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June 2022 Observations and Discussion


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Louisville radar has been down for the last couple days. And I think they got rid of radar outage notifications (or made them impossible to find). No say on when its back online.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Looks like most of the CONUS will transition from spring to summer next week. My condolences to Texas and the Southern Plains, which will be in the heart of the death ridge.

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Also fits in with the inception of the ISM (which is what I consider the actual start of NH summer) and the MJO cycling into phase-1 (filtering for ENSO).

Hard to bet against warmth during the second half of June.

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Back home to 1.25 inches of rain, the really nasty Hail and wind missed my house (as always) to the south

 

Nasty Heatwave is coming to the Southern Plains, the Cockroach Death Ridge is wanting to take over most of the CONUS already! :(  

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Never day Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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54 minutes ago, Phil said:

Also fits in with the inception of the ISM (which is what I consider the actual start of NH summer) and the MJO cycling into phase-1 (filtering for ENSO).

Hard to bet against warmth during the second half of June.

ISM?

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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19 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

ISM?

Indian Summer Monsoon. Changes the nature of tropical forcing from the eastern hemisphere.

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

Indian Summer Monsoon. Changes the nature of tropical forcing from the eastern hemisphere.

Ah, I thought it was "intra seasonal" something.

I'm assuming it causes an expansion of the hadley cell and ridging in the subtropics north of the monsoon due to sinking and drying from the convection?

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Ah, I thought it was "intra seasonal" something.

I'm assuming it causes an expansion of the hadley cell and ridging in the subtropics north of the monsoon due to sinking and drying from the convection?

Yeah the transition from Siberian High to Monsoonal trough reflects a substantial northward shift in the E-Hem ITCZ/z-cell(s) and is driven by differential heating/topography. This changes the dynamic relationship between the tropics and extratropics emanating from that part of the world. 

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Looks like one storm going north of Lincoln and another to the south. At least the farms are getting wet. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

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Unless you're invested in beachfront, boating, or swimming pool how can you not like this slightly cool-ish pattern? Rode 16 miles Sunday pm on the Lakeland Trail around Pinckney (that's just north of Hell for those unaware) and I swear the fresh easterlies made it feel like summertime in NMI. The Kid Rocks..

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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7 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

 

 

Getting rocked again. Over 1” already and still raining. We’ll take it. 

When it rains it pours!  Man, your cashing in Bigly in this pattern.  Thank goodness the Heavens have opened up for your region.  I’d like to experience a storm like that around here.  We just haven’t had the set up yet.

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11 minutes ago, Tom said:

When it rains it pours!  Man, your cashing in Bigly in this pattern.  Thank goodness the Heavens have opened up for your region.  I’d like to experience a storm like that around here.  We just haven’t had the set up yet.

Still waiting here in Seattle... ;)

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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Big Battle shaping up between the GEFS vs EPS for Week 2...knowing what I see happening up in the Strat, along with the key blocking patterns S of Greenland and up in Canada, this translates into a cooler pattern out E & N.

0z GEFS...trends...let's see if this holds....

image.gif

gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_10.png

 

 

Iirc, @Clinton I think the pattern setting up the following weekend (17th-19th) resembles quite nicely what has happened frequently in and around Greenland.  It def illustrates what has been a common theme up there.

 

gfs_z500a_namer_42.png

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The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 73/55. For the day 57% of sunshine was reported 0.09” of rain fall was reported. For today the average H/L is 78/56 The record high was 97 in 1933 and the record low of 38 was recorded in 1998 and 1949. Last year the H/L was 87/65. The overnight low here at my house was 50 and at the current time it is 54.

 

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We now have 7 days of June 2022 in the record books. The mean at Grand Rapids for the 1st 7 days is 63.9 that is a departure of -1.8. At Holland the mean is 61.7 that is a departure of -3.1 at Muskegon the mean is 61.8 for a departure on 2.5. At Lansing the mean there is 66.0 and they have a departure of +1.1. So far Lansing is the only major reporting station in southern lower Michigan that is above average for the month of June. As Detroit, Flint and Saginaw are all below average so far.

 

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20 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said:

confirmed tornado last night in kc metro area. Landed about 5 minutes north of my job in Overland Park. I’m going to drive by it in a few to see how bad it is 

In Gary's blog this morning he showed how it all came together with the cell developing ahead of the line of storms and then merging with the line.  Sounds like it bounced up and down and uprooted some trees and alot of roof damage.  I only got .40 and have gotten .7 inches for the week.  Tomorrow night could produce a similar setup!

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Both the GFS and ECMWF are in agreement that after the trough kicks through the central CONUS next Tues/Wed a ridge sets up for some more summer-like weather with highs in the 80s. 

After the past week or so of cooler than normal temperatures and fairly cloudy skies, I'm ready for some sun and warmth!

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Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

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A decent red cell was moving into the Cedar Rapids area just now, but it quickly stratiformed out to a gentle high-end moderate rain when it arrived.  All we are allowed to get this year is gentle rain with little or no thunder.

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season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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1 hour ago, Clinton said:

In Gary's blog this morning he showed how it all came together with the cell developing ahead of the line of storms and then merging with the line.  Sounds like it bounced up and down and uprooted some trees and alot of roof damage.  I only got .40 and have gotten .7 inches for the week.  Tomorrow night could produce a similar setup!

I drove by a couple minutes ago and there is a lot of tree damage, power lines down, and some structural damages to buildings. 
 

i just spoke to a guy who runs a emergency response team and he said they have been getting calls nonstop since 130 this morning about damage to homes and businesses 

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I received 0.24" this morning.

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season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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5 hours ago, Tom said:

Big Battle shaping up between the GEFS vs EPS for Week 2...knowing what I see happening up in the Strat, along with the key blocking patterns S of Greenland and up in Canada, this translates into a cooler pattern out E & N.

0z GEFS...trends...let's see if this holds....

image.gif

gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_10.png

 

 

Iirc, @Clinton I think the pattern setting up the following weekend (17th-19th) resembles quite nicely what has happened frequently in and around Greenland.  It def illustrates what has been a common theme up there.

 

gfs_z500a_namer_42.png

Suspect much of the country will be very warm through the second half of June. The GFS/GEFS often has convective feedback problems over Central America during P1 MJO, producing spurious hurricanes and mishandling the longwave middle latitude pattern across the W-Hem (especially the NPAC).

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Low of 64 and some light mist early this morning (not full on fog though). Going back and forth between sun and overcast and sun breaking out again. Low 80's now.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Preliminary report on the tornado that hit last night in the KC area.

Preliminary results** Johnson County KS and Jackson County MO EF1 Tornado 100mph max winds Track was 14 miles long 125 yard maximum width These results are preliminary, we will have more information by this afternoon

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This was almost my 3rd tornado watch of the year... Just off by a county. A short 15 minutes drive out of Ashland (into Greenup) will take you into Tornado Watch #333. lol

286273310_379959867500764_5201433929619134764_n.jpg

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Alotta hvy rain moving in soon for my area. Still running bn forthe year though, but not by much.

 

Btw: Temps dipped into the 40s once again last nite. This month has had some chilly evenings thus far.

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Final Snowfall as of today June 2022 is: 47.1" Detroit Metro Area.

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A second confirmed tornado on the NE side of KC.

Preliminary damage report from NE Jackson County near Buckner, MO. 

EF2 tornado
115 mph max wind
9 mile path length
200 yard max wind

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Thunderstorm has popped up just to my west this afternoon. Looks like it’ll miss me, but it’s pretty dark out now with decent thunder.

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8 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

Getting Drenched right now.

Ended with .75 inches of rain, over 9 inches in the past 2 months!

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Never day Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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I’ll be coping with 98-101 the next week. 
 

if you want me I’ll be camping in the ice chest at 76 gas station!
They’re having cable installed. 🥵

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Looks to really make a run at 100 here on Monday. We normally only average maybe 1-2 days per summer reaching 100.

NBM probabilistic guidance gives
Lincoln and Omaha a greater than 60 percent chance to reach 100
degrees Monday afternoon.
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Interesting evening... A tree fell on a sidestreet that crosses into Hilton Ave. It wasn't wind or lightning, probably just gave out after a quick thundershower came thru (7:30pm?). A minute after the rain stops, I hear a loud THUD and one of our power poles bent back knocking out power to several homes including ours. lol

We do have some very unkept treelined streets here and I shudder to think what other trees come down when Ashland gets their first 60+ wind event of 2022. We'll get one this summer sometime. 

Power is back on now. Service vehicles have been here for hours, and now a chainsaw cutting up the downed tree.

IMG_4943.JPG

IMG_4947.JPG

IMG_4963.JPG

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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There continued to be storms after that power loss. Not anything frequent or real strong but looked like a minor shelf cloud was going through town right after sunset. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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3 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

Interesting evening... A tree fell on a sidestreet that crosses into Hilton Ave. It wasn't wind or lightning, probably just gave out after a quick thundershower came thru (7:30pm?). A minute after the rain stops, I hear a loud THUD and one of our power poles bent back knocking out power to several homes including ours. lol

We do have some very unkept treelined streets here and I shudder to think what other trees come down when Ashland gets their first 60+ wind event of 2022. We'll get one this summer sometime. 

Power is back on now. Service vehicles have been here for hours, and now a chainsaw cutting up the downed tree.

IMG_4943.JPG

IMG_4947.JPG

IMG_4963.JPG

Yikes, that’s a bad sign. First big blow of the summer is going to knock your power out for a week. 😬 

In winter 2010 I noticed trees were dropping large branches randomly or during snowfalls. Turns out that was a shot across the bow..that subsequent summer was a nightmare for power outages. 

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