ShawniganLake Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The real answer is Long Range Cycle. Some winters get into a routine of repeating patterns every 30 days or so. Some years it doesn't emerge at all. It’s actually “Lezak Recuring Cycle”. Named after meteorologist Gary Lezak 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 EPS control Day 1-10. I always feel like the Control is whack, however 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Looks like I ended November with an average temp of 21.8F. By far my coldest on record over the past 5 years. Bozeman MSU ended up 23.8F good enough for a -8.5F departure and 4th coldest November on record. They also averaged 5.3" of snow depth throughout the month which was the 5th highest snow depth average on record for November. Records go back to 1892 so pretty impressive stuff! Winter came especially early this year. 2 1 5 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 19 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: 00z EPS Day 1-6 EPS control is even further west. Still plenty of time for things to trend even more favorably. 4 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Kayla said: Looks like I ended November with an average temp of 21.8F. By far my coldest on record over the past 5 years. Bozeman MSU ended up 23.8F good enough for a -8.5F departure and 4th coldest November on record. They also averaged 5.3" of snow depth throughout the month which was the 5th highest snow depth average on record for November. Records go back to 1892 so pretty impressive stuff! Winter came especially early this year. Is your signature correct? Did you pick up 20" this month or have you gotten more since that giant storm? 1 Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 36.8 mean for November. Coldest month since February 2019… 42.8/30.8 for the averages. 12.96” of precip, an even 11” of snow. 2 1 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 NAM time! yay 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Wow a bunch of that slug of moisture is completely stalled and even moving back out to sea lol. Wtf 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Skagit Weather said: Is your signature correct? Did you pick up 20" this month or have you gotten more since that giant storm? It's not correct, that's just through October. I've been traveling so I haven't had a chance to update things this month but it's a good reminder! 2 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Nam is taking away most of the snow tonight and I'm not surprised from looking at the radar. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post plainguy Posted December 1, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Being on the beach, during November, unbelievable for my 60 years here. 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 11 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: It’s actually “Lezak Recuring Cycle”. Named after meteorologist Gary Lezak Google says this is not BS. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Longview to Tacoma is going to do well tonight. On to Friday nights non event. 2 1 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 If you live on the Oregon coast from Seaside on North, you’re scoring right now. 2 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 11 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Wow a bunch of that slug of moisture is completely stalled and even moving back out to sea lol. Wtf Look to the south, though. Radar is lighting up as moisture pivots in from the southwest now. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Just now, umadbro said: If you live on the Oregon coast from Seaside on North, you’re scoring right now. Yep US101 just south of Astoria is snow covered. Dumping snow in us30 along the Columbia from Astoria to longview 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 9 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Nam is taking away most of the snow tonight and I'm not surprised from looking at the radar. The snow is coming from something completely different than what you're looking at. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: Look to the south, though. Radar is lighting up as moisture pivots in from the southwest now. Yes. People have had their eye on the wrong thing. It took me a while to realize that myself. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Not sure what the mechanism for PDX to cool off 5 more degrees is.... wind still out of the south and not expected to switch lol. I don't get what these "hi res" models are seeing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 12 minutes ago, plainguy said: Being on the beach, during November, unbelievable for my 60 years here. Short over water trajectory maritime polar air! 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Cool 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Yes. People have had their eye on the wrong thing. It took me a while to realize that myself. The funny thing is weather.com has had that feature coming up from the south on their futurecast which I don’t think any models were picking up on. 1 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Band of precip is forming over SW WA lifting upwards. Based on its current trajectory it’ll be an hour or so before it gets here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 These last two days have been incredibly strange here. Snow yesterday morning, followed by rain with temps right at freezing with brisk east winds, then a brief break where temps rose to 40 this morning, followed by falling temps and snow this afternoon and evening, then clearing which produced freezing fog. Right now it looks amazing outside. Snow flocked trees surrounded by fog and some stars above. 6 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Yes. People have had their eye on the wrong thing. It took me a while to realize that myself. I mentioned this 4 hrs ago. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Just now, TacomaWx said: Band of precip is forming over SW WA lifting upwards. Based on its current trajectory it’ll be an hour or so before it gets here. An overperformance wouldn't be at all surprising with this. 5 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Cool Not terrible, but it could easily be low. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Hopefully I can get some dry snow Friday night. Not expecting anything at all here with this one. Lastnight was fun but that snow did massive damage on my property. 4 trees down just in the back yard. 3 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Coastal love! 4 3 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: These last two days have been incredibly strange here. Snow yesterday morning, followed by rain with temps right at freezing with brisk east winds, then a brief break where temps rose to 40 this morning, followed by falling temps and snow this afternoon and evening, then clearing which produced freezing fog. Right now it looks amazing outside. Snow flocked trees surrounded by fog and some stars above. I’m hoping to get at least a quick inch tonight to get some snow back on the trees to make everything more of a wintry scene since everything melted off the trees this morning. Still have about 3.5” of snow cover so even if I don’t see anything tonight that should bode well for tomorrow night and going into this weekend. I’ll probably record some lows in the teens with the snow cover. 3 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Coastal love! Not bad for 41ft. 1 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Looking at the Mesonet, temps have plunged in the places that got snow. Seeing a lot mid 20s to around 30. 1 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Not bad for 41ft. That is some wicked cold air flowing out over the ocean and swinging in there. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 9 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Hopefully I can get some dry snow Friday night. Not expecting anything at all here with this one. Lastnight was fun but that snow did massive damage on my property. 4 trees down just in the back yard. The one good thing about here, is much of my snow is decently dry. A good percentage of it falls going into cold weather. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 29 here…radars filling in South of Olympia. Leading edge is just south of yelm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Glad i slept for 2 hours…based on radar probably not going to be able to get more before this moves in. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Saturday strong east winds for PDX east of I-205 and near/in the Western Gorge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest administrator Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 hour ago, Winterdog said: Three weeks of brutal model riding. Repeating model solutions of bitter cold and monstrous snow storms and what do I get? A half hour of very wet snow, a few days with highs near 40. Goodnight all. At least there is always next year. We can get some good lawn toppers in revenge Nino situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Is there a December thread yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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