CentralNebWeather Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Wowza! It wasn't long ago you were dreaming of this type of weather in the heat and humidity, but boy, when it did flip it came in hard for your back yard. Enjoy it my friend!You are correct, what a change. We have been stuck under clouds and off and on rain for several days. Right now 40 degrees and rain with a north wind gusting to 20 MPH. What an October so far. I just feel very sorry for our farmers who watch the crops sit in the fields with standing water everywhere. They really need a week of dry weather and they could get the crop harvested. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 With an official high of 83° yesterday tied 1949 for the 2nd warmest high for the date. The record of 88° set in 2007 still stands. For today the record high is 84 set in 1939 with 82 in 2nd place set in 1905 and again in 2011. If it makes it into the 80’s today it will become only the 6th time it has reached the 80’s on this date. The last time was just last year. The low so far for today is 66° the current warmest minimum for this date is 65 set in 1949 so if it dont get below 66 before midnight we will set a new record warmest minimum for this date. The current reported official temperature at the airport is 71° with a DP of 66° here at my house I have a current temperature that is a little cooler than the AP at 67 with partly cloudy skies. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 You are correct, what a change. We have been stuck under clouds and off and on rain for several days. Right now 40 degrees and rain with a north wind gusting to 20 MPH. What an October so far. I just feel very sorry for our farmers who watch the crops sit in the fields with standing water everywhere. They really need a week of dry weather and they could get the crop harvested. Yeah, always winners and losers. Unfortunately, the extreme wx we enthusiasts gravitate towards most likely causes other peeps inconveniences (or worse). Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 9, 2018 Author Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 posting this as our first wintery system of the new season east of the Rockies: 20181009 NWS map 1st wintery system.PNG @ Tom Crazy to read "could this be the first winter storm for our sub??" while my trees have barely started to turn and It's gonna feel like FL beach wx. Talk about wildYup, East Asian Rule did a fine job I'd say... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Is it July or October????? Currently at 71 tempwise and dew is at 70F. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Hurricane Micheal now a CAT2 and expected to gain strength. Possibly CAT3 b4 landfall. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Current statistics Hurricane MichaelLast Updated: 10/9/2018, 8:00:00 AM (EDT)Location: 24.5 N 86.1 WMovement: NNW at 10 mphWind: 100 mph Pressure: 968 mb Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 This is one healthy looking cyclone! I can't believe how slow moving and organized this thing has been. Bring this baby on in the winter time and look out! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Looks like the low is starting to move northeast. Rain is now moving to the northwest and my temp has dropped 2 degrees, now officially at 39 degrees. This is a moderate rain and a lot more is moving up from Kansas. Probably going to be over 1 inch easily today with the radar trends. North wind is making is resemble a winter day on the 9th of October. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 This is one healthy looking cyclone! I can't believe how slow moving and organized this thing has been. Bring this baby on in the winter time and look out! Perfect Central Plains set up for our winter storms. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Perfect Central Plains set up for our winter storms.I coach in our last Junior High Football game today at 4:30. Should have the heaviest rains be in and around the area at that time. We have field turf so there is no reason to cancel the game! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 It has gained strength....now, 110mph: Hurricane centralReported ConditionsTue Oct 9, 2018 10:00AM CDT Michael Hurricane Wind: 110 mph Pressure: 965 mbMovement: N at 12 mph Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 It’s making a run at Cat 4 before landfall. That GOM bathwater is fuel for the fire. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 It’s making a run at Cat 4 before landfall. That GOM bathwater is fuel for the fire.Yup...upper 80s current water temp in the GOM. CAT3 is a good bet. CAT4 is possible, but I think it will run outta time. It will hit land soon. That might leave it at 3, otherwise, this thing had a chance of being a 5, had it been over water much longer! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Latest few runs of the NAM keep the precip holding on a bit longer, thus changing over to light snow for a few hours Thurs morning. Wouldn’t stick much with temps in the lower 30s, but chances of seeing some flakes are looking a bit better at the moment 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 I coach in our last Junior High Football game today at 4:30. Should have the heaviest rains be in and around the area at that time. We have field turf so there is no reason to cancel the game! We have already moved our football practice indoors today to our elementary school. There is standing water on our practice field and the rain continues. We will get more done inside than sliding around outside. Hoping tomorrow and Thursday we will get outside to get some work done. Hard to believe that regular season of high school football here in Nebraska ends next Friday the 19th. Where has the fall gone? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 The GFS is missing the interaction with Sergio and the other piece of energy comin down. Could be an interesting setup if they did. Wondering how the Euro will handle it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 We have already moved our football practice indoors today to our elementary school. There is standing water on our practice field and the rain continues. We will get more done inside than sliding around outside. Hoping tomorrow and Thursday we will get outside to get some work done. Hard to believe that regular season of high school football here in Nebraska ends next Friday the 19th. Where has the fall gone?Right to winter! Winter Storm Warning just hoisted for northcentral NE!https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lbf&wwa=winter%20storm%20warning 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Right to winter! Winter Storm Warning just hoisted for northcentral NE!https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lbf&wwa=winter%20storm%20warningThey also extended the WWA; now includes North Platte Nebraska. We have a girl from our school playing in state golf today, what a miserable day for that! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Right to winter! Winter Storm Warning just hoisted for northcentral NE!https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lbf&wwa=winter%20storm%20warning Valentine always seems to a magnet for snow. This is one of those times where I wish Omaha/Lincoln were in the middle of the Sand Hills instead of the southeast haha. The Sand Hills are probably one of the most sparsely populated areas in the lower 48...unique area that I'd love to visit one day. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Right to winter! Winter Storm Warning just hoisted for northcentral NE!https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lbf&wwa=winter%20storm%20warningNorth Central Nebraska to Northeast Nebraska usually the snow winners it seems. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Valentine always seems to a magnet for snow. This is one of those times where I wish Omaha/Lincoln were in the middle of the Sand Hills instead of the southeast haha. The Sand Hills are probably one of the most sparsely populated areas in the lower 48...unique area that I'd love to visit one day. I love the Black Hills-esque scenery around Chadron as well. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Jesus ******* Christ Euro is bringing 2.5" of wet snow here Friday. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 This is a spot on 09’-10’ repeat. Mark my words. Omaha got 6” of snow on the 10th of October in 2009, it was insane. I’ve said it all along, this is Nebraska’s year! Now that I’m not there lolNot getting my hopes up on this one. This is the first time either of the models has even sniffed at measurable snow for here. If we even do see flakes, it'll probably be in the form of a rain/snow mix and will not be able to accumulate because temperatures will be 3 or 4 degrees above freezing, along with the rain. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 My county and to the south is in a Tornado Watch til 9pm. This system looks impressive on radar. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Tornado warning just west of Dubuque. Meanwhile steady rain with a wind chill of 45 here. Nasty. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 9, 2018 Author Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 My county and to the south is in a Tornado Watch til 9pm. This system looks impressive on radar.Not only that, but the upper levels are just as impressive as this beast goes neg tilt through tomorrow. Storm #1 in the new LRC is quite the system and a fantastic way to start a new pattern. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 I picked up about a quarter inch of rain overnight. In the last hour, I picked up another quarter inch in only five minutes from a tiny, but potent cell. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 It's very similar for sure, areas in Western Nebraska received 25-30" of snow in October! Here is North Platte's updated snow forecast for today.....looks great! That’s what I’m saying bruv! I’m calling it right now, all of Nebraska ends up above average this winter. If you get some snow soon I’m gunna geek, it’s been forever since we saw that out there! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 On and off light rain now. I think the heaviest is gone for a while. 51.3*F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Hastings NE221 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018...First Freeze Expected for Most of the Area Wednesday Night...Phillips-Smith-Rooks-Valley-Greeley-Nance-Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-Webster-Including the cities of Phillipsburg, Bellaire, Smith Center,Kensington, Codell, Plainville, Stockton, Ord, Greeley, Spalding,Scotia, Wolbach, Fullerton, Genoa, Loup City, Sherman Reservoir,Litchfield, St. Libory, Central City, Lexington, Cozad,Willow Island, Gothenburg, Kearney, Grand Island, Aurora, Elwood,Johnson Lake, Holdrege, Minden, Hastings, Sutton, Harvard,Clay Center, Edgar, Fairfield, Cambridge, Arapahoe, Oxford,Beaver City, Hollinger, Alma, Orleans, Franklin, Campbell,Hildreth, Inavale, Red Cloud, Blue Hill, Rosemont, and Bladen221 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGHTHURSDAY MORNING...The National Weather Service in Hastings has issued a FreezeWatch, which is in effect from late Wednesday night throughThursday morning.* TEMPERATURE...27 to 32 degrees* IMPACTS...Outdoor plants may be damaged.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A Freeze Watch means sub-freezing temperatures are possible.These conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Something is bound to happen. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 I picked up about a quarter inch of rain overnight. In the last hour, I picked up another quarter inch in only five minutes from a tiny, but potent cell.Aren't you annoyed that everything keeps missing CR to the west? I would love to see some of those storms. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Well the rain shield has finally arrived here! As SPS said it is 45 and raining here. Brrrrr... Watching radar of this system in the heart of the country is absolute eye candy. Hope it revisits this winter! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 This is a spot on 09’-10’ repeat. Mark my words. Omaha got 6” of snow on the 10th of October in 2009, it was insane. I’ve said it all along, this is Nebraska’s year! Now that I’m not there lol I remember that storm well. I believe North Platte and areas around there got over a foot that day. The snow even made it's way all the way to Iowa City. We were setting up for our tailgate and around 10am or so it started snowing. Some good sized flakes too, but it didn't stick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Michael's a MAJOR and that's quite the pressure drop since yesterday: 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 It's not a massive wide zone of hurricane winds. Kinda compact like Charlie in '04. But, per NOAA's guidance, Panama City's in the cross-hairs for the worst winds. Fortunately, they're some what inland on that bay vs being right on the beach like say Miami. Although with Charlie, he turned into the bay and peeps were caught off guard by the last minute landfall shift. He also maintained intensity a bit longer going into the bay. If Michael threads the needle of the bay inlet, could be a similar scenario. A lot of folks were killed in mobile homes during Charlie. He remained a CAT4 at landfall with near CAT5 gusts in a narrow band. (see the gas station vid) 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 511 Nebraska shows snow accumulating in western Nebraska at Ogallala. What a great sight to see on October 9th. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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