bud2380 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Go NAM Go! http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2019011618/069/snku_acc.us_mw.png 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Definitely an Iowa storm. Still not thrilled here but better. Anywho hopefully it plays out well for the Iowa people. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_069.gifLittle farther north and a better attempt at a phase Edit: Just a thing of beauty taking shape on the 18z Nam run. Hopefully just a beginning of things to come as this model is seeing what can happen when everything starts to line up on the playing field. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Definitely a lot better for Omaha too! The northern part of the system seems to be inching south. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2019011618/075/snku_acc.us_c.png 1 Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 That northern edge can stay away now! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 $100 says DMX says something along these lines, " though the 18z NAM shows a more phased / wetter soultion it's an outlier at this point and we'll wait for future model packages." Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 $100 says DMX says something along these lines, " though the 18z NAM shows a more phased / wetter soultion it's an outlier at this point and we'll wait for future model packages."Usually afternoon discussions dont even discuss the 18z runs. Doesn't mean you cant take it into account. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 DVN As for snowfall amounts, most areas should see 4 to 6 inches. Southof I-80 there is a potential for more than 6 inches of snow. Sincesnow/rain ratios will be increasing through the event, snowfallamounts may trend higher in some areas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Icon develops two heavy bands of snow and then takes off. Hmmm. 3k nam laughs at the possibility of a storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Uh oh, this things needs to chill and not go any further south. That northern edge is uncomfortably close on the NAM. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 18z icon 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 18z iconThat’s just the weirdest looking storm ever. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 I dont put much stock in the Icon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Good thing the icon probably has the right idea like it normally does. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Wow GFS way stronger and further north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 GFS stepping towards NAM 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 GFS stepping towards NAMYep, looking like it wants to phase...baby stepping with the 18z runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tbone8 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 GFS still showing a significant thorm behind this one, pert near same track but with a little more punch... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Wow GFS way stronger and further north. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Hope I can get some LES from this. Have yet to ever experience it in my lifetime and I really wanna see it work it's magic! if this thing can phase quicker, I think 95% of this forum benefits. Let's hope the 18z models are somehow onto something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Seeing both NAM and GFS upticking has to be a good sign. Still 2 days out yet though! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Good write-up on the storm: https://www.latlmes.com/science/huge-midwest-storm-1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Good write-up on the storm:https://www.latlmes.com/science/huge-midwest-storm-1Very insightful. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Very insightful I sat there for a minute thinking it was an ad before the article lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jzuzphreek Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Good write-up on the storm: https://www.latlmes.com/science/huge-midwest-storm-1 I've never seen it explained that way. Can't wait for this to ramp up and get rolling! Looks like no matter how it ends up, my area should at least end up with something. I'm expecting anywhere between 2 to 10 inches. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 I sat there for a minute thinking it was an ad before the article lolLol sadly it does nothing to help my feelings on this storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Accumulations have been lowered due to no phase, but, there is still time for adjustments. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 SREF plumes are averaging around 7" for Cedar Rapids with a high of 13". Higher than I expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Good write-up on the storm: https://www.latlmes.com/science/huge-midwest-storm-1That's about the best thing I've ever seen come out of the LA Times. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Fv3 hr 66 500 vort and qpf 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 Fv3 hr 66 500 vort and qpfStronger and north which has been the trend of the 18z runs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 FV3 lookin' alright. And this is 10:1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 FV3 lookin' alright. And this is 10:1 That's a 6-8"er for much of Iowa. Nice to see! Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 The less severe Arctic cold behind this system appears to be allowing it to trend N. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 FV3 lookin' alright. And this is 10:1 Actually a good hit for Central Nebraska. I’d take it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 NWS Hastings says the storm will give Central Nebraska 1” or less of snow. Ok then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 NWS Hastings says the storm will give Central Nebraska 1” or less of snow. Ok then.OAX only going 2-4 and guiding lower. Waiting for the 00z but not hopeful. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 GRR says 1-4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 OAX only going 2-4 and guiding lower. Waiting for the 00z but not hopeful.2-4" may be high at this point, maybe more like 1-2". We'll see if 00z runs will be the nail in the coffin or not. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 16, 2019 Report Share Posted January 16, 2019 18z fv3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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