Deweydog Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 459dm heights. Don’t see that... ever. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 I'm not much of a drinker but this Harvey's hot buttered rum is gooood. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 Really promising. A mere eyelash or two from being really good. Yeah it's worth noting timing has moved ahead big time. CFS WINS!!!! The CMC Ensemble looks very similar to the Euro: 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 I can finally take some time off and relax. This had been the longest working year I think I've ever had and have averaged 65 to 70 hrs a week since March. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 The 18z looks like an old Kmart sandwich... With extra lettuce. 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 Snowing at Timberline. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 Snowing at Timberline. Are you up there now? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 Are you up there now?Yeah, going back down soon. I posted sunrise pics earlier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 I heard it was snowing on the top of all the higher peaks. #EpicDecemberContinues Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 Sub 40 high on Tuesday? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 GEFS: Lower heights/Temps heads our way, sees the big, bad high pressure moving in, gets scared and retreats north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 Sub 40 high on Tuesday? Would be the first one since Nov 30 and only the 2nd this cold season. #NewNormal Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 Would be the first one since Nov 30 and only the 2nd this cold season. #NewNormalWould be the first one for us. We stayed with highs in the low 40s the entire late Nov cold period. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 Improvements on the Euro ensembles. While there is still a +EPO signal, there is also a -PNA signal shown. A few tweaks to the EPO and this could turn into an arctic pattern for the PNW. I also like that the trough has been trending west from previous runs. In any case, its better than the persistent split flow regime we've had to endure for so long. ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-8312000.pngThe CMC Ensemble looks very similar to the Euro: cmc-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-8312000.pngLooking good. If we can get some amplification with that block then watch out. Very cold Arctic air ready to be tapped into. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 The CMC Ensemble looks very similar to the Euro: cmc-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-8312000.png Looks ok but not that great. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 Someday it will cold and snow again, lock in that prediction!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 Ok guys. Just got a “vacation” email from my NWS insider. He is going to call me tomorrow around 9 am. He told me that things are even more interesting than before. He said 1950 could be on the table, his words. Hgh desert Mat and Dave from Troutdale, both members of this site, will be in on the call. Should be interesting. Stay tuned.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 Think consolidated jet!!!! Think highs in the low 40s!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 The 18Z ensembles are a big improvement from the 12Z thought Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 Ok guys. Just got a “vacation” email from my NWS insider. He is going to call me tomorrow around 9 am. He told me that things are even more interesting than before. He said 1950 could be on the table, his words. Hgh desert Mat and Dave from Troutdale, both members of this site, will be in on the call. Should be interesting. Stay tuned.... doubling down on your folly. Sounds about right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 22, 2019 Report Share Posted December 22, 2019 The 18Z ensembles are a big improvement from the 12Z thought Cooler and wetter for sure. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Ok guys. Just got a “vacation” email from my NWS insider. He is going to call me tomorrow around 9 am. He told me that things are even more interesting than before. He said 1950 could be on the table, his words. Hgh desert Mat and Dave from Troutdale, both members of this site, will be in on the call. Should be interesting. Stay tuned.... Sh*t's about to get real, everyone. I gotta refill my wine cellar before nuclear winter blankets the northwest! Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Ok guys. Just got a “vacation” email from my NWS insider. He is going to call me tomorrow around 9 am. He told me that things are even more interesting than before. He said 1950 could be on the table, his words. Hgh desert Mat and Dave from Troutdale, both members of this site, will be in on the call. Should be interesting. Stay tuned.... Not January, 1950 unfortunately. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 I have a good feeling 2020 is on the table, my words not his, 9 days to go to get there!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 The 18z ensembles were decent in the long range. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Given how the rest of the month looks to shake out Fairbanks, AK will probably end December with a negative departure after November's brutal torch. a -32 departure yesterday with a -30/-35 split. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 The 18z ensembles were decent in the long range. I guess this winter a -3C mean for 850’s would be considered decent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 I guess this winter a -3C mean for 850’s would be considered decent. Pretty much. It's basically 02-03 status so far. Only difference is the 534 thickness line has crossed us one time. We still haven't had a high temp in the 30s this Dec and even 2002 had 2 early in the month. Hasn't been a Dec without a high in the 30s here since 1958. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Hammer is about to drop. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 We don't need the full PV to fall right over us in order to score some cold and snow. We just need a lobe/chunk of it to detach and slide south, which Phil's own animation trying to show us being screwed hinted at itself. Unlike East Coast weenies that believe it's PV or bust, PNW weenies are generally content with solid cold and snow without the need of it being historic beyond belief. And I'd argue it is always better to have cold nearby to tap into than not. I'd rather have cold up in AK/Yukon at-the-ready instead of on the other side of the globe or bottled up over Baffin Island, regardless of if some guy in DC says that's not what we want.You clearly didn’t grasp my point. I never said the TPV itself would ever be expected to drop south of the border. To put it simply, the cold bottled in Alaska will not drop due south into the PNW without sufficient wave activity fluxes/amplification. Without a low-freq Aleutian ridge tendency (given the state of the tropics/AAM moats this year), the delivery mechanism will not be the prototypical -ENSO/+QBO variety as in years like 1988/89 et al. If you don’t believe me, watch what happens over the next three weeks if that vortex comes to fruition. I hope it doesn’t, because I swear I want you guys to score..(plus I want my forecast to verify in the contest, lol). I’m just being blunt and 100% honest here. Doesn’t mean I’m correct..I could be totally wrong. But I’m done mincing words. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Hammer is about to drop.I dropped a hammer today, almost hit my foot. Almost... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 You clearly didn’t grasp my point. I never said the TPV itself would ever be expected to drop south of the border. To put it simply, the cold bottled in Alaska will not drop due south into the PNW without sufficient wave activity fluxes/amplification. Without a low-freq Aleutian ridge tendency (given the state of the tropics/AAM moats this year), the delivery mechanism will not be the prototypical -ENSO/+QBO variety as in years like 1988/89 et al. If you don’t believe me, watch what happens over the next three weeks if that vortex comes to fruition. I hope it doesn’t, because I swear I want you guys to score..(plus I want my forecast to verify in the contest, lol). I’m just being blunt and 100% honest here. Doesn’t mean I’m correct..I could be totally wrong. But I’m done mincing words. It's already been alive for a couple days up there. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 You clearly didn’t grasp my point. I never said the TPV itself would ever be expected to drop south of the border. To put it simply, the cold bottled in Alaska will not drop due south into the PNW without sufficient wave activity fluxes/amplification. Without a low-freq Aleutian ridge tendency (given the state of the tropics/AAM moats this year), the delivery mechanism will not be the prototypical -ENSO/+QBO variety as in years like 1988/89 et al. If you don’t believe me, watch what happens over the next three weeks if that vortex comes to fruition. I hope it doesn’t, because I swear I want you guys to score..(plus I want my forecast to verify in the contest, lol). I’m just being blunt and 100% honest here. Doesn’t mean I’m correct..I could be totally wrong. But I’m done mincing words.If you say you could be incorrect or wrong why are you so adamant about it not being able to happen? Just curious. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Ok guys. Just got a “vacation” email from my NWS insider. He is going to call me tomorrow around 9 am. He told me that things are even more interesting than before. He said 1950 could be on the table, his words. Hgh desert Mat and Dave from Troutdale, both members of this site, will be in on the call. Should be interesting. Stay tuned.... Hahahahahaha 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Will the Split Flowers beat the Rain Dumpers? What's the score? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Hammer is about to drop.Haha. Crave attention much? “Everyone look at me” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Not January, 1950 unfortunately.December 1950 was one of the warmest Decembers on record... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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