Front Ranger Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Wow. This is looking like it could be the biggest late February Arctic blast for much of the CONUS since 2011. 1 1 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Wow... totally dry all day here. Light drizzle off and on here as well. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Wow. This is looking like it could be the biggest late February Arctic blast for much of the CONUS since 2011. Lets hope that is where the 2011 similarities end. It rained almost every day for 2 straight months at SEA after that late February cold snap and it did not go below freezing at all in March and April. That would be pretty depressing... at least to most people. 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Kayla said: Yeah so uhhh...this is going to be a hard pass for me! Ensemble mean!?! Shades of Feb 2018? 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Wow. This is looking like it could be the biggest late February Arctic blast for much of the CONUS since 2011. OUTSTANDING NEWZ 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: OUTSTANDING NEWZ I believe it got fairly cold in OK that month. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Lets hope that is where the 2011 similarities end. It rained almost every day for 2 straight months at SEA after that late February cold snap and it did not go below freezing at all in March and April. That would be pretty depressing... at least to most people. That was one of the coldest springs on record for Western Oregon, it snowed off and on through March and the end of April up here. Silver Falls had a monthly mean of 39 in April, and May had a -9F departure. 1 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Just now, Front Ranger said: I believe it got fairly cold in OK that month. Satanic cold. Though the cold there was focused more in the first half of the month. 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 February continues to be the most consistent winter month for much of the nation. 2022 looks to join 2021, 2019, 2018, 2015, and 2014 as Februaries that had notable to historic cold for significant swaths of the country. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Looking at the PRISM data, going back to 1895, April 2011 was the 2nd coldest April on record here (2008 was the coldest), and May 2011 was the coldest May by about 1F, beating out 1899. Looking at June, it was a cold June, but not as cool as 2012, in that 2008-2012 period 4 out of the 5 June's were well below normal. We've been above average since 2013 though. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Looking at the precip graph, April 2011 was a little above average for precip here, but not notably. March 2011 was top 10 wettest. However, we've been well below normal with precip every year since 2017 in March so we may be due for a wetter March. Looks like the driest stretch of 5 March's since 1923-26. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 34 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Wow... totally dry all day here. It only started about 2 hours ago. Was dry the rest of the day. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Well we’re +1.1 for February right now…so ending up below normal is definitely possible with the way the final 1/3 of the month looks. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 24 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: OUTSTANDING NEWZ DeVAstAtinG TreNDz Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 16 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: February continues to be the most consistent winter month for much of the nation. 2022 looks to join 2021, 2019, 2018, 2015, and 2014 as Februaries that had notable to historic cold for significant swaths of the country. winter is now the last 2 weeks of December and from 2/20 - 3/20. the rest is pseudo spring 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 35 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Satanic cold. Though the cold there was focused more in the first half of the month. We sold our souls for satanic cold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 looked back in the records and on 2/25 & 2/26/2011 Spokane was 16/-10. 26 degree range. the difference between then and what's upcoming is there was 12" of snow on the ground on those days in 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 22 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: looked back in the records and on 2/25 & 2/26/2011 Spokane was 16/-10. 26 degree range. the difference between then and what's upcoming is there was 12" of snow on the ground on those days in 2011 The late season cold wave I always think is underrated was March 2009. Check that one out. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 3 hours ago, Phil said: The CFS is a piece of junk. You are racist and probably a terrorist to for saying that. 1 1 1 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 3 hours ago, Dave said: My buddy that just moved to Kalispell right before the winter has remarked about how the winters here "aren't bad at all". I hope he get his @ss handed to him. He doesn't even like cold or snow. To his defense, Kalispell does have relatively "mild" winters compared to other areas within the state east of the divide. But yeah, this airmass is going to pack a punch for areas even west of the divide. 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Front Ranger said: Shades of Feb 2018? This one looks to be colder than 2018 by a fair amount. Shades of Feb 2019 and 2021 at face value. 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Let's see how much we are going to end up with. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 ICON is rock solid. 5 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: ICON is rock solid. Love the ICON 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 BLI scores on the ICON! 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Let's keep these cold runs going and move timing ahead. No, scratch that. I'm feeling a bit greedy. I want a bigger blast. I want the ridge to amplify a bit sooner so the arctic trough really digs with a prolific late February arctic blast! Yeah! C'MON!!!! Think Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 57 minutes ago, Kayla said: This one looks to be colder than 2018 by a fair amount. Shades of Feb 2019 and 2021 at face value. Fair, I guess 2018 was more the unusually sustained cold. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 00z GFS Day 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 00z GFS Day 2 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Day 3 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 GFS blinking? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 And, meh, next... 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Just realized we are only at 0.87" of rain this month. Average for February is just north of 9". 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 850s still a nice backdoor cold shot, but not as prolific. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: And, meh, next... Such sparse moisture being shown... makes a big difference. I remember some significant snow here in late February 2011. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 All about the GEFS and 00z ECMWF/EPS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Negligible differences. We'll see the real pull back with the EURO. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 18, 2022 Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Such sparse moisture being shown... makes a big difference. I remember some significant snow here in late February 2011. You know what I am doing.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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