PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[FrozenBites]

1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Would be cool to get another snow event since I missed the big ones. Have enjoyed the last 2 days of weather though dumping rain yesterday and some snow on and off today. Still a few inches of snow in patches around the area so it’s felt pretty wintery still…getting another snow event would make me feel like I atleast got to enjoy some of this event. 

I sure hope you get some snow tonight. You deserve it for sure.

[Cloud]

Letting up and wanting to switch back to rain. That's actually what's happening, it's mixed now. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

God forbid we have a traditional region wide transition/overriding event.

There isn’t much low level cold air to work with. And the upper levels warm rapidly. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

God forbid we have a traditional region wide transition/overriding event.

Looks like you're going to be in it also. 

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Looks like you're going to be in it also. 

Very briefly.

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

There isn’t much low level cold air to work with. And the upper levels warm rapidly. 

Fully aware, my comment was more about the actual lack of huge regional overrunning events of years past.

[Blizzard777]

1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Snowing decently in Tacoma now

It all broke part over me again

I was playing VR golf anyways temp 72* breezy and fall 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

7 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Very briefly.

Looks like about 6hrs of snow.  That's just looking at 1 model.

[GHweatherChris]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Looks like about 6hrs of snow.  That's just looking at 1 model.

Might get an inch of snowfall, little if any accumulation.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Fully aware, my comment was more about the actual lack of huge regional overrunning events of years past.

It's strange. I remember growing up when we got arctic air we always had a overrunning event, it was expected . It just doesn't happen like that now 

[GHweatherChris]

Olympia is about to get nailed!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Olympia is about to get nailed!

Healthy cell.

[Geos]

Rain and snow in Redmond at 33°.

[Anti Marine Layer]

8 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

It all broke part over me again

I was playing VR golf anyways temp 72* breezy and fall 

What was your score?

[GHweatherChris]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Healthy cell.

That cell should have been mine

[SilverFallsAndrew]

That last snow shower brought us to 4" on the day, and pushed us past 2017-18's seasonal total. We are now in 4th out of 11 winters, not bad. We have about 18" to go until next up on the list which is 2016-17. 

2017-18 was interesting because December was actually colder than this year, but snow was sparse in these parts. We went into February with under 1" of seasonal snowfall, so putting together 30.3" for the season was a nice recovery. Out of our 5 snowiest years since 2011/12, 4 have been Ninas, one (2018-19) was a Nino. 

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Healthy cell.

I’m optimistic some people will get light snow accumulations south of Seattle tonight. We had a decent short moderate snow shower here a bit ago. 

[bainbridgekid]

Decent increase in Wednesday snowfall over the 12z WRF. Widespread 1-3" seems like a pretty good bet with that one IMO.
 

The WRF tends to overestimate the drying effect of the East winds in EPSL so I wouldn't worry too much about that being so dry.

 

[Cloud]

There's also a cell heading for Seattle as well. Hoping it merged with the one to the south for a big one. 

[Requiem]

Snow is obviously out of the picture for the valley, but that low pressure surfing the atmo river on Friday and pretty quickly developing could bring some sharp pressure falls and gusty winds if models keep it up. Worth keeping an eye on as far as model solutions.

[SnowWillarrive]

2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

There's also a cell heading for Seattle as well. Hoping it merged with the one to the south for a big one. 

Looks like the best stuff is about to slam Olympia. Hope it can hold together into Puget Sound.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Snow is obviously out of the picture for the valley, but that low pressure surfing the atmo river on Friday and pretty quickly developing could bring some sharp pressure falls and gusty winds if models keep it up. Worth keeping an eye on as far as model solutions.

Looks like a good shot of 6-10" of snow above 3000' too for the Cascades before we dry out for a bit. Will be nice to freshen up the mountains after some mid-week rains consolidate the snow pack. 

[Hawksfan2008]

REALLY hope this stays as snow and not freezing rain Wed night. This would be...bad. 

[SnowWillarrive]

Sounds interesting tonight in Puget Sound area: 

Sheared vort lobe along with a weakening, yet persistent jet streak around 300mb will continue to make for unsettled conditions through the overnight period tonight and into Tuesday. Enough mid level energy overnight may also help push a weak sfc low into N Vancouver Island. The result of this should be increased shower activity across the local area through Tuesday morning. 00z UIL sounding continues to show a very cold column of air extending above the sfc to the tropopause, with decent saturation above -10C and mid level lapse rates of around 8C/km. This should continue to favor moderate to locally heavy showers, with the potential for brief periods of accumulating lowland snow as low temps hover right around the freezing mark.

[GHweatherChris]

9 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Decent increase in Wednesday snowfall over the 12z WRF. Widespread 1-3" seems like a pretty good bet with that one IMO.
 

The WRF tends to overestimate the drying effect of the East winds in EPSL so I wouldn't worry too much about that being so dry.

 

5-8 inches works for me, sign me up!!

[Thurston Howell III]

21 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

I’m optimistic some people will get light snow accumulations south of Seattle tonight. We had a decent short moderate snow shower here a bit ago. 

Done now here.  Covered the bare spots from the dogs tracks and wrestling and covered road.

[smerfylicious]

Light snow from Sultan to Gold Bar. The rich get richer it seems...

Hopefully not too much accumulation. Took me a little over 2 hours to shovel my driveway, my back is sore and I'm tired.

[TT-SEA]

15 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

REALLY hope this stays as snow and not freezing rain Wed night. This would be...bad. 

Ugghhhh.

[MossMan]

3 weeks ago I would have been thrilled to look out my front door to this view, now I’m just so irritated that the stupid heavy rain and wind last night/this morning ate so much of it.  
There is something wrong with me. 

[TT-SEA]

The 18Z ECMWF... the 00Z ICON... and the 00Z Canadian all keep the Seattle area basically dry until Wednesday evening.   The GFS is alone right now in showing precip all day.   But that does not mean its wrong.  

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

3 weeks ago I would have been thrilled to look out my front door to this view, now I’m just so irritated that the stupid heavy rain and wind last night/this morning ate so much of it.  
There is something wrong with me. 

Covid?

[Anti Marine Layer]

Why is this not showing on the California thread?

[TacomaWaWx]

7 minutes ago, Thurston Howell III said:

Done now here.  Covered the bare spots from the dogs tracks and wrestling and covered road.

Nice! It’s 33 here now all we need is something to hold together and make it. 

[TT-SEA]

The snowbanks on our main road up from North Bend were pretty high earlier today and you had to go slow when passing another car as there was not much space to maneuver.    So this evening they bought in a road grader and pushed the snowbanks so far back its like a 4-lane highway.   Obviously that extra 8-10 feet on each side is mostly grass... but there is a thin layer of snow over the grass so it all looks like road.   Its ridiculously wide now.    I have never seen them do that in my 18 years of living here.    They are going to be repairing grass this spring.  

[Weiner Warrior]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Covid?

Snovid?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

00z GFS ensemble mean now dips to -5.8C Friday evening at PDX. Not bad at all. 

[seattleweatherguy]

9 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

Light snow from Sultan to Gold Bar. The rich get richer it seems...

Hopefully not too much accumulation. Took me a little over 2 hours to shovel my driveway, my back is sore and I'm tired.

I feel yea. I also do the shovel in the driveway for my household. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

10 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

Light snow from Sultan to Gold Bar. The rich get richer it seems...

Hopefully not too much accumulation. Took me a little over 2 hours to shovel my driveway, my back is sore and I'm tired.

What is total depth

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Covid?

Do they make rapid tests to test for weather weenieism? 

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Do they make rapid tests to test for weather weenieism? 

Lots of false positives.