Timmy Supercell Posted December 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 How far south did that wonky August wind storm extend a few years back. That seemed pretty wide spread Aug 2015? Yeah I also had some decent gusts in that one too. That low resembled that of an October storm. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Rex Block - Southern California deluge, Northern California and PNW drought. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 This sounds intriguing....... BAMWX @bamwxcom What you're seeing happen w/the structure, tilt & location of the #PolarVortex via the LR GFS is no mistake. The north pacific is doing a lot of work on the PV that may not impact the fancy charts but may certainly pave the way for a durable cold source. (1989,1995,2013ish) https://mobile.twitter.com/bamwxcom/status/1202663047933956096 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Mylde day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Mylde day.Feels hoomid Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Rex Block - Southern California deluge, Northern California and PNW drought. NorCal PNW Drought.png So great to see the SW doing so well. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Rex Block - Southern California deluge, Northern California and PNW drought. NorCal PNW Drought.png Winter re-cancel. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 So great to see the SW doing so well.Farmboy must be loving it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 This sounds intriguing....... BAMWX @bamwxcom What you're seeing happen w/the structure, tilt & location of the #PolarVortex via the LR GFS is no mistake. The north pacific is doing a lot of work on the PV that may not impact the fancy charts but may certainly pave the way for a durable cold source. (1989,1995,2013ish) https://mobile.twitter.com/bamwxcom/status/1202663047933956096Interesting. Of course they forecast almost exclusively for Midwest farmers, so they may be thinking of how it would impact them. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 How far south did that wonky August wind storm extend a few years back. That seemed pretty wide spreadNo power for nearly 3 days at our old place after that event! What a rare late summer storm that was! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 How far south did that wonky August wind storm extend a few years back. That seemed pretty wide spreadNo power for nearly 3 days at our old place after that event! What a rare late summer storm that was! Satellite image from that storm I pulled up from facebook. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Rex Block - Southern California deluge, Northern California and PNW drought. NorCal PNW Drought.pngIs this what they mean by climate change? Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Interesting. Of course they forecast almost exclusively for Midwest farmers, so they may be thinking of how it would impact them.Some fun late season magic those winters out here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 CFS is a mess. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Pretty nice looking system out there right now. Too bad OR/WA are like kryptonite to strong fronts. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Our lawn looks less dormant... mild nights and a little rain. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Beautiful sunny day. 52F Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Our lawn looks less dormant... mild nights and a little rain.How about those daffodils and cherry blossoms? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Seattle will soon have San Francisco's climate. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Seattle will soon have San Francisco's climate.When was the last time SF saw 20" of snow in a month? 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Seattle will soon have San Francisco's climate. So summers are going to get cooler? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 When was the last time SF saw 20" of snow in a month?So summers are going to get cooler? Joking of course folks, Winters warmer, less rainfall and almost impossible to get snow. Pretty sure the annual temperature at SF is warmer than Seattle even though their summers are not hot. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Would love an active jet with good West/northwest flow to really slam the cascades right now. This splitty crap is killing me. D****T Mat. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 This sounds intriguing....... BAMWX @bamwxcom What you're seeing happen w/the structure, tilt & location of the #PolarVortex via the LR GFS is no mistake. The north pacific is doing a lot of work on the PV that may not impact the fancy charts but may certainly pave the way for a durable cold source. (1989,1995,2013ish) https://mobile.twitter.com/bamwxcom/status/1202663047933956096Yep. Playing the long game. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 NWS slapped their curse on the active storm track advertised for next week by mentioning it in the AFD: But both deterministic models and ensemble means point to a moreconsolidated storm track taking aim at the Pacific Northwest inthe later half of next week. December as we normally know it mayyet return. Definitely not going to happen now...Yeah I will believe it when I see it. I remember about 8-9 days before Thanksgiving, the models were showing a huge storm aiming at the PNW. Maue tweeted about it as being a trouble spot, with heavy rain, heavy mountain snow and wind. Well, it turned out the storm did happen, but that was the one that went down to Northern CA and Southern OR. But sooner or later it's going to happen. Right? Right? Well, maybe, hopefully. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Seeing the PV tilt/go baratropic is nice. Leaves it vulnerable to the next wave-2. Recall last January..warm in the PNW but once that sucker was obliterated and tropical feedbacks started the background state of tropical/extratropical communication was completely overridden in February. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 From Portland: EPS! The GEFS does hint at a weak atmospheric river impacting theOregon/Washington coast towards the end of next week, but QPF amountsare still rather meager with its various scenarios. Meanwhile, theEPS suggests a much wetter multi-day stretch is in store for theregion towards the end of next week. Given the considerabledifferences among the various modeling systems, have trended theforecast towards a blend of the various scenarios for now. /Neuman 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 How about those daffodils and cherry blossoms?Daffodils are usually early January... so maybe 3 or 4 weeks yet. Cherry blossoms are early February at the earliest here... so that is still 8 long weeks away! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 I’m doing everything I can think of to get this pattern fixed... Not only did my plow attachment arrive today (I was like a 5yr old on Christmas morning when UPS arrived) but I also washed my truck for the first time in 3 months! Snow by Christmas. 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 There will be so much snow starting around Xmas we are going to get tired of it. Low solar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 There will be so much snow starting around Xmas we are going to get tired of it. Low solar.Unless you are High Desert Matt...2nd year Niño...Split Flow Hell...All winter. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 Unless you are High Desert Matt...2nd year Niño...Split Flow Hell...All winter.He wishes he was me. Ha ha ha. And his is spelled with one T. Our parents were drinking a lot. Lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 5, 2019 Report Share Posted December 5, 2019 High temp of 48 today, no rainfall, few sunbreaks. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 FWIW the ensembles are not as bad as the operational is. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 Last January was just putrid... January 2018 was even worse, but I think having a crappy January coming off a torchy December made it seem even worse. The average maximum temp at SLE has been over 50 two Januaries in a row now... Even something pedestrian like a 46/34 monthly split would seem swell compared to 2018 and 19. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 Mark pushed his coolish high and “rainy” wording to the end of the 7-day again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 Mark pushed his coolish high and “rainy” phrase to the end of the 7-day again. I don't know if you caught it, but he did say during a Facebook discussion last week that he is really rooting for a February 89' or December 90' type event. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 I don't know if you caught it, but he did say during a Facebook discussion last week that he is really rooting for a February 89' or December 90' type event.This could be a gamechanger. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 FWIW the ensembles are not as bad as the operational is.There has even been steady improvement on the operational over the last 12-24 hours, IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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