PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[joelgombiner]

Tofino has been 32 with light snow all day. Seems like a good sign. 

[Timmy]

[Deweydog]

And we wanted to scrap the GFS back in December…

[snow_wizard]

This run continues to advertise a hard freeze Tuesday night.  Going to be very interesting Wednesday morning.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

And we wanted to scrap the GFS back in December…

The ECMWF has been pretty similar on this stuff though.

[Cold Snap]

I wonder how many people on my flight know that it’s coming.

[WeatherGeek2022]

2 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

I wonder how many people on my flight know that it’s coming.

it's actually coming : O

[snow_wizard]

54 minutes ago, KingstonWX said:

Probably a little too much rain in that forecast.  We'll see.

[KingstonWX]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Probably a little too much rain in that forecast.  We'll see.

I definitely think so. 

[snow_wizard]

This Tuesday morning is looking like a big deal.  Could be very fun.

[Christensen87]

Just cold this whole run, wow. 

[GHweatherChris]

Since the next few days are looking less and less exciting all of a sudden, does anyone have anything fun planned for St. Patricks day?

[snow_wizard]

So pretty!  I love it when the -NAO comes into the picture and forces that deep trough over SW Canada and the NW.  To think this is over a week out too!  Can you say continental? 

[Cold Snap]

This seems a lot more reasonable and realistic than the up to 10 inches they were saying earlier.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

My god, I am thinking I may need to run to stock on gas for the generator. This is the real deal. 

[TT-SEA]

24 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

Clouds thickening. It’s coming. 40F currently.

Still bright here in NB.   Was expecting clouds to be thicker at this point.   

[T-Town]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Currently 38 degrees! Heatwave! DP is 22 so no real melting. My deck pile is still rock hard crunchy. Cold as ice out there still! 

Actual photo of Jimmy Page when he heard you like Foreigner. I’m not judging, just the messenger.  

[Cold Snap]

Pepto! For (most) Everyone!

[LowerGarfield]

Bright and sunny day here at 33F degrees. In less happy news, a rancher's dog jumped out right in front on me and was killed instantly on the state highway east of Alpowa Summit. Rancher said it wasn't my fault and he was there so he saw what happened. Car is pretty banged up. Still sucks though.

[ShawniganLake]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

My god, I am thinking I may need to run to stock on gas for the generator. This is the real deal. 

Hope you aren’t ignoring that trough around day 10.  Beast mode. 

[WeatherGeek2022]

1 minute ago, Cold Snap said:

Pepto! For (most) Everyone!

come to butthead...

[kokaneekidz]

8 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Reading the details of the WWA... I think the high end of the amounts might be up north in the foothills where the c-zone reaches the Cascades near Gold Bar on Sunday afternoon.    Its pretty silly to lump places like Maple Valley and Fall City in with that small area and just blanket say the entire EPSL could see 10 inches of snow.    It doesn't represent the reality of the situation.  

They almost need to make a special CZ weather forecast zone. Since 80% of every frontal passage includes the CZ as a formidable force in terms of precipitation. It is wild how much MORE post frontal moisture Mukilteo receives vs Bellevue. Quite drastic

[snow_wizard]

Looking like we could end up with the coldest Nov - Mar of the century so far.  I'll have to look at that more closely.  Incredible pattern we have gotten into.

[kokaneekidz]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2022 said:

come to butthead...

Cut it out Beavis. UH HUH HUH HUH

[MikeInEverett]

8 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

This seems a lot more reasonable and realistic than the up to 10 inches they were saying earlier.

It’s just embarrassing at this point. How do they go from forecasting 10 inches all the way down to 3 in the span of 6 hours when model guidance hasn’t even changed The original forecast was so outlandish.

Their graphic they posted on Twitter that I shared here earlier did not get a good response from anyone, not even the non weather geeks.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

Bright and sunny day here at 33F degrees. In less happy news, a rancher's dog jumped out right in front on me and was killed instantly on the state highway east of Alpowa Summit. Rancher said it wasn't my fault and he was there so he saw what happened. Car is pretty banged up. Still sucks though.

One time I thought I hit an animal and I felt terrible about it.  Not even sure if I really did.

[snow_wizard]

4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Hope you aren’t ignoring that trough around day 10.  Beast mode. 

The models are jumping all over that thing.  Could easily be another Arctic outbreak.

[MikeInEverett]

I’m done trashing the NWS after this but I’m surprised they didn’t make one of these graphics they usually do prior to a snow event. These are usually pretty good and easy to understand for everyone. (This is from Feb. 2019)

 

[snow_wizard]

SEA has a great shot at ending up with measurable snow every month Nov - Mar.  They somehow managed a little bit in January.

[dhoffine]

Says inch or less out here in Enumclaw, I'm so confused...  This is on noaa.gov...

[KingstonWX]

[KingstonWX]

1 minute ago, dhoffine said:

Says inch or less out here in Enumclaw, I'm so confused...  This is on noaa.gov...

They seem to be way low for everyone. 

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, dhoffine said:

Says inch or less out here in Enumclaw, I'm so confused...  This is on noaa.gov...

Not sure out there.  This isn't really an east wind situation so you might do better than that.

[Kolk1604]

2 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

I’m done trashing the NWS after this but I’m surprised they didn’t make one of these graphics they usually do prior to a snow event. These are usually pretty good and easy to understand for everyone. (This is from Feb. 2019)

 

Lol I was like is that this Friday? And then I read your message.

You tease

[SnowySeeker50]

High of 46 today. Currently 44 degrees dp 20.

[The Cats Meow]

I just mowed the grass front and back to prepare for a few inches of snow.  When the grass is cut low it makes two inches seem like five.

Hoping I get a dusting. 45 degrees outside today.  Very nice.

Also pruned my grapes back real good and gave everything some water.  It's been so dry.

[SouthHillFrosty]

BOOM

[MikeInEverett]

8 minutes ago, Hour364Please said:

I just mowed the grass front and back to prepare for a few inches of snow.  When the grass is cut low it makes two inches seem like five.

Hoping I get a dusting. 45 degrees outside today.  Very nice.

Also pruned my grapes back real good and gave everything some water.  It's been so dry.

When I was a kid it would never be a real snowstorm to me unless I couldn’t see a single blade of grass in my yard. I still kind of follow that rule to this day, but with the yards of other people.

[SouthHillFrosty]

[SouthHillFrosty]

3 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

When I was a kid it would never be a real snowstorm to me unless I couldn’t see a single blade of grass in my yard. I still kind of follow that rule to this day, but with the yards of other people.

I live by this also lol