Really, really lovely cumulonimbus action tonight! I just happened to have my drone in the car and got some solid shots of DT Seattle/Lake Washington/Mercer Island/Bellevue looking north from Skyway. Alas, the focal length of the lens doesn't do the vertical height justice and my WB was off rendering it into semi-gross HDR territory, but still... fun looking weather! It was quite windy- I was flying right at 390 ft and the drone was giving me all sorts of warnings about sustained winds/gusts.
A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.
NBM is quite an interesting product! Their weighting algorithm is moderately complex and dynamic, though does has some drawbacks as we saw yesterday. For those who don't know, NBM is an attempt by NOAA to create a super probabilistic forecast model that ingests output from all the models above and outputs forecast guidance for local offices that help them to gauge the relative odds of particular weather outcomes. The 'special sauce' is the post-processing, normalization and weighting that they d
If this was Nov-Jan, I would lob off an arm for the Euro solution. Next weekend is a long weekend here in Canada, so I’m rooting for a ridge—even a weak one.
1. I wasn't "calling you out".
2. I don't keep track of these things as closely as you, so I'll take your word on the impunity of others. F*ck impunity!
3. You've definitely done it more than once - and that's perfectly cool with me!
I've thought about that too... I actually think June was the most likely month we could have seen a heatwave like that. That's when the 4CH is at its warmest and driest, and we technically have the most heat to pull from. (Phil might interject here and tell me there's more energy in the system later in the summer, just stored as latent heat in evaporated water.)
Heads-up!
The SWPC says satellites have observed levels that reach a level 4 on their 5-point scale of geomagnetic activity as of 12:37 p.m. ET.
A "severe" geomagnetic storm is now in progress, according to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center, raising hopes for a dazzling display of the Northern Lights on Friday night.
https://www.noaa.gov/stories/strong-geomagnetic-storm-reaches-earth-continues-through-weekend
https://www.livescience.com/space/the-sun/earth-hit-by-radiation-from-rare-double-x-class-solar-flare-triggering-most-powerful-geomagnetic-storm-in-6-years
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