richard mann Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 (.. cross-reference.) http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1711-winter-2017-18-colder-air-mass-movement-and-distribution-projections/?p=304779 1 Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Not bad at hr 384! If only the Baffin Bay monster didn’t have the Arctic air on a doggy leash. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 (.. cross-reference.) http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1711-winter-2017-18-colder-air-mass-movement-and-distribution-projections/?p=304779What are your thoughts for early February? Do you think we have a good chance of an Arctic blast? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 162 inches of snow in the mountains north of Vancouver BC. That would be incredible. gfs_asnow_nwus_41.pngPretty Niña-ish. Bend will get a nice bit of snow. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 If only the Baffin Bay monster didn’t have the Arctic air on a doggy leash. It would be really awesome if all that cold air could drop into the Midwest and east coast as they are really due. It seems like they keep getting missed this year. Hope it all works out. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Pretty Niña-ish. Bend will get a nice bit of snow.Pretty normal, for marginal lowland events and great mountain snow... just good enough to keep the grass green and frogs quiet and Tim’s roses in hiatus... a yawner but at least back to a average winter like pattern. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 If only the Baffin Bay monster didn’t have the Arctic air on a doggy leash. I wouldn't be particularly worried about it if the 500mb looked like that, though it might be more of a stretch for places further south. That said, I've done a year's worth of hr 384 speculating this month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eastvanisle Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 YepI had and aunt farm once- it was all relative though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 I wouldn't be particularly worried about it if the 500mb looked like that, though it might be more of a stretch for places further south. That said, I've done a year's worth of hr 384 speculating this month.Haven’t we all, lol. That said, if the vortex is coupled to a baratropic mode stratospheric PV, that cold will be very difficult to dislodge no matter what. Great for polar bear snow weenies in the NE Canadian Arctic, though! Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 It would be really awesome if all that cold air could drop into the Midwest and east coast as they are really due. It seems like they keep getting missed this year. Hope it all works out.Do I sense sarcasm? We sure as heck ain’t due for more Arctic air. We are definitely overdue for a solid snowstorm, though. This winter has been complete and utter crap in that department. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherArchive Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 The question remains if there is any actual cold air to tap into. If there isn't then there isn't. You can't just make something for nothing though Congress has been good at that until recently and the media is acting like big cry babies that their free cotton or should I say rotten candy is taken away. Though perhaps it will save their teeth from rotting away while spring keeps springing into Oregon? God it is SO warm without breaking any records either. It felt like late March out there today and people were out and about like a nice March day. We ALMOST mowed our grass as it's very tall but it's still a tad too wet for the mower to work properly. Tomorrow is very likely if we don't get any more showers. It's suppose to be even warmer around 60F. No fog so things are likely a go. If we can't have decent mountain snowfall then give us the sun and fun! Yee haw let er rip! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 According to the GFS MOS guidance... it might not even reach 50 on Friday in Seattle. The 00Z run shows 49 that day. Brrrrrrrr! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Hour 210 looking decent for areas north of PDX, and Andrew and Timmy. Puget sound snow shadow as there is a hole in the precip from Snohomish country border to seattle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Record high again at SEA today... although it was wimpy 56. Record warm day yesterday ended with a decent front coming through and a new air mass... and then we have another record high today. Don't see that too often. Like getting a record low on the day after the transition event following an arctic blast. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Hood Canal! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 EPS has improved significantly in the long range in the past 24hrs. Much more amplified North Pacific ridge. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 EPS has improved significantly in the long range in the past 24hrs. Much more amplified North Pacific ridge. E56D7681-50EA-4489-844F-56D6BD698B8D.pngVery nice! Huge improvements. I was not expecting that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 6z GEFS 500mb nice improvements. Still a ways to go, but this along with the EPS are definite steps in the right direction. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gefs/2018011706/348/500h_anom.na.png --12z GFS in 3 hours 55 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Where’s Jimbo been? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 I would say the ensembles are notably worse than when I looked yesterday, though I did not see the 00z suite. Pretty clear nothing of interest in the low lands or below 2000' for that matter by the end of January...I still have hope for February though. Encouraged by the EPS. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 1) The CFS has completely flipped and is now showing a warm February 2) Could this be the warmest Nina January on record? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 According to the GFS MOS guidance... it might not even reach 50 on Friday in Seattle. The 00Z run shows 49 that day. Brrrrrrrr!Weird and unusual to get that cold this time of year. I hope people are prepared. Weird year!! 1 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 1) The CFS has completely flipped and is now showing a warm February 2) Could this be the warmest Nina January on record?A few folks on here are going to have a nuclear meltdown... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 I still don't understand why we look at any of the longer range. Their about as reliable as a politician of any party. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 1) The CFS has completely flipped and is now showing a warm February 2) Could this be the warmest Nina January on record?I am not surprised at all... pretty much expected outcome based on the overall pattern this year. Bummer Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Today is a hidden gem that will be classified as a "rainy" day. Weak warm front lifting north now... then 8-10 hours of dry and warm weather... then rain this evening. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Today is a hidden gem that will classified as a "rainy" day. Weak warm front lifting north now... then 8-10 hours of dry and warm weather... then rain this evening.Maybe some more elusive 60s Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Today is a hidden gem that will be classified as a "rainy" day. Weak warm front lifting north now... then 8-10 hours of dry and warm weather... then rain this evening.Too bad we still do not have a radar. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 1) The CFS has completely flipped and is now showing a warm February 2) Could this be the warmest Nina January on record?#dealinginreality Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Whoaaa... http://wx.graphics/models/ecmwf/2018011700/city/PAFA_2018011700_forecast_240.png 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Cold like that in Alaska means the rest of the country is finally going to warm up. A warm Alaska usually equals a cold Minnesota this time of year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 SEA is at +3.9 through yesterday and should be around +4.1 after today. PDX is at +4.3 through yesterday. Going to take a really cold 13 days remaining in the month to turn that into a cold January. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Do I sense sarcasm? We sure as heck ain’t due for more Arctic air. We are definitely overdue for a solid snowstorm, though. This winter has been complete and utter crap in that department.Yes. 100% sarcasm Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Cold like that in Alaska means the rest of the country is finally going to warm up. A warm Alaska usually equals a cold Minnesota this time of year. It’s been cold in the Deep South as well. All that will change soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 It’s been cold in the Deep South as well. All that will change soon. Looks like a big snowstorm across the Upper Midwest on Sunday into Monday... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Nice looking Bering Sea ridge on the 12z, now within the 10 day forecast. I'm still optimistic for last week of January / first week of February. It feels like this pattern we're entering has better potential than what we had in December. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Gem is pretty good. Low snow levels close to pdx snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Major multi day AR in the long range 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Wow, fun run! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted January 17, 2018 Report Share Posted January 17, 2018 Great post from Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/extreme-temperature-workout-wild-gyrations-january-2018 Monthly record highs for Alaska (66) and New Brunswick (63) set during the past week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.