Right now Biden's only real path to victory is winning the "Blue Wall" states and then NE1, and ending up with a 270-268 EV margin.
Unless the race suddenly gets shaken up, that's pretty much his ceiling. It's 100% doable. Trump's ceiling is probably around 322 EV's, though if Biden's support just completely collapses at the end, which I think is possible, I could see Trump winning close to 340 EV. Though that would be very unlikely, but in that kind of scenario he could win Virginia or Maine. Clearly the likeliest states for him to flip from 2016/20 are Nevada and Minnesota.
All I said to tim was that trump was not the single reason for the riots & protests in 2020.
He was definitely the sole reason for the protests when he banned travel from primarily Muslim countries early in his presidency.
There really aren't a lot of scenarios where the post-election period goes smoothly/quietly.
If Biden wins and it's remotely close, there will be all kinds of cries of rigging and fraud... again. Trump won't have the power of the presidency to try to pull anything off, but I'm sure there will be some kind of effort to try to overturn the results by various state officials and/or some people in Congress.
If Trump wins, I think there will be tremendous backlash from the left... the far left in particular. After the 2016 election, I remember there being a lot of protests (some turned pretty nasty) even before Trump took office. The guy hadn't even done anything yet. I'd expect that to be 100x worse this time.
We're probably in for quite a ride.
Trump wasn't President in 2016 yet we had wild rioting all summer, it's more an election year ploy than anything else. As if on cue campus riots have broken out all over the country in recent weeks, if you haven't noticed.
I just posted a buttload of analysis. Feel free to dig in.
@TT-SEA you still haven't denied being a JEB! supporter.
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