Part I - January 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[snow_wizard]

All I have to say is WOW!

 

What a GFS run.  Cold for two weeks and still no end in sight at the end of the run.  Ensemble mean much colder too.  The ECMWF almost has to move toward the GFS now.

[GHweatherChris]

Biggest pay day years were. 1 2008. 2 2019. 3 1996.4 1985. 5 1990.

You get the benefits!!

[Omegaraptor]

The King is running!

[Perturbed Member]

Welp, here comes the 00z euro to end all the fun.

 

[Shawn]

So where do I find the projected snow levels in my area from now until Monday?

 

 

Here is the zone forecast.  When snow levels are low enough they will show up for your area.

 

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/forecasts/display_special_product_versions.php?sid=sew&pil=zfp

[VancouverIslandSouth]

The end of the GEFS actually does hint at a reload... this is a pretty strong signal that far out.

 

 

Does the cold pool ever leave the BC interior? It seems once it gets established it isn't going to move without a major push. Both the GFS and GEM show that tonight. This is prime inversion season and the BC interior has a healthy snow cover to keep it going:

 

http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/CustomGraphic/scover.gif

[IceKing]

Do you guys think this will be enough cup noodles to last through this extreme mega-winterstorm?

 

Should I get more? Don't want to run out of the shrimp flavor

 

[TT-SEA]

Welp, here comes the 00z euro to end all the fun.

 

brace.PNG

 

 

Not a chance at this point... just sayin.   

[snow_wizard]

I'm almost ready to sit back and smoke a cigar, but not quite yet.

[Jesse]

[Gradient Keeper]

Not bad

 

00z GEFS Surface Temps

Portland - Mean temp 17 to 26 F, cluster to 17 to 8.

Seattle surface temps. Mean temp 19 to 26, cluster to 10 to 17 F.

Yakima - Mean temp 6 to 0 F with a cluster down to -3 to -9. FRIGID!

 

00z EURO time! C'MON!!!!

[Phil]

My vivid memories will be of tracking it. Once it gets here the end will clearly be in view.

Lol. How can you enjoy tracking snow if you don’t actually enjoy snow?

 

Constant 24/7 tracking before a major event is just draining for me. I was so burnt out after tracking that big blizzard in Jan 2016 that once the snow started falling, I had a hard time getting myself worked up. Spent the next 36hrs chugging 5hr energy and popping caffeine pills, lol.

 

What I learned is that obsessive tracking is overrated. It burns you out before the fun really starts.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Part of me almost wants to take a break from the models for the next few days and just let it ride. But whenever I decide to do that I always end up cracking like six hours later.

This stuff is a terrible addiction. Seriously look how much time we spend on this forum. It's ridiculous.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Welp, here comes the 00z euro to end all the fun.

 

brace.PNG

So tempting especially with that ice cream. ☺

[Omegaraptor]

January 7 and we're up to almost 140 pages.

[kokaneekidz]

Tim already has his finger ready to push the rain button on his euro manipulation device

He's still in kahoots with the old country

[Deweydog]

Euro’s gonna go over like Ricky Gervais’ monologue at the Golden Globes.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Do you guys think this will be enough cup noodles to last through this extreme mega-winterstorm?

 

Should I get more? Don't want to run out of the shrimp flavor

 

Snapchat-575611470.jpg

You will die of constipation if you eat all of that before this event is over.,, LOL!!

[Jesse]

This stuff is a terrible addiction. Seriously look how much time we spend on this forum. It's ridiculous.

Agreed. What I always tell myself is that there are many worse addictions.

[Blizzard777]

Do you guys think this will be enough cup noodles to last through this extreme mega-winterstorm?

 

Should I get more? Don't want to run out of the shrimp flavor

 

Snapchat-575611470.jpg

So much for our low sodium 

[Phil]

Dr. No is out to 36hrs!

[Omegaraptor]

So much for our low sodium 

 

Low solar

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Deweydog]

So much for our low sodium

That picture looked like the salt equivalent to a night out at the Olive Garden.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF Day 1

 

[kokaneekidz]

Dr. No is out to 36hrs!

Is Ursula listening to her conch shell for guidance?

[IceKing]

So much for our low sodium

 

If anything, I'm sure I can melt some of the 6 feet of snow outside to quench the thirst

[Phil]

This stuff is a terrible addiction. Seriously look how much time we spend on this forum. It's ridiculous.

It’s a brutal hobby..100% out of your control and unlike “normal” hobbies like sports et al, people think you’re some f**ked up lunatic when you rage over a sour turn of events on the models or the radar.

[Front Ranger]

MASSIVE!

[snow_wizard]

Time to do some research on how long it's been since SEA had a high of 25 or lower in January.  That is certainly on the table with this.  

[Jbolin]

Who needs crack, cocaine, heroin, mescaline, special k or even GHB when you have the forums? (and models)

I'm just sayin'

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Maybe soon?

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G7HJmn7t6cI

[Gradient Keeper]

Few notches more amplified. Nice. Let's keep that ridge connection Day 2-4!!!!

[Jesse]

Euro’s gonna go over like Ricky Gervais’ monologue at the Golden Globes.

I found it hilarious!

[Perturbed Member]

Lol. How can you enjoy tracking snow if you don’t actually enjoy snow?

 

Constant 24/7 tracking before a major event is just draining for me. I was so burnt out after tracking that big blizzard in Jan 2016 that once the snow started falling, I had a hard time getting myself worked up. Spent the next 36hrs chugging 5hr energy and popping caffeine pills, lol.

 

What I learned is that obsessive tracking is overrated. It burns you out before the fun really starts.

 

Most of us realize this at a logical level, but as you can see most of us are also probably a bit mentally off to be obsessively refreshing computer simulations of the atmosphere and arguing with other people about the minute details.

 

[GHweatherChris]

I'm almost ready to sit back and smoke a cigar, but not quite yet.

Even if things work out, you are in no way in a position to say, I told you so..

[Deweydog]

I found it hilarious!

It was incredibly satisfying. Not Arctic outbreak satisfying but you know....

[GHweatherChris]

Euro’s gonna go over like Ricky Gervais’ monologue at the Golden Globes.

His monologue was awesome and hilarious!! Loved it!!

[IceKing]

Most of us realize this at a logical level, but as you can see most of us are also probably a bit mentally off to be obsessively refreshing computer simulations of the atmosphere and arguing with other people about the minute details.

 

vin.png

I wouldn't be surprised if half the commenters on here were on the spectrum a bit

[Weiner Warrior]

Looks colder already