Bryant Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Much better looking EPS tonightMust be referring to post 240 hours 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Must be referring to post 240 hours Really impressive to see such a strong retrogression signal on both the EPS and GEFS. The mean trough moves from the Eastern US to Western US in 2 days with an exploding GOA ridge.. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Fun! 1908-09 was a ridiculously cold winter alright. The main cold was in January as opposed to February, but it was very cold. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Much better looking EPS tonightYeah? I assume same retrogression signal beginning just after Day 9-10 as the GEFS, CMCE shows? Post images if you can please. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 A day 10 to day 15 comparison 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 A day 10 to day 15 comparison F3C93FA2-32D4-49F6-A4E5-E03D53544192.pngC8B7DFAF-5851-4349-AA65-A6A12239D720.pngWow. Dramatic improvement. Thank you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 We have a long ways to go, but there is substantial potential ahead and with all 3 model camps agreeing on retrogression of the offshore ridge to develop into an Alaskan Block we can't ask for much more. We may see Operational runs turn much better and colder. Let's see this progression move ahead in timing. Cautiously optimistic. C'MON!!! 6z GFS in 11 minutes! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 We have a long ways to go, but there is substantial potential ahead and with all 3 model camps agreeing on retrogression of the offshore ridge to develop into an Alaskan Block we can't ask for much more. We may see Operational runs turn much better and colder. Let's see this progression move ahead in timing. Cautiously optimistic. C'MON!!! 6z GFS in 11 minutes! Unfortunately it looks like the 00z runs were a mirage. And the prospect of yet another dry month is looking more and more likely. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Ended with 1.10" of rain yesterday. Pretty impressive considering there was only .08" when I left for work and the 2nd round didn't start until about 2pm. 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew. Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Snowball fight canceled? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Next week looks pretty warm across the country on the 12Z GFS: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Heavy frost here this morning. 29.8F. Roads look icy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 20”+ of rain in SW BC with barely more than an inch or so in most of Oregon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 20”+ of rain in SW BC with barely more than an inch or so in most of Oregon 1F59499E-3E0A-470E-83C4-7949874927D9.pngWow, Eastern Washington County is actually getting more rain than other parts of the valley! Impressive! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 The 12Z GFS ends well. The 12Z NAM puts the Friday low way south, still something to watch! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 A blend of last night’s gefs and this mornings gfs op run would be pretty tasty Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Pretty disappointing trends in the semi-realistic range this morning. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Pretty disappointing trends in the semi-realistic range this morning.384 looks good = it’s all good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 20”+ of rain in SW BC with barely more than an inch or so in most of Oregon 1F59499E-3E0A-470E-83C4-7949874927D9.pngHopefully that will trend south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Pretty disappointing trends in the semi-realistic range this morning. I wasn’t paying attention because all of yesterday’s runs showed Oregon getting shafted anyways. So i can’t imagine it getting much worse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 PNA is trying really hard to trend down by Christmas time...ish. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 At least there is some marginal stuff at the end of the runs. But we all know once it gets inside of 8 days at the latest it’s gone. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 The 12z gefs continues to show a lot of ridging in the goa in the extended. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Definitely a sense of urgency with this thing. We need it to trend in the right direction if we want to avoid a 91-92 or 14-15 type shitfest. Great to have a sense of urgency over something we have no control over. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 12z ensembles indeed suggest it could be another dry month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Definitely a sense of urgency with this thing. We need it to trend in the right direction if we want to avoid a 91-92 or 14-15 type shitfest. Great to have a sense of urgency over something we have no control over. Like sports spectators. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png I've seen worse. But 29 years and counting...has to be the longest the S valley has gone without a white Christmas in a long time. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 12z ensembles indeed suggest it could be another dry month. Seems like I was about 24 hours ahead of you with this call. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Michael VentriceVerified account @MJVentrice 2h2 hours ago MoreEvery stratosphere weather weenie (like me) is going to love to see this downward propagation of warmth from the stratosphere towards the troposphere. HERE WE GO! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png I've seen worse. But 29 years and counting...has to be the longest the S valley has gone without a white Christmas in a long time. If anything these lend support to our growing 91-92 redux fears. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 The 12z gefs continues to show a lot of ridging in the goa in the extended. It's a little better than the 6z, but a big step back from the 0z ensembles. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Thoughts on next summer? Lol! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 The 12Z GFS ends well. The 12Z NAM puts the Friday low way south, still something to watch!Gonna be a big blow Friday for southern Vancouver Island. Expecting lots of power outages. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Seems like I was about 24 hours ahead of you with this call.It worked! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Thoughts on next summer? Lol! Hot, fires. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Thoughts on next summer? Lol! dude it’s december 12th, 20 years ago it would have been December 12th too. #Lifegoeson Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Hot, fires. Yeah, maybe we'll have a wet spring, that can occur sometimes coming out of an El Nino, so if anything perhaps that could be our saving grace. Once nice thing is that if we can avoid a back to back Nino we should be set up pretty nicely. Some of our best winters have followed some of our all-time duds. 92-93 was an epic winter in the valley, 03-04 was pretty good, 16-17 followed back to back +ENSO duds. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 12, 2018 Report Share Posted December 12, 2018 Hot, fires.there won’t be much fuel to burn if things stay dry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.