 1956 by one degree. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 38 in Shelton this morning. Missed the record from 1956 by one degree.Has to be the El Nino.. no other explanation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 The giant Canyon Creek Complex fire got snowed on today. They also had a flash flood watch for the burned out fire zone. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 38 in Shelton this morning. Missed the record from 1956 by one degree.Woulda broken it if it weren't for the D**n blob. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted September 5, 2015 Author Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 Just a skiff of snow at Paradise this morning at 5,400' 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 Nice snapshots of the Mountain Tyler. Will be up camping at Mount Rainier in a week at the 5,000 ft level. Hopefully this is just a tease of snow and it doesn't become a regular thing until later in the month! Although waking up to a little snow on the tent would be kind of cool. Edit: Found two other camera views. 4 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 Absolutely love the 12Z ECMWF. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 The models say enjoy our week of fall while it lasts. Summer returns in earnest soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 Apparently fall ball is big in Europe too! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 Apparently fall ball is big in Europe too!Worth mentioning that the Euro has been wildly different in the 6-10 day range the last several runs. The 00z had a huge trough over us from hour 192 on. But if any solution will verify it will likely be the stain pattern the 12z is showing. Because we can't stay cool for more than ten days at a time anymore. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 Nice snapshots of the Mountain Tyler. Will be up camping at Mount Rainier in a week at the 5,000 ft level. Hopefully this is just a tease of snow and it doesn't become a regular thing until later in the month! Although waking up to a little snow on the tent would be kind of cool. Edit: Found two other camera views. SunriseMtn_090515amsnow.jpg SunriseLot_090515amsnow.jpgThat's probably the most snow they'll see up there until late-November. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 In the meantime... Lot more shower activity out there today than I or anyone expected it seems. Nice strong band about to move through here in the west hills. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 Euro ensemble mean looks a lot different than the op from day 7 onward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 In the meantime... Lot more shower activity out there today than I or anyone expected it seems. Nice strong band about to move through here in the west hills.I see that. Nice little surprise. We have been in a great pattern the past week. Almost reminded me of the good old days, pre-2014 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 I see that. Nice little surprise. We have been in a great pattern the past week. Almost reminded me of the good old days, pre-2014 Actually really surprised of all this activity. Some really strong cells popping up on a day when the models showed almost nothing. PDX may have already reached their high for today with all this cloud cover and showers over the area now. 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 In the meantime... Lot more shower activity out there today than I or anyone expected it seems. Nice strong band about to move through here in the west hills.ECMWF detailed maps have shown showers over SW WA and NW OR this afternoon for about 5 days. I have been watching in the models looking for a dry day. No surprise at all if you look at the right map for surface details. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted September 5, 2015 Report Share Posted September 5, 2015 ECMWF detailed maps have shown showers over SW WA and NW OR this afternoon for about 5 days. I have been watching in the models looking for a dry day. No surprise at all if you look at the right map for surface details. For Saturday?? From what I always saw was a dry day west of the Cascades. Either way, National Weather Service and media missed this one. Only 59º here now at 2pm Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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