ShawniganLake Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 24th thru the 26th. 3 day blizzard. Mark it down. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 24th thru the 26th. 3 day blizzard. Mark it down.Delay that three days and we’re golden. We get back from silver star the 27th. I want all the exciting weather to hold off till then. Sorry guys if I seem selfish. Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 24th thru the 26th. 3 day blizzard. Mark it down.My plow arriving on Thursday will be ready! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Delay that three days and we’re golden. We get back from silver star the 27th. I want all the exciting weather to hold off till then. Sorry guys if I seem selfish. LolWe are heading to Cabo in mid February...I really hope winter comes before then. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 11/20? Weird date.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Down to 28F in Springfield with some freezing fog. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 This winter is 100% guaranteed to fail at satisfying everyone's vacation timing. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 00z WRF next Tuesday. Strengthening Columbia Basin high, cold pool setting up. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 This winter is 100% guaranteed to fail at satisfying everyone's vacation timing.We don't have a vacation planned, no reason for us to run and hide! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 00z WRF next Tuesday. Strengthening Columbia Basin high, cold pool setting up. Not really Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Not reallyYes, really. You should actually view the WRF before inserting your foot into your mouth. Just some friendly holiday advice. 1 AM Monday - Some chilly air(not arctic) begins to spill southward into the Columbia Basin. Columbia Basin high 1020mb. 10 AM Monday. Now at 1026mb. 925mb -2/-3c pushing towards Eastern Gorge 4 AM Tuesday. Now 1031mb. 925mb -2c/-3c now pushing west towards the Western Gorge. From next Monday-Tuesday the high strengthens 11mb. If you went out beyond Day 7-8 this would only strengthen further as the strong ridge moves inland and inversions build. This is a typical progression which can lead to a strong cold pool despite not having a deeper cold air mass present. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Chris is reaching lofty new levels of contrarianism lately. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 00z ECMWF Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Chris is reaching lofty new levels of contrarianism lately. Out-Flatironing the Flatman himself. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Day 6 EURO entirely different from previous 6-8 runs. More like the GFS LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Day 6 Model comparison 00z ECMWF 00z GEM 00z GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 00z ECMWF Day 7. GFS wins! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Day 8 ... That's pretty I wonder in 3-4 days if the zonal flow solution wins out, or if the block ends up 500-800 miles further west. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Yep. Big-time block and cold dump similar to GFS. Would be the fourth or fifth one of these we've seen since late September into the lower 48. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Day 10 Massive block pivots. Cold coming towards us. Onto 12z! Good night 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Conjecture Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Day 10 Massive block pivots. Cold coming towards us. Onto 12z! Good night It seems like both the Euro and the Canadian were similar to their previous runs, except the transition to westerlies was delayed a day or so. But that Euro does look interesting beyond just the westerlies showing up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Looking increasingly likely this entire winter is going to be nothing but blocky. The models have completely done away with any kind of a strong jet pattern. Really amazing to see it go on and on like this. It looks like we are going alternate between West Coast / Western US blocking to blocking over the NE Pacific. It will probably be cold winter for everyone. 5 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 It seems like both the Euro and the Canadian were similar to their previous runs, except the transition to westerlies was delayed a day or so. But that Euro does look interesting beyond just the westerlies showing up. The GFS got pretty interesting tonight also. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Conjecture Not totally. There are many clues to what is the most likely to happen. Obviously nobody knows anything for sure though. I totally reject the notion we still have zero idea of what a given winter will be like. Some seasons give pretty strong clues and you can at least get a ballpark idea. In this case it's highly likely we will see blocking sometime this month in a favorable spot for cold weather in the NW. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Not totally. There are many clues to what is the most likely to happen. Obviously nobody knows anything for sure though. I totally reject the notion we still have zero idea of what a given winter will be like. Some seasons give pretty strong clues and you can at least get a ballpark idea. In this case it's highly likely we will see blocking sometime this month in a favorable spot for cold weather in the NW.Or not, equal chance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Day 10 Massive block pivots. Cold coming towards us. Onto 12z! Good night I’m not sure what happened but that’s an old 850mb temperature map! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Though not arctic, day 10 on the Euro shows decently cool temps in Eastrrn WA and cold temps in BC. First time in the last few days that it has shown temps this cool. If course it didnt go out that far in previous runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 DJ meant this one 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Or not, equal chance. Watch and learn. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Watch and learn.You seem even more confident than usual for something cold in our future. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 10-15 day mean from 00Z EPS... could get interesting. The loop looks like retrogression to me. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Looking increasingly likely this entire winter is going to be nothing but blocky. The models have completely done away with any kind of a strong jet pattern. Really amazing to see it go on and on like this. It looks like we are going alternate between West Coast / Western US blocking to blocking over the NE Pacific. It will probably be cold winter for everyone. All the blocking this fall has certainly lead to colder than normal temps for most the country. 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Watch and learn. Love the enthusiasm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 If 420 is for cannabis I don’t even want to know what 1120 is for Snowmaps 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 3, 2019 Report Share Posted December 3, 2019 Something brewing... Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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