TacomaWx Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 I Think having your predictions in by midnight Sunday morning sounds fair. 2 Quote 22-23 cold season stats Coldest max-25 Coldest min-19 Sub 40 highs-14 Sub 32 highs-2 Sub 32 lows-43 Total snowfall-7.6” Monthly rainfall-2.46” Wet season rainfall-20.85” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 PDX Sun- 93 Mon- 98 Tue- 105 Wed- 100 Thur- 96 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 20, 2022 Author Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 This was my original prediction though obviously things will change a bit in the next few days as we get closer. hopefully my final one I do at the end of the week and what actually happens is much cooler. 7/24-85/59 7-25 92/64 7-26 98/68 7-27 99/68 7-28-100/69 7-29 95/66 Quote 22-23 cold season stats Coldest max-25 Coldest min-19 Sub 40 highs-14 Sub 32 highs-2 Sub 32 lows-43 Total snowfall-7.6” Monthly rainfall-2.46” Wet season rainfall-20.85” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 SEA Sun - 84F Mon - 90F Tues - 95F Wed - 99F Thu - 97F 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75"* -Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 20, 2022 Author Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Hmmm here’s what I think for SEA Sun-86 Mon-93 Tue-99 Wed-100 Thu-100 Quote 22-23 cold season stats Coldest max-25 Coldest min-19 Sub 40 highs-14 Sub 32 highs-2 Sub 32 lows-43 Total snowfall-7.6” Monthly rainfall-2.46” Wet season rainfall-20.85” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 KSEA will record a 70F+ low 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75"* -Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 SeaTac: Sun: 84° Mon: 91° Tues: 94° Wed: 95° Thurs: 94° 1 Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 I have no experience doing this but why not try? PDX: 7/24: 92 7/25: 103 7/26: 106 7/27: 98 7/28: 100 7/29: 90 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 15 minutes ago, Doiinko said: I have no experience doing this but why not try? PDX: 2/24: 92 2/25: 103 2/26: 106 2/27: 98 2/28: 100 2/29: 90 This seems pretty warm for February... Quote Cold Season 2022/23: Total snowfall: 95" Highest daily snowfall: 18" Deepest snow depth: 30" Coldest daily high: -21ºF Coldest daily low: -40ºF Number of subzero days: 17 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, Kayla said: This seems pretty warm for February... I have no idea why I wrote 2 lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer Deweydog Posted July 20, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 2 hours ago, Kayla said: This seems pretty warm for February... If that verified I would admittedly go full Jesse. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer Cascadia_Wx Posted July 20, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 2 hours ago, Doiinko said: I have no idea why I wrote 2 lol I think you have posts about winter time events on the brain 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer Cascadia_Wx Posted July 20, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 I refuse to participate in this contest because I will not assist in validating or in any way celebrating potential heat events of this magnitude. 1 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer Deweydog Posted July 20, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 KPDX: Sunday: 91/61 Monday: 100/65 Tuesday: 102/70 Wednesday: 101/69 Thursday: 96/69 Friyay: 93/65 Saturday: 87/62 Sunday: 86/62 Monday (August!): 61/39 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staff TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2022 Staff Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 7 hours ago, Deweydog said: KPDX: Sunday: 91/61 Monday: 100/65 Tuesday: 102/70 Wednesday: 101/69 Thursday: 96/69 Friyay: 93/65 Saturday: 87/62 Sunday: 86/62 Monday (August!): 61/39 1940s style heat wave. Much better. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Marine Layer Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 No one gave the official date range to predict. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 What I'm thinking right now, will update later. PDX: Sun-90 Mon-97 Tue-100 Wed-99 Thu-98 Fri-96 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsktkr Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 This thread will die in a couple of days because bust: PDX: Sun - 88 Mon - 91 Tue - 92 Wed - 90 Thu - 89 Fri - 89 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 20, 2022 Author Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 hour ago, rsktkr said: This thread will die in a couple of days because bust: PDX: Sun - 88 Mon - 91 Tue - 92 Wed - 90 Thu - 89 Fri - 89 Lol unless there’s a big model change this seems pretty low. Quote 22-23 cold season stats Coldest max-25 Coldest min-19 Sub 40 highs-14 Sub 32 highs-2 Sub 32 lows-43 Total snowfall-7.6” Monthly rainfall-2.46” Wet season rainfall-20.85” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 PDX: Sun-86 Mon-98 Tue-103 Wed-101 Thu-96 Fri-91 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 21, 2022 Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 me validating and celebrating heatwaves by forecasting them 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75"* -Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 21, 2022 Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 On 7/19/2022 at 6:23 PM, TacomaWx said: Hmmm here’s what I think for SEA Sun-86 Mon-93 Tue-99 Wed-100 Thu-100 I will bet some $$ that is too high. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2022-23 stats Total Snowfall = 9.2" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.4" Coldest Low = 17 Lows 32 or below = 72 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 4 Highs 40 or below = 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 21, 2022 Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 12 hours ago, rsktkr said: This thread will die in a couple of days because bust: PDX: Sun - 88 Mon - 91 Tue - 92 Wed - 90 Thu - 89 Fri - 89 I think PDX will get hotter than that, but I think this is being overblown. The 500mb pattern never gets THAT impressive and surface gradients are onshore most of the time. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2022-23 stats Total Snowfall = 9.2" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.4" Coldest Low = 17 Lows 32 or below = 72 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 4 Highs 40 or below = 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer Deweydog Posted July 21, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: I think PDX will get hotter than that, but I think this is being overblown. The 500mb pattern never gets THAT impressive and surface gradients are onshore most of the time. Put yo $ where yo mouth is, big guy! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 21, 2022 Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 KPDX: Sunday: 92 Monday: 98 Tuesday: 102 Wednesday: 101 Thursday: 101 Friday: 100 Saturday: 98 Sunday: 93 SEA Sunday: 83 Monday: 87 Tuesday: 93 Wednesday: 94 Thursday: 95 Friday: 91 Saturday: 88 Sunday: 86 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 21, 2022 Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: I think PDX will get hotter than that, but I think this is being overblown. The 500mb pattern never gets THAT impressive and surface gradients are onshore most of the time. Mark Nelsen mentioned a chance of it being humid because of no surface offshore flow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 21, 2022 Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 Based on the new Euro I think I should extend my forecast from Sunday to next Saturday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer Deweydog Posted July 21, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Doiinko said: Mark Nelsen mentioned a chance of it being humid because of no surface offshore flow. I think mid 60’s dew points will be a good bet. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 21, 2022 Author Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 10 hours ago, snow_wizard said: I will bet some $$ that is too high. Those were based on runs from a couple days ago now. Obviously gonna do my real prediction Saturday night. The way the overnight runs turned out maybe close to 100 still (don’t think we see 100) …and we might even have to extend the contest unfortunately. 1 Quote 22-23 cold season stats Coldest max-25 Coldest min-19 Sub 40 highs-14 Sub 32 highs-2 Sub 32 lows-43 Total snowfall-7.6” Monthly rainfall-2.46” Wet season rainfall-20.85” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 21, 2022 Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 2 hours ago, TacomaWx said: Those were based on runs from a couple days ago now. Obviously gonna do my real prediction Saturday night. The way the overnight runs turned out maybe close to 100 still (don’t think we see 100) …and we might even have to extend the contest unfortunately. It was never going to hit 100 here with the upper level setup shown. There is one or two days things look like they could get pretty toasty in that regard. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2022-23 stats Total Snowfall = 9.2" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.4" Coldest Low = 17 Lows 32 or below = 72 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 4 Highs 40 or below = 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 21, 2022 Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 3 hours ago, TacomaWx said: Those were based on runs from a couple days ago now. Obviously gonna do my real prediction Saturday night. The way the overnight runs turned out maybe close to 100 still (don’t think we see 100) …and we might even have to extend the contest unfortunately. Yeah the models aren't showing a clear end to the heatwave yet which is worrying. Maybe Sunday to Sunday? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 21, 2022 Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 57 minutes ago, Doiinko said: Yeah the models aren't showing a clear end to the heatwave yet which is worrying. Maybe Sunday to Sunday? They are showing a clear end late next week / early next weekend with that shortwave, but I'm not happy about the trend of the ECMWF on duration. BTW...this Sunday looks fine. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2022-23 stats Total Snowfall = 9.2" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.4" Coldest Low = 17 Lows 32 or below = 72 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 4 Highs 40 or below = 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 21, 2022 Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 EPS looks great for the week after next. I have to admit it looks like we might have 5 days of pretty hot weather. I'm going 88 to 95 for SEA for Monday through Friday. Maybe a tad cooler on Monday. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2022-23 stats Total Snowfall = 9.2" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.4" Coldest Low = 17 Lows 32 or below = 72 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 4 Highs 40 or below = 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer BLI snowman Posted July 21, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted July 21, 2022 On 7/20/2022 at 8:20 AM, Mr Marine Layer said: No one gave the official date range to predict. Kind of hard when there's no end to the heat!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted July 22, 2022 Here’s kinda where I’m at tonight…we will see where we’re at in 48 hours. Tacoma 7/24 87/60 7/25 90/61 7/26 94/64 7/27 96/65 7/28 94/65 7/29 90/64 SEA 7/24 89/62 7/25 91/65 7/26 95/66 7/27 97/66 7/28 95/66 7/29 92/65 Quote 22-23 cold season stats Coldest max-25 Coldest min-19 Sub 40 highs-14 Sub 32 highs-2 Sub 32 lows-43 Total snowfall-7.6” Monthly rainfall-2.46” Wet season rainfall-20.85” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 22, 2022 Report Share Posted July 22, 2022 47 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Here’s kinda where I’m at tonight…we will see where we’re at in 48 hours. Tacoma 7/24 87/60 7/25 90/61 7/26 94/64 7/27 96/65 7/28 94/65 7/29 90/64 SEA 7/24 89/62 7/25 91/65 7/26 95/66 7/27 97/66 7/28 95/66 7/29 92/65 Should our final forecasts include both SEA and PDX or just one of them? Also, should we include low temps? For PDX right now I'm thinking: 7/24: 92/60 7/24: 97/65 7/25: 98/65 7/26: 100/69 7/27: 100/70 7/28: 101/67 7/29: 97/66 7/30: 95/65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer Deweydog Posted July 22, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted July 22, 2022 On 7/19/2022 at 11:59 PM, Deweydog said: KPDX: Sunday: 91/61 Monday: 100/65 Tuesday: 102/70 Wednesday: 101/69 Thursday: 96/69 Friyay: 93/65 Saturday: 87/62 Sunday: 86/62 Monday (August!): 61/39 Sunday: 91/61 Monday: 96/64 Tuesday: 98/67 Wednesday: 98/68 Thursday: 99/69 Friday: 97/68 Saturday: 94/67 Sunday: 88/64 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 22, 2022 Report Share Posted July 22, 2022 Are we actually grading this? If so I’ll have a full SEA/PDX forecast by the deadline. Winner gets a guarantee he/she cannot be banned or mod-previewed for the next 6 months. Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer BLI snowman Posted July 22, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted July 22, 2022 PDX ("PHX-north") 7/24: 93/65 7/25: 98/67 7/26: 101/68 7/27: 100/67 7/28: 104/72 7/29: 102/70 7/30: 98/66 7/31: 101/69 SEA 7/24: 83/63 7/25: 87/66 7/26: 91/66 7/27: 88/68 7/28: 93/68 7/29: 92/66 7/30: 84/63 7/31: 89/67 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 22, 2022 Report Share Posted July 22, 2022 PDX 7/24: 92/63 7/25: 95/65 7/26: 98/67 7/27: 99/67 7/28: 100/67 7/29: 99/66 7/30: 97/64 7/31: 96/63 SEA 7/24: 84/61 7/25: 85/65 7/26: 90/66 7/27: 94/67 7/28: 94/66 7/29: 91/65 7/30: 89/64 7/31: 86/63 Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 22, 2022 Report Share Posted July 22, 2022 I'll have my final submission with lows tomorrow. SEA 7/24: 83 7/25: 85 7/26: 91 7/27: 93 7/28: 91 7/29: 92 7/30: 90 7/31: 86 PDX 7/24: 91 7/25: 94 7/26: 97 7/27: 98 7/28: 99 7/29: 99 7/30: 98 7/31: 94 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staff TT-SEA Posted July 23, 2022 Staff Report Share Posted July 23, 2022 I like all these forecasts showing SEA not even getting close to 100. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 23, 2022 Report Share Posted July 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I like all these forecasts showing SEA not even getting close to 100. You gonna throw your hat in the ring? Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staff TT-SEA Posted July 23, 2022 Staff Report Share Posted July 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, Phil said: You gonna throw your hat in the ring? I would just go 3 degrees higher than the ECMWF. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 23, 2022 Report Share Posted July 23, 2022 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I would just go 3 degrees higher than the ECMWF. Have a little fun, man. None of us will be anywhere close. 1 Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer Deweydog Posted July 23, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted July 23, 2022 I’m impressed by the number of entries! We’re quite the morally bankrupt group! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 23, 2022 Report Share Posted July 23, 2022 PDX: 7/24: 92/64 7/25: 95/65 7/26: 97/69 7/27: 99/69 7/28: 101/70 7/29: 100/70 7/30: 96/68 7/31: 94/65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted July 23, 2022 Report Share Posted July 23, 2022 PDX: 7/24 93/58 7/25 98/63 7/26 101/65 7/27 103/70 7/28 99/71 7/29 99/69 7/30 94/66 7/31 93/63 Quote Cold Season 2022/23: Total snowfall: 95" Highest daily snowfall: 18" Deepest snow depth: 30" Coldest daily high: -21ºF Coldest daily low: -40ºF Number of subzero days: 17 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 23, 2022 Report Share Posted July 23, 2022 Update: PDX 7/24: 92/60 7/25: 95/65 7/26: 99/67 7/27: 99/68 7/28: 96/68 7/29: 97/67 7/30: 94/65 7/31: 91/62 SEA 7/24: 84/59 7/25: 85/63 7/26: 93/64 7/27: 93/65 7/28: 90/66 7/29: 88/64 7/30: 85/64 7/31: 83/63 Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 23, 2022 Report Share Posted July 23, 2022 21 hours ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: I'll have my final submission with lows tomorrow. SEA 7/24: 83 7/25: 85 7/26: 91 7/27: 93 7/28: 91 7/29: 92 7/30: 90 7/31: 86 PDX 7/24: 91 7/25: 94 7/26: 97 7/27: 98 7/28: 99 7/29: 99 7/30: 98 7/31: 94 My final submission with lows. Good luck to all! SEA 7/24: 82/57 7/25: 86/61 7/26: 92/64 7/27: 93/65 7/28: 91/65 7/29: 91/64 7/30: 86/63 7/31: 84/62 PDX 7/24: 92/59 7/25: 96/65 7/26: 100/67 7/27: 98/69 7/28: 98/69 7/29: 98/68 7/30: 95/68 7/31: 91/66 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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