October 2022 PNW weather Discussion. + Ultimate Leg Reveal Extravaganza

[LowerGarfield]

1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

Nice. Looks to be around 4 feet here. 

How many metres?

[ShawniganLake]

4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Nope!  Next

[BLI snowman]

4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Gonna rain an awful lot with that pattern.

[TacomaWx]

15 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

This would be an absurdly early Oregon ski resort opening if it verified, just saying

Looking pretty likely there will be big snows coming up for the cascades. Even some decent totals showing up down into the sierras. Definitely a blessing to get lots of meaningful precip across the region after such a dry first half of fall. Lots to be excited about even if there’s no snow below 1000’. 

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

How many metres?

1.219 meters 

[LowerGarfield]

18 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Obviously not to the level of the GFS but still an improvement for you guys over the 00z.

 

I think I could get behind that. Have you had any snow in Sioux Falls yet? 

[Jbolin]

38 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Sorry sorry

how bout this. 2feet of glorious snow IMBY in 24 hrs

 

 

That's better

[ShawniganLake]

Such a model tease.  Block will reset more favourably for the second half of November!  MBG

[Deweydog]

I just Skyped with Phil from Betty Ford and he says NOPE.

[Jbolin]

1 hour ago, Doinko said:

 

NOW we're talking. D**n, I'm running out of $1 bills, these "models" need to stop draggin' my a** in and out of (insert liquor) room.

[Sonny Summers]

Hot off the presses, get your snowblower ready, Kayla!

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I just Skyped with Phil from Betty Ford and he says NOPE.

Where the hell is Phil anyways?

[RentonHill]

Everyone gotta be happy with this if it actually verified

[Front Ranger]

Let's keep that fat ridge over AK around for awhile.

[RentonHill]

Thats like a solid 50% of GEFS members that have legit cold. About as good or slightly better than 00z last night. And this is the 4th run in a row that the OP/Control are way colder than the mean (FWIW)

[Guest administrator]

1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

Rain And wind

 

Not even that windy for the metro areas. This is the only realistic scenario that should be talked about. 

[Sonny Summers]

Check these analogs out..

[Randyc321]

Just now, administrator said:

Not even that windy for the metro areas. This is the only realistic scenario that should be talked about. 

Yeah, you're right nobody should speculate on a weather forum.  How crazy would that be?

[RentonHill]

850s better for EPS vs 00z day 8ish

[SilverFallsAndrew]

11 years ago today. 

[Jbolin]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

11 years ago today. 

True dat

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Man, fuckk norovirus. Several pages so it would seem I've been out a while.

Bad time to get sick like this as my wife will have her 2nd surgery tomorrow. Not sure how long she'll be out of work but it's not looking good.

[RentonHill]

Euro Control at Day 10.5 vs 00z and Mean 850s at Day10 vs 00z

[Sonny Summers]

3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Man, fuckk norovirus. Several pages so it would seem I've been out a while.

Bad time to get sick like this as my wife will have her 2nd surgery tomorrow. Not sure how long she'll be out of work but it's not looking good.

Norovirus stinks regardless of the circumstances.

[TacomaWx]

Definitely starting to see some hype building for a much colder than normal pattern coming up on Twitter. Cliff mass and mike Snyder talked about it on their latest blogs a bit. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, Sonny Summers said:

Norovirus stinks regardless of the circumstances.

What really sucks is that I've thrown up so many times that my RNS implant is hurting. I'll hopefully try to be awake more today.

[Cascadia_Wx]

8 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Euro Control at Day 10.5 vs 00z and Mean 850s at Day10 vs 00z

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Ya i'm in a hurry and also trying to participate in a work meeting so i'm just throwing it all at the wall right now

[Cascadia_Wx]

One big difference between warm and cold around here. When it comes to hot weather we can comment on how crazy it is while it’s approaching on the models, as it’s happening in real time, and in retrospect as we try to comprehend the slew of shattered records. We usually only get 1/3 of this experience with cold weather. Which, according to JimLoaf, ain’t bad.

[RentonHill]

Day 11-15 not as good as previous runs so i'm not going to post em

[Anti Marine Layer]

[Gradient Keeper]

6 hours ago, Jakewestsalem said:

Got this pic yesterday afternoon from a hike into Marion Lake. Low clouds had obscured Three Finger Jack most of the morning but the deck lifted enough.

Nice! I'd definitely be busy fishing there!

[MossMan]

I just told my dogs. 

[Sonny Summers]

Just now, MossMan said:

I just told my dogs. 

It don't matter. You have border collies. They keep track of the models pretty well. 

[Gradient Keeper]

41 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I just Skyped with Phil from Betty Ford and he says NOPE.

Phil is away with family due to his grandmother passing.

[Gradient Keeper]

12z runs Nah. Block is too top heavy. In my estimation the chances of arctic air not making it south are bumped up from ~82% to ~87%. Still a ~13% probability we see models improve in that regard though. The real story is the coming significant wet pattern, atmospheric rivers, and flooding.

00z ECMWF in 9 hours 48 minutes

[Sonny Summers]

3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Phil is away with family due to his grandmother passing.

I deleted my post. I had no idea.

[Omegaraptor]

21 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

What really sucks is that I've thrown up so many times that my RNS implant is hurting. I'll hopefully try to be awake more today.

Hey man sorry you have to go through that. Both you and your wife. Hope you can take it easy and get as much rest as possible.

[ShawniganLake]

14 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Day 11-15 not as good as previous runs so i'm not going to post em

Thank you.  Please only post the good shitt 

[Jbolin]

33 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Man, fuckk norovirus. Several pages so it would seem I've been out a while.

Bad time to get sick like this as my wife will have her 2nd surgery tomorrow. Not sure how long she'll be out of work but it's not looking good.

Jesus, dude.

OK, I'm gonna do sumthin' I haven't done a long while...(here goes), DONT F****ING DIE.

We'll like, ya know, miss ya and s***