Money Posted December 13, 2016 Report Share Posted December 13, 2016 Gotcha I agree on the second part. Unless it wraps up I think the 2nd piece could be underwhelmingYup flip side is if it does wrap up someone is gonna get nailed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 13, 2016 Report Share Posted December 13, 2016 Thought your area did better but saw Cedar Rapids official was 3.1 for the last storm. I remember when I was at university of Iowa it seemed that the amped up storms always were already east of ICI moved to the CR metro, so only got 3.1" which is disappointing because all indications a day out said 5-8" was definitely a possibility. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 13, 2016 Report Share Posted December 13, 2016 Wow.....that went north. Hopefully GFS wobbles back south. Still plenty of time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 13, 2016 Report Share Posted December 13, 2016 Yup flip side is if it does wrap up someone is gonna get nailedNo kidding. Baroclinic zone is awesome Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted December 13, 2016 Report Share Posted December 13, 2016 so are all rooting for NAM? LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 13, 2016 Report Share Posted December 13, 2016 The other thing is we stay out of the absolute deep freeze. I love snow, but HATE the brutal cold!I was thinking that this morning. If we had a snowpack it would be brutal Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 13, 2016 Report Share Posted December 13, 2016 18z ensembles look a bit wetter than 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 13, 2016 Report Share Posted December 13, 2016 18z ensembles look a bit wetter than 12zand further south than the 18z operational. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 13, 2016 Report Share Posted December 13, 2016 Chicago sucks another in? On a 3 year roll! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted December 13, 2016 Report Share Posted December 13, 2016 Again, is it Spring yet? My God. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Nam going full on weenie. 985 at hour 69 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Crickets on here Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Bueller, Bueller, Bueller? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 00z nam more of the same, nothingness. Is there a miracle left in the gfs or euro? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 00z NAM... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 swing and a miss down here. much like the last storm. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Ho hum... zzzzzzz..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 We have a .000 batting average here with lots of strikeouts. Any pinch hitters available? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lutzowgl14 Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 This has been a fun storm to track so far. How accurate is the NAM this far out? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Still snowing in wisco at the end of that run? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Nws Hastings NE said on their afternoon discussion we could get a dusting to 3 inches but a lot better chance of a dusting. Any more model runs like this and a dusting may be pushing it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Still snowing in wisco at the end of that run? Most places, yes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 The last few frames show some strengthening at 500mb...SLP seems to tighten up...we'll see what the GFS shows... Seems like the energy goes from being positively tilted to a more neutral look down in the Plains... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2016121400/namconus_z500_vort_us_53.png The jet "speed max" intensifies during this period...a lot can still change how this main energy develops after the WAA snows http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2016121400/namconus_uv250_us_51.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2016121400/namconus_uv250_us_53.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Most places, yes.refcmp_ptype.us_mw.pngNice! Defo band to still come through. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Nice! Defo band to still come through.That's what I think can still form from the maps I can towards the end of the 00z NAM run... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Still snowing in wisco at the end of that run?Hope so Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trinomial Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 I still think the gfs has a great track record these past storms. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 I still think the gfs has a great track record these past storms.Agree. Partial sampling on tonight's 00z runs of the first part of this system coming onto the west coast. Let's see what the GFS says. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Looks like the RPM model is favoring Wisco at this range.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Yep, WI is looking to be the target this go around. Not looking real good right now for backend snow like last week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Central wisco is my thoughts for ground zero. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Hopefully on future runs it can get that 2nd wave going. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 18z GFS...That is one sharp cut-off! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Hopefully on future runs it can get that 2nd wave going.hopefully if it goes neg tilt and organizes like tom said can put some of us a bit further south in play! Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 My weatherman said earlier this evening that if it stays all snow, I am looking at 6-12inches! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 My weatherman said earlier this evening that if it stays all snow, I am looking at 6-12inches! 6-12 inches wow!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 00z GFS getting weaker regarding snowfall totals... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 00z GFS getting weaker regarding snowfall totals... Looks more up here. WAA snows are farther north Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Hey! Atleast this run chi town remains all snow...I'll take that... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 GFS: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016121400/090/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.