SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1955 redux?! 6 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Starting to think a November 1955/1985 type situation might actually be possible. Its been a year of extremes already. 8 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 31, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 All this fun because that one guy decided to build a home in Arizona. 4 8 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Clown range of course, but jaw dropping temperature anomalies. 2 1 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Sub 500 dam into southern BC in early November. 2 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 That east wind pressure gradient 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 it's coming 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 31, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Sub 500 dam into southern BC in early November. That doesn’t seem possible 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 New GFS For the PNW closeup, it doesn't go past hour 240 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 31, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Just your average Eastern Pacific Basin November hurricane... 7 2 1 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 31, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Low of 52 this morning…54 now. We’ve picked up 0.34” since midnight and 1.86” MTD. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Oh yay. 1 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: All this fun because that one guy decided to build a home in Arizona. Your funniest post. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Just your average Eastern Pacific Basin November hurricane... warm finger 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 November will likely end up with above average precipitation. I'm going out on a limb here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Based on recent years, with every GFS run forecasting cold and snow, the more likely it is to really be picking up on a trend that is going to happen. Also based on recent years, the GFS is waaaay overstating the amount of cold and snow for the west-side lowlands. 5 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Based on recent years, with every GFS run forecasting cold and snow, the more likely it is to really be picking up on a trend that is going to happen. Also based on recent years, the GFS is waaaay overstating the amount of cold and snow for the west-side lowlands.. 8 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 One of our analogs is 2000-01. It had a very cold November. A cold and snowy November wouldn't be a stretch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Oof Eugene. all the weed haze is keeping the surface temps too warm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 31, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Based on recent years, with every GFS run forecasting cold and snow, the more likely it is to really be picking up on a trend that is going to happen. Also based on recent years, the GFS is waaaay overstating the amount of cold and snow for the west-side lowlands.. It’ll probably be a great mountain snow pattern…but I’d still be surprised if we had any real accumulating snows below 500’ and any sub 40 highs for most people. 4 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Sonny Summers said: One of our analogs is 2000-01. It had a very cold November. A cold and snowy November wouldn't be a stretch. That winter totally sucked. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest administrator Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 17 minutes ago, Kayla said: 2014 was decent for its longevity. 7 consecutive days with lows below zero peaking with a 9/-12 day on the 12th. Of course 1955 is in a league of its own for first half of November cold. That one peaked with a -9/-26 day on the 15th. 1955 didn't hold a candle to 2014 here, guess it didn't penetrate south as well. Coldest day with 1955 was 26/-4, in 2014 it was 5/-10. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, administrator said: lol thats a Nov 85 redux 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That winter totally sucked. Feb 2001 had a nice snowstorm for much of the Puget Sound at least. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said: lol thats a Nov 85 redux The GFS is throwing out a 6F low forecast for SEA on November 14th. That only beats the record low by 3 degrees from...1985. Of course it would beat the record low for almost any other day of the first half of the month by 15-20 degrees. 1 1 4 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 24 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Oof Eugene. Haaaaaa - haaaaaaa, eat s*** 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 11 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Lolz wtf... November is the new February... Nice. Looks to be around 4 feet here. 1 2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Not to be a buzz kill, but the ensembles are running. 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Eujunga said: On the other hand, the total precip map looks great. I don't think I've ever seen a double-digit total precip model map before. I'd be ecstatic if it verified to even 50%. That won't verify for the lowlands. 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That winter totally sucked. Overall it was lame, but November was cold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Lock it in 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Not to be a buzz kill, but the ensembles are running. And the Gem looks wet but not white. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 9 minutes ago, administrator said: How do you downvote the GFS? 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 The GEM is just a tad warmer. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest administrator Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: And the Gem looks wet but not white. ...and the climate doesn't support the outcomes shown today. We are not seeing anything more than some days in the low 40s with some rain followed by a frosty night or two. I probably should limit map posting to only real meteorologists. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 I change my username to JSnowlin (Rob too) and all this wacky s*** starts hitting the models. Nah, not ironic, buuuuuut it could end up being a jagged little pill to swallow. Bring on Mr. Plow Please give us both proper credit. P.S., I also stated in post (can't find it now) stating KSEA would see its first snowfall before Thanksgiving. (So, yea...double credit mofo's) 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 33 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Starting to think a November 1955/1985 type situation might actually be possible. Its been a year of extremes already. Every pattern is extreme and it locks in for a long period of time. It's possible this year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, JSnowlin said: I change my username to JSnowlin (Rob too) and all this wacky s*** starts hitting the models. Nah, not ironic, buuuuuut it could end up being a jagged little pill to swallow. Bring on Mr. Plow Please give us both proper credit. P.S., I also stated in post (can't find it now) stating Ksea would see its first snowfall before Thanksgiving. (So, yea...double credit mofo's) 1 2 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 7 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: The GEM is just a tad warmer. A dose of reality, huh? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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