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2/17-2/19 Weather (Somethings brewing, but might just be coffee)

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#1
Madtown

Posted 13 February 2020 - 08:33 PM

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I heard rumors.
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#2
Tom

Posted 14 February 2020 - 01:00 AM

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Prob just the coffee unless your heading up north...if you believe the Euro, you may score some outta this...what looked good a couple days ago isn't trending that way down here.  The energy gets split up and the blocking up in S Canada splits up instead of one solid HP like it was showing a few days ago.

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#3
westMJim

Posted 14 February 2020 - 04:51 AM

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GRR this AM is NOT impressed with the system and it looks like mostly rain in west Michigan. 



#4
FarmerRick

Posted 14 February 2020 - 06:14 AM

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yawn....


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#5
FAR_Weather

Posted 14 February 2020 - 07:17 AM

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Rainstorm here. The beat goes on.


>1" Snowfalls for Toledo Express Airport in 2019-2020: 11/11 (4.0"), 12/31 (1.0"), 1/17-18 (5.5"), 2/5-6 (3.2"), 2/9 (1.3"), 2/12-13 (1.2"), 2/25-26 (4.1"), 3/22 (1.6"), 4/17 (2.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2019-2020 @ KTOL: 25.6"            Coldest Low: 8*F (11/13)

 

 

First flake of the season: 11/7/2019 @ 10:06 AM EST

 


#6
Mi_Matthew

Posted 14 February 2020 - 07:27 AM

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FWIW, the NAVGEM continues with the suppressed route, similar to the track of the last storm. I never paid attention to it until it was mentioned in a post a few days ago. Who knows, maybe I shouldn't pay attention to it now either!

#7
Stacsh

Posted 14 February 2020 - 07:59 AM

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ICON is a good hit for many.  But it's the ICON.  


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#8
Tom

Posted 14 February 2020 - 08:55 AM

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12z UKIE...

 

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#9
Mi_Matthew

Posted 14 February 2020 - 08:55 AM

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ICON is a good hit for many. But it's the ICON.


Canadian came in snowier as well.

#10
Tom

Posted 14 February 2020 - 08:56 AM

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12z Canadian...

 

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#11
gimmesnow

Posted 14 February 2020 - 09:00 AM

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If we don't get snow around the WI/IL border, it looks like we're going to get rain. I hope this comes around.



#12
bud2380

Posted 14 February 2020 - 09:03 AM

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The aforementioned ICON

 

icon_asnow_ncus_33.png


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Season Snowfall 23.2"


#13
Tony

Posted 14 February 2020 - 09:14 AM

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The south trend will not be denied this winter so I see this coming in south and weaker.



#14
CentralNebWeather

Posted 14 February 2020 - 09:21 AM

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I remember the days that storms would trend northwest and I was always concerned about it going to the Dakotas.



#15
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 14 February 2020 - 09:22 AM

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ICON please...

A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#16
hlcater

Posted 14 February 2020 - 09:26 AM

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This was threadworthy?
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2019-20 Snowfall:

 

TOTAL: 28.6"

(Oct. 29: 2.5") (Oct. 31: 4.7") (Nov 11. 4.1") (Dec. 9: 0.3") (Dec. 11: 1.3") (Jan. 3: 1.0") (Jan. 11: 2.1") (Jan. 17: 4.7") (Jan. 23: 3.1") (Jan 24. 3.6") (Jan. 28: 0.7") (Feb. 13: 1.5")

 

 

Formerly NWLinn


#17
snowstorm83

Posted 14 February 2020 - 09:31 AM

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This was threadworthy?


These are dark times LOL
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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2016-17: 7.5"

2017-18: 21.4"

2018-19: 55.5"

2019-20: 17.6"  

 

Average: 25.9"

 

 

 

 

 


#18
SE Wisconsin

Posted 14 February 2020 - 09:53 AM

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For this winter, you betcha it counts as a thread.  In some previous winters, not a chance.


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#19
bud2380

Posted 14 February 2020 - 10:29 AM

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Lil' something for the Wisconsin peeps

 

 

sn10_acc.us_mw.png


Season Snowfall 23.2"


#20
Tom

Posted 14 February 2020 - 11:17 AM

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12z GEFS...

 

GEFSMW_prec_meansnacc_120.png

 

GEFSMW_prec_snens_120.png


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#21
jaster220

Posted 14 February 2020 - 01:09 PM

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I heard rumors.

 

Good one with the title  :lol:


Winter 2019-20 Snow Total = 43.7"  Largest Storm: 7" (11/11)        Oct: T Nov: 7.8 Dec: 7.1 Jan: 7.3 Feb: 18.0 Mar: 3.5 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 


#22
Tom

Posted 14 February 2020 - 01:56 PM

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18z GFS...

 

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#23
Tony

Posted 14 February 2020 - 02:15 PM

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And we have the ICON completely different than what the GFS is showing. 18z Nam also showing a different look so model mayhem continues



#24
Tom

Posted 15 February 2020 - 01:41 AM

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12z EPS/Euro...north goes the snow...good for another re-fresher for our friends up in N Wisco...@ Snowshoe/Money should see some decent snows...

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#25
St Paul Storm

Posted 15 February 2020 - 11:10 AM

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Decent trends today up this way. Might squeeze out a few inches somewhere close, although south and east look better. With no big dogs in sight I’ll always take a stat padder.
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#26
St Paul Storm

Posted 15 February 2020 - 02:44 PM

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MPX going with a general 1-3” with some possible mixed precip. 18z NAM now snowing what the globals are showing.
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#27
Tom

Posted 16 February 2020 - 01:50 AM

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12z Euro...

 

00z GEFS...

 

GEFSMW_prec_meansnacc_066.png

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#28
St Paul Storm

Posted 16 February 2020 - 06:00 AM

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From MPX: someone south/east might see the goods.....

Given the need to refine the track a bit and wait for
another run for the sake of consistency, will hold off on a Winter
Weather Advisory for now. This will also give us a chance to see
if a narrow ribbon of counties could even need a Warning, given
model cross sections are indicating weak CSI and the potential for
slantwise convection (thundersnow). Raised snowfall totals to the
3-5" range from south central MN into west central WI, tapering
off to 1-3" across most of the Twin Cities metro, and down to a
half inch or less in St Cloud/Alexandria.
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#29
Stacsh

Posted 16 February 2020 - 06:03 AM

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We might get some snow out of this yet due to the event being between 7-12 tomorrow night per forecast office.
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#30
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 16 February 2020 - 06:54 AM

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We love a southern snowpack..

A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#31
Mi_Matthew

Posted 16 February 2020 - 09:43 AM

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Both 12z RGEM and GGEM keep hope alive for a few inches of snow before the switch to rain, even for southern MI. More mayhem inside 36 hours or just toss it?
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#32
Money

Posted 16 February 2020 - 10:03 AM

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Weaker and shift south on most models this morning

#33
Madtown

Posted 17 February 2020 - 05:07 AM

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hmmmmm hungover in the northwoods....stay or drive home?

#34
Iowawx

Posted 17 February 2020 - 07:21 AM

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Looks like just rain here from this storm system, but I don't mind. It's actually nice to get rain since this winter has been a big dud when it comes to snowfall. 


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#35
Hawkeye

Posted 17 February 2020 - 08:35 AM

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Traffic cameras show Dubuque is getting solid snow.


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season snowfall: 36.2"

 

'18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#36
dubuque473

Posted 17 February 2020 - 09:42 AM

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Traffic cameras show Dubuque is getting solid snow.

Pound town here for quite awhile. Not building up but huge flakes at a moderate rate for the past few hours. Most beautiful daytime snow of the season so far.

 

Melting at a good rate though...


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Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter

 

78.1"  Total snowfall

February Snowfall 32.5"

City salt usage  : 12,211 tons

Days of measurable snow  : 40


#37
james1976

Posted 17 February 2020 - 09:43 AM

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Rain and 34

#38
jaster220

Posted 17 February 2020 - 09:52 AM

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:lol:   Got a 2-min headline for a few flakes or snizzle & 33F. Serriously??   :rolleyes:

 

 

Edit - This morning on my commute it was only from 5-8 pm (shortest winter headline I can remember) but I see late morning it was extended.

 

.UPDATE...

Issued at 1053 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2020

Will make a minor adjustment to the advisory to extend the ending
time a bit for the southern areas, particularly for the LAN/JXN
areas where the colder air hangs on a few hours longer than at AZO
and South Haven. The end time at LAN/JXN will now be same as at
GRR (1 AM).


Winter 2019-20 Snow Total = 43.7"  Largest Storm: 7" (11/11)        Oct: T Nov: 7.8 Dec: 7.1 Jan: 7.3 Feb: 18.0 Mar: 3.5 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 


#39
Tom

Posted 17 February 2020 - 10:15 AM

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12z Euro increasing totals for Wisco...

 

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#40
Hawkeye

Posted 17 February 2020 - 11:18 AM

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It is still snowing in Dubuque.  There is a recent report of 1.5".  I think the models had it changed to rain by now.  Madison should get a nice hit.


season snowfall: 36.2"

 

'18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#41
gimmesnow

Posted 17 February 2020 - 11:50 AM

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It's snowing nicely in the Lake Geneva area too. I thought today would be rain, but it's snowing enough that there's not much visibility. Pretty nice surprise, it almost looks like the rain is going to stay away for the most part.


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#42
Madtown

Posted 17 February 2020 - 12:13 PM

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Just got home...all secondary roads are a mess. About 2" 15 mi south of madison....I'd say a solid 3 in Madison from just eyeballing while driving
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#43
BrianJK

Posted 17 February 2020 - 12:29 PM

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Just got home...all secondary roads are a mess. About 2" 15 mi south of madison....I'd say a solid 3 in Madison from just eyeballing while driving


How was it up there this weekend? Usually one of the busier weekends of the year.

#44
St Paul Storm

Posted 17 February 2020 - 12:57 PM

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Snow blossoming to the west, just in time for rush hour. South metro added to the WWA.
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#45
Madtown

Posted 17 February 2020 - 01:44 PM

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How was it up there this weekend? Usually one of the busier weekends of the year.

How was it up there this weekend? Usually one of the busier weekends of the year.



Fantastic only saw about 40 sleds on Sat put on 90miles...Boulder, Star Lake, Mani area. Sunday-Boulder up to Gile on 13...first tracks, then up to Lake Superior and Banged the Grade Back to Mani and then back to Boulder, 200mi day. Sleds on the Grade, but otherwise maybe a group or 2 every hour. It was fantastic!

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#46
Madtown

Posted 17 February 2020 - 01:47 PM

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Pound town!!! easy inch an hour stuff
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#47
BrianJK

Posted 17 February 2020 - 03:28 PM

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Fantastic only saw about 40 sleds on Sat put on 90miles...Boulder, Star Lake, Mani area. Sunday-Boulder up to Gile on 13...first tracks, then up to Lake Superior and Banged the Grade Back to Mani and then back to Boulder, 200mi day. Sleds on the Grade, but otherwise maybe a group or 2 every hour. It was fantastic!


Awesome - that’s one helluva trip

#48
St Paul Storm

Posted 17 February 2020 - 03:46 PM

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Entire metro now under the WWA for a quick 1-3”. Started as massive pingers and now has transitioned to moderate snow.

#49
St Paul Storm

Posted 17 February 2020 - 04:16 PM

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Edit: Now 2-4” with localized 6” in the advisory area. Winter storm warning for 7-10” southwest of the metro near Mankato. Crazy stuff.
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#50
gimmesnow

Posted 17 February 2020 - 04:16 PM

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Fantastic only saw about 40 sleds on Sat put on 90miles...Boulder, Star Lake, Mani area. Sunday-Boulder up to Gile on 13...first tracks, then up to Lake Superior and Banged the Grade Back to Mani and then back to Boulder, 200mi day. Sleds on the Grade, but otherwise maybe a group or 2 every hour. It was fantastic!

Dang, I need better friends, lol. I just snowmobiled around the lake. Looks like it was awesome, I haven't been up north in so long.