Phil Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Oh yeah, orientation of the TPV lobe is vastly improved. Seems the precise manipulation of the TPV lobe itself might matter more than the structure of the block, which is relatively stable from run to run at this point. 3 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I might get to watch the Seahawks game... still not much snow Sunday evening. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Day 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Monday snow down to seattle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 We'll see how this run goes-- EURO had the lion's share of the snow for PDX Tuesday-Thursday. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 ECMWF puts down ~1in. of snow Monday morning in Seattle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 This looks like an arctic boundary slipping south on Monday morning... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 OMG!!!! Way colder!!!!!!! Tonight Previous 3 My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 850s a hair colder by Sunday evening though, overall. Definitely still not as fast to bring the cold air in as the GFS but a step in the right direction at 500mb. This run should be much colder by D7-8. 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 MAJOR EPS IMPROVEMENT 4 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 MAJOR 1 (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Day 6 past 4 runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Here's a comparison on how the models handles the AK Ridge at Day 6. Runs are 24 hours part. Solid win for the GFS. GFS 00z: ECMWF 00z: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Still waiting for totally insane temperature output to be impressed. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Monday afternoon from 1-4 p.m... drying out already. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Day 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Sizable improvement. LEGIT 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 The ECMWF is similar to the GEM now in the track for the Sunday low, too far north for snow then but it will get very cold behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 This run is way drier... as expected with much more cold air. Here is Tuesday morning... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 The ECMWF is similar to the GEM now in the track for the Sunday low, too far north for snow then but it will get very cold behind it.Sensing we might get screwed in the snow department on this one. But we’ll see, stuff can change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Tuesday afternoon... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Tim finally getting some traction... 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Sensing we might get screwed in the snow department on this one. But we’ll see, stuff can change way too early to see where it'll snow yet. Just about everyone has a chance. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 The front passes PDX and its cold enough for all snow, but just showery stuff after and significant shadowing. Very believable here, this is how these things play out here almost all the time. Best chance of significant snow is going to be that bigger low. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 The main differences between the GFS, EURO is the EURO brings the cut-off around the block faster than the GFS. I would wager the EPS is more aggressive dropping the arctic hammer over us and then Op runs tomorrow are colder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 BRING IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 3 My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Sizable improvement over 12z. Yeah, trended colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 This run is very much colder but drier. As expected if you want more cold tbh. Which should be OK, let the cold air stay in place and the snow will come. I don't like the idea of a quick hitter and scouring out the cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Regional overrunning event on the ECMWF at 186 hr. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Here she comes 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Tim finally getting some traction... I sense some very snowy maps coming for Wednesday. Going to post those as well. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 D**n... Lots of snow Wednesday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I sense some very snowy maps coming for Wednesday. Going to post those as well. This might be my favorite post yet. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Regional overrunning event on the ECMWF at 186 hr.Yeah, nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Better on the EURO, but still a ways to go. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Wednesday morning before dawn... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 WAZ507-509-555>559-080700-SEATTLE, TACOMA, EVERETT, AND VICINITYCITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKSEVERETT HVY RAIN 44 41 89 NW5 29.70R FOG6HR MIN TEMP: 47; 6HR MAX TEMP: 50; 6HR PCP: 0.02;BOEING FIELD MOCLDY 49 44 83 S14G23 29.69R6HR MIN TEMP: 49; 6HR MAX TEMP: 54; 6HR PCP: 0.01;RENTON CLOUDY 48 44 86 S10 29.70R6HR MIN TEMP: 47; 6HR MAX TEMP: 54; 6HR PCP: 0.01;SEATAC AIRPORT CLOUDY 48 45 89 S15 29.69S6HR MIN TEMP: 47; 6HR MAX TEMP: 53; 6HR PCP: 0.03;JBLM-MCCHORD MOCLDY 46 46 100 SW12G20 29.73R6HR MIN TEMP: 46; 6HR MAX TEMP: 52; 6HR PCP: 0.15;PUYALLUP DRIZZLE 46 46 100 SW7 29.73RBREMERTON CLOUDY 46 44 93 S16 29.68R6HR MIN TEMP: 46; 6HR MAX TEMP: 48; 6HR PCP: 0.06;JBLM-FT LEWIS NOT AVBLTACOMA NARROWS PTCLDY 45 43 93 SW15G23 29.71R6HR MIN TEMP: 46; 6HR MAX TEMP: 50; 6HR PCP: 0.10; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 This run is ok I guess but I'd rather finish watching Darby O'Gill and the little people. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 STRONG EASTERLY FLOW! Sorry, just excited. That's incredible model agreement in the low offshore tightening the gradient and bringing that cold wind. 5 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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