Deweydog Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 December 2008.Only snowier!!! 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 A little more in laymans terms please Phil.I thought pants-tent was delightfully layman. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 December 2008.SCORE! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 The airport was still reporting rain at last hour. Good thing you are on a hill. And interestingly enough, I'd wager I'm slightly warmer than 36 with moderate flakes coming down here. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Only snowier!!!Zing. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Man, that's funnyYeah I chuckled when I read that...my wife gave me her usual odd look. In other news it's down to 41 degrees and still raining. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sometimesdylan Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 I hope our friend up in Juneau can survive all the cold air coming his way. Haha we will see...My trucks heater died 2 winters ago... trying to graduate before I get it fixed/get a new trick...it's an old truck so I can't track the part down. time to keep the puffy coat in the truck. Just said truck like a million times lmao Quote "There are so many waves coming in all the time, you don't have to worry about that. Take your time—wave come. Let the other guys go; catch another one." -Duke Kahanamoku Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 D**n coastal snow event... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016112700/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_45.png Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Wow. Long lasting blast and several BC sliders too... could be amazing 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Almost too much PV/+AO in the clown range, but otherwise the tropical/subtropical progression is absolutely perfect. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 D**n coastal snow event... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016112700/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_45.pngIf it were a fish I'd throw it back Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 D**n coastal snow event... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016112700/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_45.pngI think this low will be stronger than anticipated. Pdx gets 4 inches on 12/9. Lock it in now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sometimesdylan Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 The mountains of SE AK are about to get plastered with snow!! Bring it on 1 Quote "There are so many waves coming in all the time, you don't have to worry about that. Take your time—wave come. Let the other guys go; catch another one." -Duke Kahanamoku Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 I expect Ensemble improvement Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 The mountains of SE AK are about to get plastered with snow!! Bring it on Glacier building! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 I think this low will be stronger than anticipated. Pdx gets 4 inches on 12/9. Lock it in now.I concur. My dad's birthday! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Glacier building! Seattle after December http://seattlemammoth.org/img/seattle_ice.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Two very cold runs in a row. Looks promising. One thing I will say is Fraser River blasts usually bring snow for Seattle. It will be quite some tie before we even need to worry about pinning down who will get snow. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Yeah let's just pretend like the Candian didn't happen okay? http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2016112700/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_40.png Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Now onto the ensemble letdown! It was as hell of a run! Would be a lot of low snow levels leading up to an arctic blast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 A little more in laymans terms please Phil.A "wave break" is the blocking ridge in the pacific 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Massive snowstorm at Day 13. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016112700/336/500h_anom.na.pnghttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016112700/336/prateptype_cat.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Good run overall. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 00z GEM block is too far west and cold air slower to spill southward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Clearly the GFS is handling this the best. This morning's post should be deleted. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 AMAZINGLY THE GFS SHOWS AN IMMINENT RELOAD AT THE VERY END. THAT COMING AFTER WE'VE ALREADY BEEN COLD for a week. Sorry about the caps. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Two very cold runs in a row. Looks promising. One thing I will say is Fraser River blasts usually bring snow for Seattle. It will be quite some tie before we even need to worry about pinning down who will get snow. I will get studs on my car if we can confirm it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Massive snowstorm at Day 13. The positive anom center is in the absolute perfect spot. Right where it was during the all time great events. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 AMAZINGLY THE GFS SHOWS AN IMMINENT RELOAD AT THE VERY END. THAT COMING AFTER WE'VE ALREADY BEEN COLD for a week. Sorry about the caps.Its exciting. You got every right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 I will get studs on my car if we can confirm it Don't do it yet!!!!! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold front Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 I'll get a snow blower, if it helps Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold front Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Dec.9th, my birthday. My last great white birthday was 1972. Best cold snap and even about 3 inches of snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 The superior Candanian gives me pause Praying for an epic euro Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Whoops. Fell asleep.......... 00z GFS Day 6-10/8-14 day Composite Analog Yes please http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/short_range/tools/gifs/500hgt_comp_00gfs610.gif http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/short_range/tools/gifs/500hgt_comp_00gfs814.gif 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 AMAZINGLY THE GFS SHOWS AN IMMINENT RELOAD AT THE VERY END. THAT COMING AFTER WE'VE ALREADY BEEN COLD for a week. Sorry about the caps.Would you still be bummed about a torchy January if this thing verified? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Now starting to stick. With more abundant flakes and they are larger, maybe the size of nickels/quarters now. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 00z ECMWFBegins in.... 7 minutes Want to see timing moved ahead. Don't want to see the block too far west(or east I suppose) Want to see arctic air moving into southern BC by day 8-9. Feel free to play along(You may need to refresh pages)Northwest view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=nwus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112300&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=197North American view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=namer&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112300&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=197North Pacific view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=npac&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112300&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=197Alaska view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=ak&pkg=T850&runtime=2016112612&fh=24 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catnip Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 ^^^^^ LMAO 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 00z GFS EnsemblesPortland, Seattle, Vancouver BC Well, I expected improvement, and we definitely have that. A few more steps in the right direction. Nice! Portlandhttp://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png Seattle http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.png Vancouver, BChttp://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Vancouver_Kanada_ens.png 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted November 27, 2016 Report Share Posted November 27, 2016 Whoops. Fell asleep.......... 00z GFS Day 6-10/8-14 day Composite Analog Yes please Probably shouldn't post these, they're worthless according to some people Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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