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June 2022 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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I took a drive out in the country this morning after last night’s storms. I finished with 1.25” at my house on the NE side of town. 3 miles north had 2.0” and 6 miles north had 3.0”. There is standing water in fields at that location. Multiple chances this week should be good for most, but a few places in our county of Phelps are water logged. Wouldn’t have typed that one month ago. 

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Spring stats for KC.

Spring (March-May) 2022 climate stats: Temps were 0.4° above normal which was the 61st warmest on the 134-year record. 15.95" of precip fell, which was 4.22" above normal making it the 13th wettest. 4.3" of snow fell which was 2.3" above normal and the 50th snowiest.

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9 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

My area (I’m currently in Dallas, TX) is expecting more severe storms later this week. 

They should be doozies.  Look at these numbers. Hot and humid.  
We hit high 90’s today.
Currently 91 at 8:15 central time.  😂
Its freakin’ early June.  
 

 

0A7641ED-BE3A-4ACF-8DC8-84870EAD707F.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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The death ridge is coming. 🔥

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"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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Mañana amigos!!  Vaca santos !!

E9B51F37-ED16-44F4-A480-F97EFDBCDD28.jpeg

8AB0A46F-18C6-47D4-87A4-7159EA2CCEC7.png

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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10 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

3rd straight night under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch. Very active pattern for sure. 

 

Later tonight and yet again Wed nigh into Thu has your region in the Zone...0z Euro/GFS pretty much in agreement...Let it Rain...I had a good feeling that this blocking pattern would produce...glad its delivering in the heartland where we grow our food.

 

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The JMA suggests the MJO stalls in Phase 1...I believe it, it has been the most consistent and one of the best LR models wrt to the MJO...

JMAN_phase_51m_small.gif

 

Here is the TEMP composite for June...I'd be tickled with excitement if TX ends up cooler than what the modeling is showing.  In fact, the CFSv2 is showing the Monsoon firing up in W TX and 4 corners later next week.  Beautiful.

 

 

image.png

 

Let's fire up the Monsoon this year Mother Nature...keep the goodness coming...my gut feeling is we'll be seeing some tremendous Haboob's this year out in W TX and the SW.  A banner Monsoon season in the works.  Last year was great for AZ, in fact, our town of Fountain Hills recorded a little over 12" of rain!  Let the good times...roll??? 

image.png

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Yesterdays official H/L at Grand Rapids was 75/59.Just 13% of sunshine was reported.  At the airport only 0.01" of rain fall was reported. The overnight low so far both at GRR and here at my house was 60 and that is the current temperature here as well. At the airport 0.05" of rain fell and here in my yard only 0.04" fell. For today the average H/L is 77/56. The record high of 94 was set in 2011 and the record low of 38 was set in 1958. Last year the H/L was 80/68.

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4 hours ago, Tom said:

My parents are going to TORCH starting this Friday...Record Heat on the way in the SW..."Southwest Sizzle"

Screen Shot 2022-06-07 at 4.30.26 AM.png

This is unusual for early June.  I’m hoping it gets this over with itself and we stay in the 90’s but I AM an optimist!  
Yes!  We’re all upset with this.  Lifelong natives are like, “What the hell !!!???”

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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It's been pretty wet over the last 12+ hours. Airport has picked up around 2/3rds inch of rainfall since 9pm last night, and squeezed out a brief thunder out of it. Just stopped raining and overcast now. 70 degrees. 

I was able to see lightning last night but wasn't nearly as frequent as one a couple weeks ago. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 31
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7
5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, 5/26, 5/27, 6/4, 6/5, 6/6, 6/17
6/18, 

Severe storms: 2
Max High: 96 (feels like 107 on June 17)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Put a section below my thunders on the signature that concerns severe weather, watches and warnings. Pretty low on everything there at the moment but I will add something to that as more events unfold. 

Interestingly my county has been in 2 Tornado Watches but 0 Severe T'storm Watches or Warnings. It sucks to be between 2 NWS offices. There have been several Tornado/Severe Warned storms in Jackson's CWA, but very close to none of that in Charleston's CWA.. (They issue forecasts/alerts for Boyd). 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 31
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7
5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, 5/26, 5/27, 6/4, 6/5, 6/6, 6/17
6/18, 

Severe storms: 2
Max High: 96 (feels like 107 on June 17)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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18 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said:

Gary or as everyone knows on here Mr. LRC has officially announced his retirement today. He will be missed on the television screen!

Wpw. That guy has contributed so much to the we way we all look at (and argue about) weather, not just in his area but through discussion, the central US.

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This morning's Euro has 100º into southeast Iowa for a few days next week.  Of course, it's bone dry, too.  Every surge of warmth this spring has come with a capped atmosphere and no rain, even with the frontal passage.

I sure am glad we just got a 1.50" soaker.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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2 hours ago, Jayhawker85 said:

Gary or as everyone knows on here Mr. LRC has officially announced his retirement today. He will be missed on the television screen!

Sad to hear it but not surprised he's been taking alot of time off.  I'm going to miss hearing "It's Friday night in the big town."

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18 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Yes he did and as far as I know he is cancer free.  I hope it hasn't came back.

Yes he will be missed. He said he’s been cancer free since 2000. I guess he is going to focus and take his LRC tool on a global scale which is why is he leaving the station.
 

Why not if it’s going to make him more money!

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Louisville radar has been down for the last couple days. And I think they got rid of radar outage notifications (or made them impossible to find). No say on when its back online.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 31
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7
5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, 5/26, 5/27, 6/4, 6/5, 6/6, 6/17
6/18, 

Severe storms: 2
Max High: 96 (feels like 107 on June 17)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Looks like most of the CONUS will transition from spring to summer next week. My condolences to Texas and the Southern Plains, which will be in the heart of the death ridge.

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"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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Also fits in with the inception of the ISM (which is what I consider the actual start of NH summer) and the MJO cycling into phase-1 (filtering for ENSO).

Hard to bet against warmth during the second half of June.

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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Back home to 1.25 inches of rain, the really nasty Hail and wind missed my house (as always) to the south

 

Nasty Heatwave is coming to the Southern Plains, the Cockroach Death Ridge is wanting to take over most of the CONUS already! :(  

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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54 minutes ago, Phil said:

Also fits in with the inception of the ISM (which is what I consider the actual start of NH summer) and the MJO cycling into phase-1 (filtering for ENSO).

Hard to bet against warmth during the second half of June.

ISM?

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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19 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

ISM?

Indian Summer Monsoon. Changes the nature of tropical forcing from the eastern hemisphere.

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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1 minute ago, Phil said:

Indian Summer Monsoon. Changes the nature of tropical forcing from the eastern hemisphere.

Ah, I thought it was "intra seasonal" something.

I'm assuming it causes an expansion of the hadley cell and ridging in the subtropics north of the monsoon due to sinking and drying from the convection?

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Ah, I thought it was "intra seasonal" something.

I'm assuming it causes an expansion of the hadley cell and ridging in the subtropics north of the monsoon due to sinking and drying from the convection?

Yeah the transition from Siberian High to Monsoonal trough reflects a substantial northward shift in the E-Hem ITCZ/z-cell(s) and is driven by differential heating/topography. This changes the dynamic relationship between the tropics and extratropics emanating from that part of the world. 

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"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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The GEFS control run is the epitome of death.

I’m not gonna post it..too graphic.

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"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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