NWbyNW Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 We're back to cruddy crud. 50F. Light Smoke. Current view. 1 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Doiinko said: WRF-GFS shows east winds ~15mph with gusts 25-30mph on Saturday here Yep, it's not going to be good for the smoldering fires. It's going to blow MUCHO MUCHO smoke over the populace. But Monday-Tuesday next week, winds appear to shift onshore which could clear us out for the week if these models are correct. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 I just checked out the precip rank for WA for June through September and it ranks second driest since 1895. The driest was 1929. 1 2 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yeah I didn’t think the 12z was as awful as previous runs. I agree. I feel kinda like in the movie Groundhog Day when Bill Murray got so excited when something different happened. 50 after a low of 39 and very smokey 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Warm or cold, my main concern is that it doesn’t rain anytime soon. The longer it stays bone dry, the better our prospects of a fabulous winter are looking, or something. 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Why are we doing this leg thing exactly? I purposely put on pants because my legs need to only be used for good. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Doiinko said: WRF-GFS shows east winds ~15mph with gusts 25-30mph on Saturday here Definitely trended breezier. 1 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yeah I didn’t think the 12z was as awful as previous runs. Much better in the 8 to 12 day range than previous. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Just now, Cascadia_Wx said: Warm or cold, my main concern is that it doesn’t rain anytime soon. The longer it stays bone dry, the better our prospects of a fabulous winter are looking, or something. I don't know man... we better get some freaking rain soon or next spring/summer is going to be quite brutal with the water situation. I'm more concerned about that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Just now, Cloud said: I don't know man... we better get some freaking rain soon or next spring/summer is going to be quite brutal with the water situation. I'm more concerned about that. No, I find this dryness just downright fascinating. Plus there was this one year about 100 years ago where it was almost this dry and we got absolutely hammered in January. I’m really liking this. Wow!!!! 4 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Why are we doing this leg thing exactly? I purposely put on pants because my legs need to only be used for good. I would never post a picture of my feet without shoes. My feet are my absolute worst feature. Good thing we normally wear shoes in this climate! 1 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: No, I find this dryness just downright fascinating. Plus there was this one year about 100 years ago where it was almost this dry and we got absolutely hammered in January. I’m really liking this. Wow!!!! I'm not happy about this dryness. As you say we had better get something this winter or next year will get ugly. Can't think of anything worse for the glaciers. 2 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: No, I find this dryness just downright fascinating. Plus there was this one year about 100 years ago where it was almost this dry and we got absolutely hammered in January. I’m really liking this. Wow!!!! I see where you're going. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Looking much more EPS like. 10 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 We'll have to see if the more continental flavor this weekend gets more locations down into the 30s for mins. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 The guy who cleaned my teeth yesterday said he hopes this continues. Sometimes small talk cuts deep. 1 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Crazy how green things still look here on the OSU campus. Not much progress on the trees. The unusual warmth is one factor but the unusually late leafout this spring may very well be another. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 32 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: There has been speculation the approaching solar grand minimum would make things blockier. We have had two consecutive solar cycles that were lowest since the Dalton Minimum so that might be coming home to roost. In general a blockier regime means more extreme fluctuation from one year to the next or even one season to the next. Much greater potential for exciting outcomes in the NW, but of course it can get painfully boring if a ridge is sitting right over you for months on end. Yep been pretty evident here. From 1971-2016 we only had 3 winter months with 100"+ of snow. 4 of the last 7 winters have had 100+" months. We have also had some of the most extreme dry periods in that same period. Feast or Famine. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 34 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: We're back to cruddy crud. 50F. Light Smoke. Current view. Not as thick here. Yet… 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 32 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I just checked out the precip rank for WA for June through September and it ranks second driest since 1895. The driest was 1929. Keep in mind that June wound up wet. July through October should safely be at an unprecedented level. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 26 minutes ago, Cloud said: I see where you're going. Yeah, it was quite subtle. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 This has to be the weakest season for fall color in memory here. We all kinda expected it but sheesh it's pitiful. 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 1 minute ago, T-Town said: Not as thick here. Yet… Lucky. You should be better off as a whole I would think... but who knows anymore. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 It needs to rain…A lot…I don’t care if it’s 35 degrees or 65 degrees…Liquid needs to fall from the sky and soon. 8 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Feels like I wake up to this smoke greeting me every morning now. Hope everybody had a good sleep. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 1 minute ago, MossMan said: It needs to rain…A lot…I don’t care if it’s 35 degrees or 65 degrees…Liquid needs to fall from the sky and soon. It’s gonna flip. In a big way. Eventually. 4 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 This latest batch of smoke doesn't seem to be affecting my breathing as much. I wonder whether AQI (which measures a concentration of particles finer than a size threshold) doesn't capture the compositional range in smoke, and thus the variable effects on our respiratory systems. 1 Quote Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 27 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: This has to be the weakest season for fall color in memory here. We all kinda expected it but sheesh it's pitiful. I’m shocked that anything is still alive. Our plants and trees need a drink very badly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TT-SEA Posted October 14, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 ECMWF not backing down at all... very wet one week from today. 10 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 The Euro still gives us a nice slug or rain next Friday afternoon/night. The trough is trending a bit east though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 12z Euro is still holding serve. 8 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 The colors are definitely a bit duller than normal but it’s still definitely fall like here. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Winterdog said: The colors are definitely a bit duller than normal but it’s still definitely fall like here. Did you finally get rid of that dying western hemlock? Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Euro is $$$$$$ Stop worrying over the awful bipolar GFS op runs. I know many still will, but stop! 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 It's even better than previous runs holding the ridge more firmly around ~160 W allowing the cold trough to dig and not nudging eastward. 18z GFS in 2 hours 45 minutes 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Euro is $$$$$$ Stop worrying over the awful bipolar GFS op runs. I know many still will, but stop! I mean we have basically been under some sort of top tier 500mb ridge more often than not the last three months. And there have been many false hints at pattern changes where the Euro is more aggressive but the GFS has stuck with torchy, dry persistence and ended up right. So you really can’t blame people for wondering if this is just another head fake. 4 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said: I mean we have basically been under some sort of top tier 500mb ridge more often than not the last three months. And there have been many false hints at pattern changes where the Euro is more aggressive but the GFS has stuck with torchy, dry persistence and ended up right. So you really can’t blame people for wondering if this is just another head fake. True. Very true. A lot of anxiousness or angst given the unprecedented run of record "heat" into mid-October after previous months of dry and warm. BUT this time it's a lock. Ummm. Yep. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 PDX running a -0 compared to yesterday at this time. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: PDX running a -0 compared to yesterday at this time. I am continuously amazed at how warm we are getting in the afternoon without any sort of offshore wind even surfacing. The last few weeks have definitely rewired what I consider the high water mark of early to mid October climo. 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said: I am continuously amazed at how warm we are getting in the afternoon without any sort of offshore wind even surfacing. The last few weeks have definitely rewired what I consider the high water mark of early to mid October climo. Soil moisture definitely playing a huge role as well as the thermal belt’s ability to stay intact at an unprecedented level/persistence. Any inversions have been ridiculously shallow. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by SouthHillFrosty,
Congrats Frosty!!!
Recommended by Meatyorologist
35 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by T-Town,
Incredible tornado footage.
Recommended by Meatyorologist
13 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.