gosaints Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 wherever the fronto band develops tomorrow afternoon could have a couple hours of fun Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 12z NAM still holding on to ice potential during the week. Hoping the NAM has this wrong. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 12Z models aren't exactly raising my confidence of the Wed/Thurs. system in Central Nebraska. Pretty minimal snow amounts, but cold and windy. What looks like a perfect setup might not produce much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 12Z models aren't exactly raising my confidence of the Wed/Thurs. system in Central Nebraska. Pretty minimal snow amounts, but cold and windy. What looks like a perfect setup might not produce much. At least it's going to be snow. This is going to be nasty for NIL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 4, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 At HR 72, the NAM has the SLP at 1006mb in SW Missouri. The GFS has a 1001mb SLP in Eastern Iowa. Canadian has it in NW Arkansas. Last night’s Euro has an elongated 1006mb low in from South central to east central-ish Missouri. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 12z GEFS looking pretty for all of MN into N WI/U.P.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Man, temps crashing hard. Already down to 12F. It was in the middle 30s not too long ago. FZ has flipped to snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 4, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 The Euro seems to be thinking more freezing rain than sleet in my area tomorrow night / Wednesday morning. Does the Euro struggle with those kind of things? Anyway, it’s a pretty nasty ice storm tomorrow night on that run from about HWY 20 and south. 0.2” to 0.4” of ice for most of that area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 The Euro seems to be thinking more freezing rain than sleet in my area tomorrow night / Wednesday morning. Does the Euro struggle with those kind of things? Anyway, it’s a pretty nasty ice storm tomorrow night on that run from about HWY 20 and south. 0.2” to 0.4” of ice for most of that area.The EURO should handle the situation fine. Now like all models in a smaller scale event like this it will struggle with placement of the highest qpf.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Boulder have a place in Manitowish waters, but shut it down for the winter. Always wanna stay farther north with better snow, but Boulder is a nice to head south too. If the gfs is right looks like a foot by Thurs afternoon!Yep, if this pans out conditions will immediately be back to “good/excellent” riding. Have a great time. I’ll be back up the following week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 4, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 The EURO should handle the situation fine. Now like all models in a smaller scale event like this it will struggle with placement of the highest qpf....Fair. Just seems like the Euro is the only model not showing a good swatch of sleet, which is what has me confused. Most other models seem to indicate that, where the Euro has me with all FZR. That could make a pretty huge difference. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 The Euro seems to be thinking more freezing rain than sleet in my area tomorrow night / Wednesday morning. Does the Euro struggle with those kind of things? Anyway, it’s a pretty nasty ice storm tomorrow night on that run from about HWY 20 and south. 0.2” to 0.4” of ice for most of that areaIs the EURO similar to the CMC in terms of ice amounts and placement? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 4, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Is the EURO similar to the CMC in terms of ice amounts and placement?For which event? It’s very difficult with the Euro, because the site I use only shows ice accumulations in 6-hour increments. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 12z euro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 For which event? It’s very difficult with the Euro, because the site I use only shows ice accumulations in 6-hour increments.What does the Euro show for ice for Wednesday night- Thursday in eastern Iowa? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 For which event? It’s very difficult with the Euro, because the site I use only shows ice accumulations in 6-hour increments.Tuesday afternoon and night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 4, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 What does the Euro show for ice for Wednesday night- Thursday in eastern Iowa?This is Wednesay night into Thursday.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 4, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 This is Tuesday afternoon/night & Wednesday morning ice accumulations.. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Euro is better here for about 2-3" but we waste some QPF on lame freezing rain. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 PIcture from Hwy 8 near Rhinelander, WI this morning. Quarter inch of ice being reported with thousands of power outages. Nasty stuff. 2 Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 12z euroThanks for posting the Euro. That extends to everyone that posts it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 PIcture from Hwy 8 near Rhinelander, WI this morning. Quarter inch of ice being reported with thousands of power outages. Nasty stuff.That literally looks like an ice rink...no bueno...feel bad for those who have to deal with that ice...hope your doing well Snowshoe... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Fronto weenie run for the NAM just NW of MSP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 ^ LIKE. Big change from previous runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 No shortage of dry air on NAM. Gives us a couple tenths before shafting us. Catastrophic ice storm just North of Jaster on NAMily... >0.50". Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 18z NAM and 3km NAM. Still snowing on the 3km at the end of the run. And of course, my snowblower is out of commission this week. Fuel leak for the loss. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 We might be quite low in the snow department this year, but this snow-thaw-freeze cycle has left the snow base here very solid. Probably have around 3-4 inches of glacier. Hoping to see things happen this week too! Side streets and parking lots are a nightmare up here with the freezing rain that fell. That stuff can stay away. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 I love how the surface low track is about perfect on the GFS, but we still get nothing in Omaha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 I love how the surface low track is about perfect on the GFS, but we still get nothing in OmahaThat's happened so many times this Winter. Usually a track between KC and St. Joe is perfect for here, but we've only had one >6" storm. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I would take a dry slot over sleet. I mean, I don’t like the trouble freezing rain causes, but I always find it to be fascinating, at least. Sleet is just the worst. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 That's happened so many times this Winter. Usually a track between KC and St. Joe is perfect for here, but we've only had one >6" storm.We havent had a single one. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I would take a dry slot over sleet. I mean, I don’t like the trouble freezing rain causes, but I always find it to be fascinating, at least. Sleet is just the worst. Frozen rain is terrible. I'd rather we have dry and 0 - 25 degrees outside. Not sure why some people are complaining about being dry when most of us are getting a nasty mix of frozen rain, sleet, and snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I would take a dry slot over sleet. I mean, I don’t like the trouble freezing rain causes, but I always find it to be fascinating, at least. Sleet is just the worst.I'm the opposite of you. I love sleet. I find it thrilling and a bit soothing when heavy sleet falls. Freezing rain is just a pain in the a**. 4 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 No more sleet! I experienced enough of that in Chile. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 wow...I know it's the gfs fv3 but 988! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 looks like northern wi gets hammered!on nam gfs and gfs fv3. None of the forecast offices up there seem too excited. Weather channel has 12 to 18. Hope it happens would be pretty cool! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 No shortage of dry air on NAM. Gives us a couple tenths before shafting us. Catastrophic ice storm just North of Jaster on NAMily... >0.50". Thx for the heads-up. I try to ignore ZR events since they're as you say, just a nuisance or worse in my book. Getting just missed to the north would be a repeat of Dec 2013. Had a couple tenths here, but merely a county north was out of power for a week or more iirc. Perhaps if these 50's and torch is good for anything, it will spare me that misery. Although, my gut tells me we're "due". We had tons of ice in 06-07 and not a direct hit since. That sound bite you hear is me knocking on wood.. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Thx for the heads-up. I try to ignore ZR events since they're as you say, just a nuisance or worse in my book. Getting just missed to the north would be a repeat of Dec 2013. Had a couple tenths here, but merely a county north was out of power for a week or more iirc. Perhaps if these 50's and torch is good for anything, it will spare me that misery. Although, my gut tells me we're "due". We had tons of ice in 06-07 and not a direct hit since. That sound bite you hear is me knocking on wood..NAM gives you a mere 0.2". Lansing gets nearly 0.6". 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Heavy snow wording in the point tomorrow. 3-5” expected. The evening commute is gonna be rockin. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 All kinds of rain here on Thursday on the GFS. Very gross. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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