February Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[HighlandExperience]

The highly respected new comer on the block shows about 1-2 inches of snow over King County

 

[Perturbed Member]

The highly respected new comer on the block shows about 1-2 inches of snow over King County

 

 

 

 

That looks nice, but do we have any data at all on how good the ICON actually is relative to the big 3? So far everything has seemed reasonable from it. 

[Phil]

12z EPS, days 5-10, and days 10-15.

 

Beautiful. This is a classic clockwise intrahemispheric pinwheel. A very notorious post-SSW artifact, when it comes to delivering anomalous mid-latitude cold. The potential for something significant in March is now increasing, IMO.

 

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

That looks nice, but do we have any data at all on how good the ICON actually is relative to the big 3? So far everything has seemed reasonable from it. 

Hey if is shows more snow it is the best model. ALWAYS.

[FroYoBro]

I doubt frozen yogurt is your brother.

 

I am not a dog.

You don't know me or my family. I come from a long line of proud yogurt people. 

[jakeinthevalley]

You don't know me or my family. I come from a long line of proud yogurt people. 

Greek?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The ICON could be a little overdone IMO.

[Perturbed Member]

The trough pushes further west on the 18z ICON and the low ends up stronger and further west too. Looks snowier on Sunday for the lowlands.

 

ICON has come into line with the GFS/Euro on the weak low on Tuesday and keeps all precip offshore. Only goes out to 120 hours but it looks like the Wednesday system is maybe coming in a bit faster on the ICON now. 

[MikeInEverett]

18z looks good for Snohomish county. Solid CZ.

[Jesse]

The trough pushes further west on the 18z ICON and the low ends up stronger and further west too. Looks snowier on Sunday for the lowlands.

 

ICON has come into line with the GFS/Euro on the weak low on Tuesday and keeps all precip offshore. Only goes out to 120 hours but it looks like the Wednesday system is maybe coming in a bit faster on the ICON now.

Even if it’s on a model I’d never heard of until a few weeks ago, it’s nice to see last minute trends moving favorably for us.

[BLI snowman]

Even if it’s on a model I’d never heard of until a few weeks ago, it’s nice to see last minute trends moving favorably for us.

 

Unfortunately the 18z GFS and NAM show no accumulating snow here on Sunday. It dries out very quickly with the north wind.

[Perturbed Member]

Even if it’s on a model I’d never heard of until a few weeks ago, it’s nice to see last minute trends moving favorably for us.

 

I see the 18z GFS and the ICON both take the low pretty much right over us. 

 

 

 

 

Looking at the soundings, should be snow as long as the precip rate can cooperate. 

Good trends. 

[Jesse]

Unfortunately the 18z GFS and NAM show no accumulating snow here on Sunday. It dries out very quickly with the north wind.

 

I am prepared for surprises.

[Geos]

18z looks good for Snohomish county. Solid CZ.

 

Yeah it does.

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

The highly respected new comer on the block shows about 1-2 inches of snow over King County

 

They say the ICON is a great model out to 72 hours. If it verifies I'll be happy. It shows me in the 6"+ area down here.

[Geos]

The highly respected new comer on the block shows about 1-2 inches of snow over King County

 

 

Some nice totals from OLM to Chehalis. 

[Blizzard777]

I am prepared for surprises.

[Jesse]

 

I am prepared for surprises.

 

 

That guy looks like my mental image of Dewey.

[MossMan]

Yeah it does.

 

SCORE!!!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

With the way this winter has gone here so far, at this point I feel like just seeing flakes in the air is a big victory.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

That icon model is 7k resolution and I believe the euro is 9k? If that is true then is has the highest resolution at 120hrs of any model?

[Phil]

That guy looks like my mental image of Dewey.

I was thinking the same.

[wxmet]

Amazon. About 2 days.

Not sure why I'm being attacked. I voice my opinion based on what I know from and outside of my degree. 

[Deweydog]

You don't know me or my family. I come from a long line of proud yogurt people.

Sounds like a very active culture.

[Deweydog]

I am prepared for surprises.

But are the surprises prepared for you???

[Deweydog]

That guy looks like my mental image of Dewey.

Slightly more hair, more nose and less belly.

[jakeinthevalley]

Slightly more hair, more nose and less belly.

Did you say more nose hair?

[Deweydog]

Did you say more nose hair?

Nature's filter!

[jakeinthevalley]

"When he sneezes, he looks like a party favor."

 

Name the movie.

[Jesse]

But are the surprises prepared for you???

 

I destroyed the periodic table because I only recognize the element of surprise.

[Deweydog]

"When he sneezes, he looks like a party favor."

 

Name the movie.

Haywood!!!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

"When he sneezes, he looks like a party favor."

 

Name the movie.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Good lord...

 

[Deweydog]

Good lord...

 

There are no words...

[Jesse]

Pretty notable how dry it has been down here this month. A lot of weak NW flow warm fronts with light rain at times, like today's. That looks like it could change a bit on the back end of the upcoming pattern shift, though.

[Geos]

Good lord...

 

 

PV breaks down and we got cold air running all over now. 

[Phil]

PV breaks down and we got cold air running all over now.

So strange seeing an “H” symbol over Baffin Island. It must be the end times or something.

[wxmet]

Decent sounding in the SEA metro area coming out of the NAM 3km early Sunday morning saturated (or near saturated) from the dendritic growth zone to the surface. Lack of lift in the DGZ would result in lower ratios:

 

[weatherfan2012]

So strange seeing an “H” symbol over Baffin Island. It must be the end times or something.

we been so use in seeing an L up there it easy to forget what a H looks like up there

[Perturbed Member]

PV breaks down and we got cold air running all over now. 

 

 

With how nice the long term upper level pattern appears and how many snow chances the models have been consistently showing, it'll be very sad if we come out of this with nothing to show for it. Just 2-4 inches regionwide isn't too much to ask for right?