Jesse Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 00z GFS is a flaming pile of trash. I expect the Euro to follow suit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Checking in from College Basketball land...looks like going back to warmth. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 00z GFS is a flaming pile of trash. I expect the Euro to follow suit.I feel like we are in Early to mid January again with models being flaming piles of trash... Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 I feel like we are in Early to mid January again with models being flaming piles of trash...In a way I’m glad the models look trashy again. No unrealistic expectations like the three near-misses we had down here. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 GFS and FV3 show lots of split flow with periods of stronger ridging mixed in. Maybe we aren't going to have some crazy heat spike followed by a return to winter? I hope not anyways. As I said. What I’m seeing after this first ridge is a temporary and short-lived trough event mainly targeting Oregon rather than Washington. I can imagine Oregon picking up some drizzle but by no means anything hard. The last few frames show a return to ridging and mild weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Yesterday was the 39th day in a row where SEA saw high temps below normal. Today (Wed) going to be close but should be below normal for 40 days in a row. Thursday appears to be the end of it and we go into an extended period of above normal temps. What we’ve been experiencing since February is truly extraordinary. A year ago, we’ve already dealt with temps in the 70s. Ugh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Yesterday was the 39th day in a row where SEA saw high temps below normal. Today (Wed) going to be close but should be below normal for 40 days in a row. Thursday appears to be the end of it and we go into an extended period of above normal temps. What we’ve been experiencing since February is truly extraordinary. A year ago, we’ve already dealt with temps in the 70s. Ugh. Dealt with room temperature comfort. Hope we have to deal with it again soon! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 We’ve certainly seen progress in the right (cold) direction over the last few years. Warm periods have generally shrunk in duration and have been confined to the warm season (when the ITCZ has been able to broaden). This year might have the z-cells equatorward just enough that the big 4CH/western ridge pattern never fully establishes like recent years, or it might be muted in favor of a more 1997-ish east-based niño pattern. It doesn’t look cold, but the big ridge pattern might be less of an issue barring some super +PMM re-emergence. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Dealt with room temperature comfort. Hope we have to deal with it again soon! Your definition of “comfort” may be different than others considering you have a warm bias. March 12 last year was 73F and a +20F above normal is what some may call a blow torch. Thank god it was just a one day deal last year and it came back down into the mid 50s the rest of the month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Fukking kill me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Fukking kill me.I heard frogs for the first time this season on Monday!! Much later than usual. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Yes.Truly gonna be sad if this ends up happening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 The c-zone is still going... very persistent. Its sort of acted like a warm blanket overnight though as its 37 at SEA and 35 here but 28 at OLM. I don't see any snow on the traffic cams... but there is probably some hail or maybe wet snow under the more active part of the c-zone south of Everett. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Meanwhile crazy widespread K12 special unfolding!Dallas Fort Worth area got slammed already from a line of storms earlier. 32* here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Dealt with room temperature comfort. Hope we have to deal with it again soon! Garden centers will be busy! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Meanwhile crazy widespread K12 special unfolding!Dallas Fort Worth area got slammed already from a line of storms earlier. 32* hereI am so freaking jealous. Especially after this winter of some pretty big missed opportunities. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 My Junipers are trying very hard to re-emerge. Day 39 of having a cold blanket.Low so far of 36 and a high so far of 36. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 My Junipers are trying very hard to re-emerge. Day 39 of having a cold blanket.Low so far of 36 and a high so far of 36. Its actually an insulating blanket to them... even though it would be really cold to us to be buried in snow for 6 weeks. Although it appears that some of our bushes were crushed by their blanket. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Its actually an insulating blanket to them... even though it would be really cold to us to be buried in snow for 6 weeks. Although it appears that some of our bushes were crushed by their blanket. It appears that most of my landscaping is mostly unharmed. I did that massive cutback of the overgrown front entry shrubs and trees...I think that helped. Otherwise I would have been out with a broom constantly beating the snow off of them before they got crushed. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Its actually an insulating blanket to them... even though it would be really cold to us to be buried in snow for 6 weeks. Although it appears that some of our bushes were crushed by their blanket.I was trying to explain this to someone the other day. She was worried about her perennials that had started to grown before February started. I said they would probably be fine and that the snow will actually help protect them from the cold nights we had. But if the snow breaks branches that’s a totally different problem. She seemed skeptical. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 I was trying to explain this to someone the other day. She was worried about her perennials that had started to grown before February started. I said they would probably be fine and that the snow will actually help protect them from the cold nights we had. But if the snow breaks branches that’s a totally different problem. She seemed skeptical. Because she is imagining herself being buried under snow for weeks and how miserable that would be. But it definitely helped to protect them from the cold nighttime temps over the last month. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Because she is imagining herself being buried under snow for weeks and how miserable that would be. But it definitely helped to protect them from the cold nighttime temps over the last month.Also protects the grass from foot and dog traffic! Frosty/frozen grass gets nuked when stepped on. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Wow that convergence zone lasted a long time. Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Ok...we should finally be done with snow now yesterday morning was probably the last occurrence. Looking forward to some nice weather finally we will see how long it lasts though. We will go from 35 and snow to 70 and sunshine in less than 2 weeks. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Holy crap! 06z GFS shows a 77°F high here for March 21. Portland could be warmer than Phoenix and Miami! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Meanwhile crazy widespread K12 special unfolding!Dallas Fort Worth area got slammed already from a line of storms earlier. 32* here I'm headed to Austin tomorrow through Sunday. Looks well below normal, but dry, with high temps near 60. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Awesome photos Jesse! Love the deep color of the icicles too!!! Thanks man. I’ve never seen color that deep on waterfall ice before. Probably because it was so thick. Made the ice refract light like a glacier. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Spring making a first entrance here over the next week or so with a couple possible highs in the low 60's. But who knows a little after this I could still go back to 40's and night time snow. Still another few weeks where many will still consider it to be winter in this area. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 This would probably be cold and dreary in the lowlands in December... but not in March. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 This would probably be cold and dreary in the lowlands in December... but not in March. Wouldn’t this still be sunny in mid-winter unless an inversion happened? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Wouldn’t this still be sunny in mid-winter unless an inversion happened? A strong ridge like that in December would cause an inversion... and it would likely be cold in the lowlands even it was sunny (and likely hazy). The foothills and mountains would be much warmer than the lowlands with crystal clear visibility. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Finally a partly sunny day with a dewpoint above freezing. Lots of water out there today. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 A strong ridge like that in December would cause an inversion... and it would likely be cold in the lowlands even it was sunny (and likely hazy). The foothills and mountains would be much warmer than the lowlands with crystal clear visibility. So basically what happened that one day in January. The ridge was so strong that all the cold air just sank to the valley floor. Portland failed to break 41 with heavy fog all day while the mountains were warm and Redding was challenging temperature records. Is this the same phenomenon that causes the heavy tule fog in the Central Valley? I’ve seen similarly heavy fog in Salem before while Portland has very low clouds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 So basically what happened that one day in January. The ridge was so strong that all the cold air just sank to the valley floor. Portland failed to break 41 with heavy fog all day while the mountains were warm and Redding was challenging temperature records. Is this the same phenomenon that causes the heavy tule fog in the Central Valley? I’ve seen similarly heavy fog in Salem before while Portland has very low clouds. Yes to all. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 A lot of southerly flow on the Euro next week. Might not be enough to get PDX up to 70 but there should be a longish string of days well into the 60s. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 12Z ECMWF is warm and dry. A band of light rain manages to get in here by day 9 but its not much. Here is day 10... everything is going around us and into CA. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Watched some video feeds and the conditions in Denver. Complete whiteout and blizzard conditions. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Watched some video feeds and the conditions in Denver. Complete whiteout and blizzard conditions.Yes. I just saw Mike Seidel live there and he was in blizzard conditions for sure. 27 degrees, heavy snow, 70 mph winds. Things we dream of. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 12Z ECMWF is warm and dry. A band of light rain manages to get in here by day 9 but its not much. Here is day 10... everything is going around us and into CA. You’d think a warm and dry period now would lock in a more unsettled period later on the the spring but I doubt we get that lucky. Should be another perfect, drought filled warm season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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