January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Phil]

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Coldest weather in a generation!

 

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/28/us/polar-vortex-cold-weather.html

Amazing stuff. If record cold can happen there it can happen here. 

[Jesse]

Coldest weather in a generation!

 

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/28/us/polar-vortex-cold-weather.html

 

Can't stand the scientifically illiterate use of the term "polar vortex".

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Wind chills close to -70 tomorrow night in places. 

[HighlandExperience]

Amazing stuff. If record cold can happen there it can happen here.

Not true

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Not true

BS

[HighlandExperience]

BS

It might snow in Zimbabwe before it does here

[Jesse]

Our warm up after a brief troughy period is coming into focus on the 18z ensemble.

[Gradient Keeper]

Al Gore. Just Don't. C'MON man. I weep for anyone who believes anything he says. There is a video too and the outlandish nonsense he spews. He seems to actually believe what he's saying too. (If this needs to be moved to the Banter thread go ahead)

 

 

00z GFS in 3 hours 29 minutes

[Deweydog]

Can't stand the scientifically illiterate use of the term "polar vortex".

Educate those plebes!!

[Timmy]

No link but I saw on fb that the euro weeklies look pretty good with a trough over the west for the whole month of feb.

[Front Ranger]

Coldest weather in a generation!

 

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/28/us/polar-vortex-cold-weather.html

 

Heavy snow right before the coldest air mass hits. I think this one will live up to the hype, especially away from the city cores.

[Gradient Keeper]

No link but I saw on fb that the euro weeklies look pretty good with a trough over the west for the whole month of feb.

This?

[Gradient Keeper]

Al Gore. Just Don't. C'MON man. I weep for anyone who believes anything he says. There is a video too and the outlandish nonsense he spews. He seems to actually believe what he's saying too. (If this needs to be moved to the Banter thread go ahead)

 

Al Gore at it again.png

 

00z GFS in 3 hours 29 minutes

Haha. Here it is! Phil is going to love this.

 

https://twitter.com/tictoc/status/1088121122749464576

 

00z ECMWF in 5 hours 36 minutes

[MossMan]

Ensembles still look pretty good. Not that it matters at all because this winter is as dead as Ted Bundy.

[crf450ish]

I wonder how catastrophic the damages would be around the pnw if we saw the kind of temps the upper Midwest is about to see...

[El_Nina]

Weather is part of real life.

I dont know about you but I'm gonna be more touched by emotional connections with people than with the weather.

[Gradient Keeper]

I wonder how catastrophic the damages would be around the pnw if we saw the kind of temps the upper Midwest is about to see...

People would literally turn into Fish Sticks. Dude. Frozen ones. Yeah.

 

00z GFS in 3 hours 13 minutes

[Jesse]

[Gradient Keeper]

Dramatic and PROFOUND changes of the EPS 45 Day! If even half of this verified it would be historic.

 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

This?

That, from Ventrice, is actually the difference between the previous weeklies and the new one. Previous weeklies had the west quite warm, so this means it is showing normal temps for week 3, as earlier predicted by Ventrice. Dont know about the other weeks though

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Dramatic and PROFOUND changes of the EPS 45 Day! If even half of this verified it would be historic.

 

 

What the fu

[MossMan]

Dramatic and PROFOUND changes of the EPS 45 Day! If even half of this verified it would be historic.

 

That would make some forum members happy!

[Esquimalt]

Dramatic and PROFOUND changes of the EPS 45 Day! If even half of this verified it would be historic.

 

How reliable has the EPS 45 been in the past?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

from just the eps plots - modified and extended period of arctic air from early Feb to early March. Portland gets moisture and we in Seattle get the cold.

 

South valley involved?

[umadbro]

South valley involved?

Its a low resolution model. Take it with a grain of salt.

[Omegaraptor]

Portland’s lowest RH today was 41%, putting it right between Denver and Phoenix.

[TT-SEA]

Portland’s lowest RH today was 41%, putting it right between Denver and Phoenix.

 

 

Low dewpoints are common with our east wind events.    Its normal here... happens all the time.  

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

From a friend

Just wondering if any of the past weeklies showed westside snow on that same graph. Haven't seen a comparison. Even the previous weeklies probably had a few rogue snowy members skewing the results and the mean. Would like to see the 500mbs.

[TT-SEA]

Just wondering if any of the past weeklies showed westside snow on that same graph. Haven't seen a comparison. Even the previous weeklies probably had a few rogue snowy members skewing the results and the mean. Would like to see the 500mbs.

 

 

Yeah... I bet it often shows snow for us.

 

The 500mb output agrees very well with the current EPS for the next 15 days with a western trough... then it slowly goes zonal for the second half of the run.   

 

Nothing too dramatic.    I would not think it was a snowy pattern.  

 

Here is day 20:

 

Day 30:

 

Day 45:

[Phil]

Can't stand the scientifically illiterate use of the term "polar vortex".

I’m with you there.

 

Clicks and views > scientific legitimacy.

[MossMan]

How’s the polar vortex lookin?

[umadbro]

Looking forward to our very own polar vortex in 32 years.

[luvssnow_spokane]

[van city]

I want a polar Vortex!

Move to Baffin Island.

[MossMan]

Sorry guys for sharing that image, it was irresponsible of me. What I should have done is added a disclaimer that it was low resolution, pointless, and anyone posting the same thing was to be put on mod preview as the only legit answer is zonal and warmth. Again, my apologies.

You should be ashamed of yourself...at least you are learning from your mistakes.

[Jesse]

Sorry guys for sharing that image, it was irresponsible of me. What I should have done is added a disclaimer that it was low resolution, pointless, and anyone posting the same thing was to be put on mod preview as the only legit answer is zonal and warmth. Again, my apologies.

Imadbro.

[Jesse]

I’m with you there.

Clicks and views > scientific legitimacy.

Yeah, they will take actual meteorological terms that sound sort of sexy out of context and run with them. Or act like they’re a sign of something new or unusual. I’d hate to break it to them that there is a polar vortex somewhere every year.

[Front Ranger]

I wish the media would stick with actual scientific terms like "snowpocalypse" or "arctic express".

[Jesse]

I wish the media would stick with actual scientific terms like "snowpocalypse" or "arctic express".

Or “Flatironing”.